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Upturn AI Summary - About
Griffon Corporation(GFF)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GFF
10/19/2026: GFF (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Griffon Corporation is a diversified holding company operating primarily in the home and building products and defense electronics markets. The company benefits from its leading position in residential garage doors and specialized government defense contracts, which provide a balanced revenue profile. Its main investment appeal lies in its consistent cash generation and potential for margin improvement through operational discipline. However, investors should monitor risks related to housing market cyclicality, fluctuations in raw material costs, and defense budget volatility. Griffon may suit investors looking for exposure to industrial and defense manufacturing, provided they consider the cyclical nature of its primary markets.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to cyclical housing and defense budgets rather than rapid secular expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock can exhibit strong price trends during periods of housing strength and defense spending. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Griffon often trades at valuations that attract value investors seeking exposure to industrial manufacturing. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a history of returning capital to shareholders, making it suitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | Cyclical exposure to housing and government contracts introduces volatility that may exceed conservative risk thresholds. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price is sensitive to macroeconomic shifts in housing and interest rate cycles. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | As a cyclical player, valuation can fluctuate significantly based on short-term market sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Building Products) | Medium / high | Intense competition in the residential home products market can compress margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company maintains solid operations but relies heavily on cyclical market segments. |
| Dividend income | Medium | While dividends are paid, they are subject to board approval and cash flow stability. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating acquisitions and managing manufacturing costs is critical for performance. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.36% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/19/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.26B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.01 | 1Y Target Price 126.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.01 | 1Y Target Price 126.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 353.5K shares | Beta 1.44 | 52 Weeks Range 64.35 - 108.33 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 64.35 - 108.33 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.90% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.64 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Home & Building Products | Garage doors, rolling steel doors, and related accessories sold to residential/commercial markets. | This is a leading, steady segment that benefits when the housing market is active. |
| Defense Electronics | ISR systems, radar, and communication electronics for the defense and aerospace industries. | This segment provides specialized revenue tied to government and defense agency contracts. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.01 | Forward PE 10.21 | Enterprise Value 5.74B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.67 |
Enterprise Value 5.74B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.67 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 26.42 | Shares Outstanding 45.87M | Shares Floating 42.27M |
Shares Outstanding 45.87M | Shares Floating 42.27M | ||
Percent Insiders 18.26 | Percent Institutions 81.81 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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