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Upturn AI Summary - About
Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc(GFL)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GFL
09/25/2026: GFL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
GFL Environmental is a large-scale, diversified North American provider of non-hazardous solid waste and environmental services. The company has a leading position in its core markets, characterized by highly recurring, contract-based revenue streams and a successful track record of executing acquisition-led growth. Its primary investment story revolves around continued market consolidation and internal operational optimization. However, the company faces risks related to its significant debt load and the capital-intensive nature of its infrastructure operations. GFL may best suit investors focused on long-term growth in essential industries, with key developments to monitor including debt reduction milestones and the success of its integration and pricing strategies.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | GFL has a proven history of scaling its business rapidly through acquisitions. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on continued successful execution of its growth and deleveraging strategy. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation must be assessed relative to the company's significant debt load. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company currently prioritizes capital reinvestment and debt reduction over dividend yield. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's high leverage and acquisition-based strategy introduce volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock can be sensitive to interest rate changes and market perception of leverage. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must account for the debt-heavy capital structure in valuation models. |
| Competition risk (Consolidated Waste Services) | Medium | GFL competes with well-capitalized industry giants with deep geographic footprints. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company provides essential services with high barriers to entry. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are not currently a primary feature of the investment proposition. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful integration of numerous acquisitions is critical to future performance. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.83% | Avg. Invested days 59 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 51.05 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 51.05 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.6M shares | Beta 0.49 | 52 Weeks Range 33.32 - 47.57 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 33.32 - 47.57 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.20% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.41 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Solid Waste Collection | Residential and commercial waste/recycling pickup, disposal fees. | Reliable, recurring revenue from essential daily trash removal services. |
| Environmental Services | Liquid waste handling, hazardous waste, and soil remediation. | Specialized services that often command higher margins due to technical complexity. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 37.45 | Enterprise Value 25.34B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.19 |
Enterprise Value 25.34B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.6 | Shares Outstanding 349.08M | Shares Floating 275.18M |
Shares Outstanding 349.08M | Shares Floating 275.18M | ||
Percent Insiders 2.45 | Percent Institutions 89.27 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Miami Beach, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-03-03 | Founder, Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Patrick Dovigi | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Waste Management | Full time employees 15500 | Website https://gflenv.com |
Full time employees 15500 | Website https://gflenv.com | ||
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
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