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Upturn AI Summary - About
Greif Inc(GEF)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GEF
11/06/2026: GEF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Greif Inc is a prominent global manufacturer of industrial packaging, including steel drums, IBCs, and paper-based containers. The company benefits from a well-established global footprint and an integrated business model that includes recycling and reconditioning services. While Greif has a history of steady dividends and strategic growth through acquisitions, it faces inherent risks due to its cyclical exposure to manufacturing and chemical demand, alongside sensitivity to raw material price swings. It may best suit value and income-oriented investors seeking cyclical exposure to the industrial sector. Investors should monitor commodity price trends and the successful integration of its paper packaging business to evaluate future performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Greif is a mature, cyclical company rather than a high-growth technology play. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on positive industrial production trends and sustained favorable commodity spreads. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Greif's stable business model and focus on cash generation often align with value-based valuation metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a consistent history of paying dividends, making it suitable for income-oriented portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | The stock carries exposure to industrial cycles and commodity price volatility, which may impact risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Profit margins are sensitive to fluctuating costs of steel, resins, and energy. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market valuations for industrial stocks are subject to changes in macroeconomic sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Industrial Packaging) | Medium / high | Strong competition from global and regional players limits pricing power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company relies on industrial demand, which is inherently cyclical and exposed to economic downturns. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are relatively stable, but the payout ratio can be influenced by earnings volatility. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful integration of acquisitions and management of global supply chains are critical to margin stability. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 7.07% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 32.81 | 1Y Target Price 86.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 32.81 | 1Y Target Price 86.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 381.4K shares | Beta 0.8 | 52 Weeks Range 55.87 - 89.89 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 55.87 - 89.89 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.22% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.21 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Global Industrial Packaging | Manufacturing of steel, fiber, and plastic drums, and IBCs for global industrial customers. | This is the core segment selling the physical containers used to move liquids and solids globally. |
| Paper Packaging & Services | Containerboard, corrugated sheets, and paper recycling operations. | This segment profits from the demand for cardboard packaging and paper-based supply chain solutions. |
| Geography (Global) | Operations spanning North America, EMEA, and APAC. | Greif is a global business, meaning its results depend on international trade and manufacturing health. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When After Market | Estimate 1.09 | Actual 0.87 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.91% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.68% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 32.81 | Forward PE 9.3 | Enterprise Value 4.91B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.94 |
Enterprise Value 4.91B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.94 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.9 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.81 | Shares Outstanding 24.81M | Shares Floating 28.10M |
Shares Outstanding 24.81M | Shares Floating 28.10M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.06 | Percent Institutions 94.69 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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