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Upturn AI Summary - About
Great Elm Capital Corp(GECC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GECC
11/09/2026: GECC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Great Elm Capital Corp is an externally managed business development company that generates income by lending to middle-market businesses. Its core strength lies in its specialized focus on credit instruments, which supports its primary objective of providing consistent dividend income. While the company offers an opportunity for yield-oriented investors, it faces material risks related to credit quality, interest rate sensitivity, and its relatively small scale. Investors should monitor the stability of its portfolio and the sustainability of dividends against the backdrop of changing economic conditions. This stock is best suited for income-focused portfolios that can tolerate the inherent volatility associated with middle-market credit investments.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | GECC is primarily an income-oriented vehicle rather than a capital appreciation-focused growth stock. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum fits only during sustained periods of portfolio performance improvements and positive market sentiment for BDCs. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Investors may find value based on NAV discounts, but they must carefully assess credit quality and portfolio risk. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company's primary objective is to generate and distribute current income, making it a focus for income-seeking portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company involves credit risks inherent in middle-market lending, leading to significant potential volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock's market price can fluctuate significantly due to changes in the valuation of its underlying credit assets. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Determining the fair value of non-traded middle-market debt is subjective and can lead to sudden adjustments in NAV. |
| Competition risk (BDC lending) | Medium | Intense competition from larger BDCs and private credit funds can compress yields and force lower underwriting standards. |
| Business quality | Medium | As an externally managed BDC, the quality of results depends heavily on the manager's ability to source and monitor investments. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividend sustainability is directly tied to the ability of the underlying borrowers to make timely interest and principal payments. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful performance requires precise execution in portfolio selection and prudent management of leverage ratios. |
Price Behavior

Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -12.89% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 68.30M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 59.0K shares | Beta 0.93 | 52 Weeks Range 4.26 - 6.74 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.26 - 6.74 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.64 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Debt Investments | Interest income from senior secured and second-lien loans to middle-market companies. | The company earns money primarily by acting as a lender, charging interest to the businesses it finances. |
| Equity and Equity-Linked Investments | Capital gains and dividends from equity stakes, warrants, and other conversion features in portfolio companies. | The company occasionally participates in the growth of its borrowers, which can provide extra returns beyond simple interest. |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-02 | When After Market | Estimate 0.21 | Actual 0.17 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -87.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) 77.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.33% | Return on Equity (TTM) -30.59% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.49 | Enterprise Value 229.63M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.56 |
Enterprise Value 229.63M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 13.66M | Shares Floating - |
Shares Outstanding 13.66M | Shares Floating - | ||
Percent Insiders 45.86 | Percent Institutions 7.33 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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