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Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: GPRE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $9.12
1 Year Target Price $9.12
1 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 21.89% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 567.80M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.18 | 52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 14.67 | Updated Date 08/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 14.67 | Updated Date 08/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.32 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-11 | When - | Estimate -0.33 | Actual -1.09 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.34% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.74% | Return on Equity (TTM) -18.61% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.52 | Enterprise Value 1063333039 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24 |
Enterprise Value 1063333039 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.09 | Shares Outstanding 65565400 | Shares Floating 63382041 |
Shares Outstanding 65565400 | Shares Floating 63382041 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.06 | Percent Institutions 96.78 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. was founded in 2004. Initially focused on ethanol production, it has expanded into other biorefining and agribusiness sectors through strategic acquisitions and organic growth. It has grown from a single ethanol plant to a diversified renewable energy company.
Core Business Areas
- Ethanol Production: Production and distribution of fuel-grade ethanol, a renewable fuel source. It represents the largest portion of their revenue.
- Corn Oil Production: Extraction and sale of corn oil, a co-product of ethanol production, used in animal feed and renewable diesel production.
- Grain Storage: Grain storage facilities supporting ethanol production and handling.
- Renewable Corn Oil: Creation of low carbon intensity renewable feedstock for renewable diesel.
- Ultra-High Protein: Production of ultra-high protein animal and aquaculture feed.
Leadership and Structure
Todd Becker serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction. The organizational structure includes various departments for production, sales, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Fuel-grade ethanol accounts for the majority of the company's revenue. Market share varies based on production capacity and demand. Competitors include POET, Valero Renewable Fuels, and ADM. Global ethanol production is highly competitive with fluctuating price levels.
- Corn Oil: Corn oil is sold as a co-product for animal feed and renewable diesel production. Market share is dependent on extraction efficiency and demand from the renewable diesel sector. Competitors include other ethanol producers and dedicated corn oil extraction facilities.
- Ultra-High Protein Feed: Novozymes provides enzymatic solutions for optimizing feed composition and unlocking nutritional benefits in Green Plains' Ultra-High Protein.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The renewable energy industry is driven by government mandates, environmental concerns, and the demand for alternatives to fossil fuels. The industry experiences cyclicality based on crop yields, energy prices, and regulatory changes. There is a shift toward sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel.
Positioning
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc is positioned as a leading ethanol producer in the US, focusing on expanding into higher-value co-products and renewable diesel feedstock. It benefits from economies of scale and strategic partnerships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for renewable fuels is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc is positioned to capture a segment of this market through its ethanol production and expansion into higher-value products like renewable diesel feedstock. The TAM is closely linked to government regulations promoting biofuels and sustainable energy.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale ethanol production capacity
- Strategic geographic locations near corn-producing regions
- Diversification into higher-value co-products
- Strong relationships with grain suppliers
- Expansion into renewable diesel feedstock
Weaknesses
- Exposure to fluctuating corn prices
- Dependence on government mandates and subsidies
- Volatile ethanol prices
- High capital expenditures for plant maintenance and upgrades
- Commodity-based business model
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for renewable fuels
- Expansion into renewable diesel production
- Development of new co-products and technologies
- Growth in export markets
- Strategic acquisitions of smaller ethanol plants
Threats
- Changes in government mandates and subsidies
- Competition from other renewable fuel sources (e.g., biodiesel)
- Fluctuations in corn and energy prices
- Technological advancements that could disrupt the ethanol market
- Environmental regulations and carbon emissions concerns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADM
- VALE
- REGI
Competitive Landscape
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc competes with larger agricultural conglomerates like ADM, smaller ethanol producers, and renewable diesel companies. Its competitive advantages include its large-scale ethanol production capacity, strategic locations, and expansion into higher-value co-products.
Major Acquisitions
Optimal Renewable Energy
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 17.3
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc's ethanol production capacity and market reach.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by expansions in ethanol production capacity and acquisitions of other ethanol plants.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project moderate revenue growth driven by increasing demand for renewable fuels and expansion into renewable diesel feedstock.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable diesel feedstock production, expansions into ultra-high protein feed, and strategic partnerships with technology providers.
Summary
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc is a significant player in the ethanol market, leveraging its large-scale production. Diversification into higher-value products like renewable diesel feedstock and ultra-high protein feed enhances its long-term growth potential. Fluctuations in corn and ethanol prices along with regulatory changes are key risks that require careful management, while strong strategic partnerships and continuous innovation will drive sustainability.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Presentations
- Industry Reports (e.g., Renewable Fuels Association)
- Analyst Reports (e.g., major investment banks)
- Company website
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Omaha, NE, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2006-03-15 | CEO - | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com |
Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com |
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

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