Great Elm Capital Corp logo

Great Elm Capital Corp(GECC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$5
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GECC

11/09/2026: GECC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Great Elm Capital Corp is an externally managed business development company that generates income by lending to middle-market businesses. Its core strength lies in its specialized focus on credit instruments, which supports its primary objective of providing consistent dividend income. While the company offers an opportunity for yield-oriented investors, it faces material risks related to credit quality, interest rate sensitivity, and its relatively small scale. Investors should monitor the stability of its portfolio and the sustainability of dividends against the backdrop of changing economic conditions. This stock is best suited for income-focused portfolios that can tolerate the inherent volatility associated with middle-market credit investments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitGECC is primarily an income-oriented vehicle rather than a capital appreciation-focused growth stock.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum fits only during sustained periods of portfolio performance improvements and positive market sentiment for BDCs.
Value investorMixed fitInvestors may find value based on NAV discounts, but they must carefully assess credit quality and portfolio risk.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company's primary objective is to generate and distribute current income, making it a focus for income-seeking portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company involves credit risks inherent in middle-market lending, leading to significant potential volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock's market price can fluctuate significantly due to changes in the valuation of its underlying credit assets.
Valuation riskMedium / highDetermining the fair value of non-traded middle-market debt is subjective and can lead to sudden adjustments in NAV.
Competition risk (BDC lending)MediumIntense competition from larger BDCs and private credit funds can compress yields and force lower underwriting standards.
Business qualityMediumAs an externally managed BDC, the quality of results depends heavily on the manager's ability to source and monitor investments.
Dividend incomeMedium / highDividend sustainability is directly tied to the ability of the underlying borrowers to make timely interest and principal payments.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful performance requires precise execution in portfolio selection and prudent management of leverage ratios.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -12.89%
Avg. Invested days 49
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GECC receives a 3-star rating based on the available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GECC has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong revenue growth (+90.2%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-994.7%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -6.3%), weak profitability (net margin -71.5%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GECC's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 105.2% of revenue). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is GECC's strongest growth driver at +96.6% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+90.2%, strong) is also strong, while earnings growth (-994.7%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 7.3% (soft) and 0.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (soft). Insider ownership of 45.86% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Becker Drapkin Management, L.P. 2.76%
Cruiser Capital Advisors, LLC 0.70%
UBS Group AG 0.20%
Crestwood Advisors LLC 0.19%
Vident Advisory, LLC 0.19%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GECC generates approximately $764 of gross profit, $-288 of operating income, and $-63 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -1.86% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GECC has a Value-Oriented profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedSmall / Mid Cap Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 68.30M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 6.5
Volume (30-day avg) 59.0K shares
Beta 0.93
52 Weeks Range 4.26 - 6.74
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 4.26 - 6.74
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.64

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Debt InvestmentsInterest income from senior secured and second-lien loans to middle-market companies.The company earns money primarily by acting as a lender, charging interest to the businesses it finances.
Equity and Equity-Linked InvestmentsCapital gains and dividends from equity stakes, warrants, and other conversion features in portfolio companies.The company occasionally participates in the growth of its borrowers, which can provide extra returns beyond simple interest.

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-02
When After Market
Estimate 0.21
Actual 0.17

Profitability

Profit Margin -87.74%
Operating Margin (TTM) 77.59%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.33%
Return on Equity (TTM) -30.59%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 6.49
Enterprise Value 229.63M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.56
Enterprise Value 229.63M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.56
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 13.66M
Shares Floating -
Shares Outstanding 13.66M
Shares Floating -
Percent Insiders 45.86
Percent Institutions 7.33

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.