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Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: GPRE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Year Target Price $8.62
Year Target Price $8.62
1 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
0 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.13% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 388.47M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 8.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 18.14 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 18.14 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.62 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.22% | Operating Margin (TTM) -7.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.91% | Return on Equity (TTM) -12.03% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.52 | Enterprise Value 920944744 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 |
Enterprise Value 920944744 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.37 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.39 | Shares Outstanding 65399500 | Shares Floating 63221650 |
Shares Outstanding 65399500 | Shares Floating 63221650 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.07 | Percent Institutions 92.52 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 8.62 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. was founded in 2004. It initially focused on ethanol production and has since diversified into other agribusiness sectors. The company has grown through acquisitions and expansions of its biorefineries.
Core Business Areas
- Ethanol Production: Production and marketing of ethanol fuel, co-products such as distillers grains, and corn oil.
- Agribusiness: Grain storage, handling, and processing activities.
- Renewable Energy: Development and production of renewable energy solutions, including ultra-high protein and other value-added ingredients.
- Partnership: Strategic partners like Novozymes for research and development.
Leadership and Structure
Todd Becker serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors and operates with a functional organizational structure across its various business segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Ethanol fuel is the primary product. Green Plains is a major ethanol producer in the US. Competitors include Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) and Valero Energy (VLO). Market share data is dynamically changing but they are a top player.
- Distillers Grains: A co-product of ethanol production used as animal feed. Market share information varies by region and demand, other companies like Poet also have market share.
- Ultra-High Protein (UHP): A value-added animal feed ingredient derived from ethanol production. They are trying to create a new market, there are few established competitors.
- Corn Oil: Another co-product used for renewable diesel and animal feed.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The renewable energy industry is driven by government mandates, environmental concerns, and the need for energy independence. Ethanol demand is influenced by gasoline consumption and government policies such as the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS).
Positioning
Green Plains is a vertically integrated agribusiness and renewable energy company. Its competitive advantages include its scale of ethanol production, access to grain, and focus on value-added products like UHP.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for ethanol and related products is estimated in the tens of billions of dollars annually. Green Plains is well-positioned to capture a share of this market with its diverse product portfolio, as well as future renewable fuels.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale ethanol production capacity
- Vertically integrated business model
- Focus on value-added products
- Strategic partnerships
Weaknesses
- Dependence on government mandates and subsidies
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Environmental Regulations
- Inconsistent profitability
Opportunities
- Expansion into renewable diesel production
- Growth in demand for UHP and other value-added products
- International market expansion
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships
Threats
- Changes in government policies and regulations
- Fluctuations in corn prices and ethanol margins
- Competition from other renewable energy sources
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADM
- VLO
- POET
- Andersons Inc. (ANDE)
Competitive Landscape
Green Plains competes on price, scale, and product differentiation. Its advantages include its vertical integration and focus on value-added products. Disadvantages include dependence on government policies and exposure to commodity price volatility.
Major Acquisitions
Fluid Quip Process Technologies
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 76
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition aimed to enhance Green Plains' technology platform and expand its capabilities in producing high-value ingredients.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Green Plains has grown through acquisitions and expansions, but profitability has been inconsistent. Look for historical revenue and earnings growth rates.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary. Generally, analysts expect growth in revenue and earnings driven by the expansion of value-added products and renewable diesel production.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on expanding the production of ultra-high protein animal feed and investments in renewable diesel technology.
Summary
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. is a key player in the renewable energy sector, particularly in ethanol production. Their vertical integration provides certain advantages but they are exposed to commodity market volatilities. The company's strategic focus on value-added products presents growth opportunities. Investors should carefully monitor policy changes, commodity prices, and competition dynamics to properly evaluate them.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. The information provided is subject to change without notice. Market share data is estimated and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Omaha, NE, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2006-03-15 | CEO - | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com |
Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com |
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
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