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Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$8.66
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY65.58%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 62 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: GPRE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

8 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $9.12

1 Year Target Price $9.12

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$9.12 Target price
52w Low $3.14
Current$8.66
52w High $14.67

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 21.89%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 567.80M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 9.12
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 9.12
Volume (30-day avg) 8
Beta 1.18
52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 14.67
Updated Date 08/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 14.67
Updated Date 08/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.32

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-11
When -
Estimate -0.33
Actual -1.09

Profitability

Profit Margin -6.34%
Operating Margin (TTM) -2%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.74%
Return on Equity (TTM) -18.61%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 9.52
Enterprise Value 1063333039
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value 1063333039
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.09
Shares Outstanding 65565400
Shares Floating 63382041
Shares Outstanding 65565400
Shares Floating 63382041
Percent Insiders 3.06
Percent Institutions 96.78

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. was founded in 2004. Initially focused on ethanol production, it has expanded into other biorefining and agribusiness sectors through strategic acquisitions and organic growth. It has grown from a single ethanol plant to a diversified renewable energy company.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Ethanol Production: Production and distribution of fuel-grade ethanol, a renewable fuel source. It represents the largest portion of their revenue.
  • Corn Oil Production: Extraction and sale of corn oil, a co-product of ethanol production, used in animal feed and renewable diesel production.
  • Grain Storage: Grain storage facilities supporting ethanol production and handling.
  • Renewable Corn Oil: Creation of low carbon intensity renewable feedstock for renewable diesel.
  • Ultra-High Protein: Production of ultra-high protein animal and aquaculture feed.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Todd Becker serves as the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction. The organizational structure includes various departments for production, sales, finance, and operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Ethanol: Fuel-grade ethanol accounts for the majority of the company's revenue. Market share varies based on production capacity and demand. Competitors include POET, Valero Renewable Fuels, and ADM. Global ethanol production is highly competitive with fluctuating price levels.
  • Corn Oil: Corn oil is sold as a co-product for animal feed and renewable diesel production. Market share is dependent on extraction efficiency and demand from the renewable diesel sector. Competitors include other ethanol producers and dedicated corn oil extraction facilities.
  • Ultra-High Protein Feed: Novozymes provides enzymatic solutions for optimizing feed composition and unlocking nutritional benefits in Green Plains' Ultra-High Protein.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The renewable energy industry is driven by government mandates, environmental concerns, and the demand for alternatives to fossil fuels. The industry experiences cyclicality based on crop yields, energy prices, and regulatory changes. There is a shift toward sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel.

Positioning

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc is positioned as a leading ethanol producer in the US, focusing on expanding into higher-value co-products and renewable diesel feedstock. It benefits from economies of scale and strategic partnerships.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for renewable fuels is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc is positioned to capture a segment of this market through its ethanol production and expansion into higher-value products like renewable diesel feedstock. The TAM is closely linked to government regulations promoting biofuels and sustainable energy.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large-scale ethanol production capacity
  • Strategic geographic locations near corn-producing regions
  • Diversification into higher-value co-products
  • Strong relationships with grain suppliers
  • Expansion into renewable diesel feedstock

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to fluctuating corn prices
  • Dependence on government mandates and subsidies
  • Volatile ethanol prices
  • High capital expenditures for plant maintenance and upgrades
  • Commodity-based business model

Opportunities

  • Increasing demand for renewable fuels
  • Expansion into renewable diesel production
  • Development of new co-products and technologies
  • Growth in export markets
  • Strategic acquisitions of smaller ethanol plants

Threats

  • Changes in government mandates and subsidies
  • Competition from other renewable fuel sources (e.g., biodiesel)
  • Fluctuations in corn and energy prices
  • Technological advancements that could disrupt the ethanol market
  • Environmental regulations and carbon emissions concerns

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ADM
  • VALE
  • REGI

Competitive Landscape

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc competes with larger agricultural conglomerates like ADM, smaller ethanol producers, and renewable diesel companies. Its competitive advantages include its large-scale ethanol production capacity, strategic locations, and expansion into higher-value co-products.

Major Acquisitions

Optimal Renewable Energy

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 17.3
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc's ethanol production capacity and market reach.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by expansions in ethanol production capacity and acquisitions of other ethanol plants.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project moderate revenue growth driven by increasing demand for renewable fuels and expansion into renewable diesel feedstock.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in renewable diesel feedstock production, expansions into ultra-high protein feed, and strategic partnerships with technology providers.

Summary

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc is a significant player in the ethanol market, leveraging its large-scale production. Diversification into higher-value products like renewable diesel feedstock and ultra-high protein feed enhances its long-term growth potential. Fluctuations in corn and ethanol prices along with regulatory changes are key risks that require careful management, while strong strategic partnerships and continuous innovation will drive sustainability.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Presentations
  • Industry Reports (e.g., Renewable Fuels Association)
  • Analyst Reports (e.g., major investment banks)
  • Company website

Disclaimers:

The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Omaha, NE, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-03-15
CEO -
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
Full time employees 923
Full time employees 923

Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.