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GPRE 
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/28/2025: GPRE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
8 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $11.56
1 Year Target Price $11.56
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 0.67% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/28/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 721.40M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.56 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.41 | 52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 12.31 | Updated Date 11/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 12.31 | Updated Date 11/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.85 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-06 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.14 | Actual 0.0819 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -8.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.53% | Return on Equity (TTM) -22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 38.31 | Enterprise Value 979491983 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 |
Enterprise Value 979491983 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.04 | Shares Outstanding 69835042 | Shares Floating 67589845 |
Shares Outstanding 69835042 | Shares Floating 67589845 | ||
Percent Insiders 3 | Percent Institutions 93.25 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. was founded in 2004 and began operations in 2005. It has grown through acquisitions and expansions to become a significant producer of ethanol and other biofuels. The company has diversified its operations to include high-value ingredients and sustainable proteins.
Core Business Areas
- Ethanol Production: Green Plains produces ethanol from corn and other feedstocks. This is their primary revenue-generating segment.
- Corn Oil Production: Green Plains extracts corn oil as a co-product of the ethanol production process.
- High-Value Ingredients: The company produces and markets high-value ingredients for human and animal nutrition.
- Sustainable Proteins: Green Plains is expanding into the production of sustainable proteins, including Ultra-High Protein (UHP) feed.
Leadership and Structure
Todd Becker serves as the President and CEO. The organizational structure includes departments focused on ethanol production, ingredient innovation, commercial operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Green Plains is one of the largest ethanol producers in North America. Ethanol is used as a fuel additive and a biofuel. Market share fluctuates but is estimated around 5-10% of the US market. Competitors include Valero Energy (VLO) and POET.
- Corn Oil: Corn oil is a co-product used in animal feed and biodiesel production. Green Plains is a significant producer of corn oil. Market share is variable depending on production levels but would be similar to above percentages in that marketplace. Competitors include ADM (ADM) and Cargill.
- Ultra-High Protein (UHP): UHP is a sustainable protein ingredient used in animal feed. Green Plains is expanding its production capacity. Market share is still developing. Competitors include traditional protein sources like soybean meal.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biofuel industry is driven by government mandates, renewable fuel standards, and concerns about climate change. It is subject to fluctuations in corn prices, energy prices, and government policy changes.
Positioning
Green Plains is positioned as a major ethanol producer diversifying into higher-value products such as sustainable proteins. They aim to enhance profitability and reduce reliance on ethanol margins.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for ethanol is large, but competitive. The real growth for Green Plains lies in its sustainable protein TAM, which is tens of billions of dollars, but nascent. Green Plains is strategically positioned to grow within this TAM as a first mover.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large ethanol production capacity
- Diversification into high-value ingredients
- Strong distribution network
- Experienced management team
- Focus on sustainable protein production
Weaknesses
- Dependence on ethanol margins
- Exposure to commodity price fluctuations
- High debt levels
- Regulatory uncertainty surrounding biofuels
- Limited brand recognition outside of the biofuels industry
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable proteins
- Government support for biofuels
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new technologies
- Partnerships and collaborations
Threats
- Fluctuations in corn prices
- Changes in government regulations
- Competition from other biofuel producers
- Economic downturn
- Technological obsolescence
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Valero Energy (VLO)
- Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
- POET
Competitive Landscape
Green Plains' advantage lies in its diversified product portfolio and focus on sustainable proteins. Its disadvantage is its dependence on ethanol margins.
Major Acquisitions
Optimal Animal Health
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 53.2
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Green Plains' ingredient portfolio and market access in the animal nutrition space.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, growth has been driven by expansion in ethanol production capacity. The company is now focusing on diversifying into higher-margin products.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project growth in the high-value ingredient and sustainable protein segments. Overall revenue growth is expected to be moderate.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in sustainable protein production facilities, acquisitions of ingredient companies, and partnerships to develop new technologies.
Summary
Green Plains is a major ethanol producer undergoing a strategic transformation to become a diversified ingredient company. The company's strength lies in its existing infrastructure and expansion into sustainable proteins. However, it needs to manage its reliance on ethanol and navigate regulatory uncertainties. Future growth depends on successfully commercializing its new products and managing commodity price risk.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Omaha, NE, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2006-03-15 | CEO & Director Mr. Chris G. Osowski | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com |
Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com | ||
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
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