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Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: GPRE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.56
1 Year Target Price $11.56
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 0.67% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 719.30M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.56 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8 | Beta 1.45 | 52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 12.31 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.14 - 12.31 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.85 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -8.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.8% | Return on Equity (TTM) -22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 35.46 | Enterprise Value 926417351 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 |
Enterprise Value 926417351 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 40.04 | Shares Outstanding 69835042 | Shares Floating 67610796 |
Shares Outstanding 69835042 | Shares Floating 67610796 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.05 | Percent Institutions 92.56 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc., now known as Green Plains Inc. (GPRE), was founded in 2004. It began as a producer of ethanol and has since evolved to become a biorefinery company focused on producing low-carbon, high-value ingredients for food, feed, and industrial markets. Key milestones include its initial public offering (IPO) in 2006 and its strategic shift towards a more diversified product portfolio beyond just ethanol.
Core Business Areas
- Biorefining Operations: Operates a network of biorefineries that process corn into ethanol, distillers grains, and other co-products. This segment is the historical core of the company.
- Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): Developing and implementing carbon capture technologies at its facilities to reduce its carbon footprint and generate carbon credits. This is a key growth area.
- Nutrient Separation and Ingredient Production: Extracting and processing valuable ingredients like corn oil, proteins, and fibers from the corn mash. This includes producing high-protein animal feed ingredients and ingredients for human consumption.
- Low-Carbon Ethanol Production: Focuses on producing ethanol with a lower carbon intensity, leveraging its CCS initiatives and process optimizations to meet growing demand for sustainable fuels.
Leadership and Structure
Green Plains Inc. is led by a management team with experience in the agriculture, renewable energy, and chemicals industries. The organizational structure is designed around its core business segments, with dedicated teams for operations, research and development, sales, and corporate functions. Key leadership roles typically include a CEO, CFO, COO, and heads of various operational and strategic divisions. Specific individuals and their titles can be found on the company's investor relations website.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Renewable fuel produced from corn. Competitors include Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Valero Energy (VLO), and Poet LLC. Market share data is highly fragmented and dependent on regional fuel blending mandates. Green Plains is a significant producer but not necessarily a market leader in terms of overall volume.
- Distillers Grains (DDGs): A high-protein co-product of ethanol production used as animal feed. Competitors include other ethanol producers and traditional feed suppliers. Green Plains is a major supplier of DDGs.
- Corn Oil: Extracted during the ethanol production process, used in animal feed and for biodiesel production. Competitors include other ethanol producers and specialized oil producers. Market share is a small fraction of the overall edible and industrial oil market.
- High-Protein Feed Ingredients: Specialized ingredients derived from corn processing, targeting the animal feed market for enhanced nutrition. Competitors include other ingredient suppliers and traditional feed manufacturers. This is an emerging area for Green Plains.
- Food and Industrial Ingredients: Developing and marketing ingredients for human food products and various industrial applications, leveraging its biorefining expertise. This is a strategic growth area with diverse competitors depending on the specific ingredient.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The renewable energy and agricultural processing industries are influenced by fluctuating commodity prices (especially corn), government policies and incentives (such as tax credits for biofuels and renewable fuels standards), global demand for sustainable products, and technological advancements in biorefining and carbon capture. The demand for low-carbon solutions is a significant and growing trend.
Positioning
Green Plains Inc. is positioning itself as a leader in the transformation of the corn processing industry, moving beyond traditional ethanol production to focus on higher-value, low-carbon ingredients. Its competitive advantages lie in its existing infrastructure, its strategic investments in carbon capture technology, and its focus on innovation in ingredient separation and production. Its scale in corn processing provides a strong foundation for diversification.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for Green Plains' various product lines is substantial. For ethanol, it's tied to global biofuel mandates, which are in the tens of billions of gallons annually. The animal feed market is a multi-billion dollar industry. The emerging market for sustainable ingredients in food and industrial applications is also rapidly expanding. Green Plains is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM by leveraging its existing infrastructure and its strategic pivot towards higher-value, lower-carbon products.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established network of biorefineries with significant processing capacity.
- Strategic focus on developing low-carbon technologies, including carbon capture.
- Diversifying product portfolio beyond traditional ethanol into higher-value ingredients.
- Experienced management team with industry knowledge.
- Strong relationships with corn suppliers and customers.
Weaknesses
- Susceptibility to corn price volatility.
- Reliance on government policies for biofuel mandates and incentives.
- Capital-intensive nature of biorefining and technology upgrades.
- Execution risk associated with new product development and market penetration.
- Historical profitability challenges in the cyclical ethanol market.
Opportunities
- Increasing global demand for sustainable and low-carbon products.
- Government incentives and mandates for renewable fuels and carbon reduction.
- Development of new co-products and higher-value ingredients from corn processing.
- Expansion of carbon capture and sequestration infrastructure.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to accelerate growth.
Threats
- Fluctuations in energy prices affecting ethanol competitiveness.
- Changes in government policies or reduction in subsidies.
- Increased competition from other biofuel and ingredient producers.
- Technological disruptions that could render current processes obsolete.
- Climate change impacts on corn yields and availability.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
- Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
- POET LLC
- Marubeni Corporation
- Cargill, Incorporated
Competitive Landscape
Green Plains operates in a competitive landscape. Its advantages lie in its focused strategy on low-carbon ingredients and CCS, which differentiates it from some traditional ethanol producers. However, it faces strong competition from larger, more diversified agricultural and energy companies like ADM and Cargill. Its smaller scale compared to some competitors can be a disadvantage in terms of negotiating power and capital for large-scale projects, but its agility in pursuing niche ingredient markets and advanced technologies could be a strength.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Green Plains' growth was driven by the expansion of its ethanol production capacity. More recently, its growth trajectory is focused on transforming into a producer of higher-value, low-carbon ingredients and leveraging its carbon capture initiatives to create new revenue streams and enhance its sustainability profile.
Future Projections: Future projections for Green Plains are contingent on the successful execution of its strategic shift. Analysts often look at projections for revenue growth from its ingredient segment, the realization of carbon credits from CCS, and the stability of its core ethanol business. Growth is expected to be driven by innovation, operational efficiency, and increasing market demand for sustainable products.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include significant investments in carbon capture technology, the development and commercialization of new high-protein feed ingredients, and efforts to optimize its biorefineries for greater efficiency and a wider product range. The company has also been active in securing partnerships and exploring strategic opportunities to accelerate its transformation.
Summary
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) is undergoing a strategic transformation from a pure ethanol producer to a diversified biorefinery company focused on low-carbon ingredients. Its strengths lie in its existing infrastructure and commitment to carbon capture, while weaknesses include commodity price volatility and execution risk. Opportunities are abundant in the growing demand for sustainable products, but threats from policy changes and competition are significant. The company's success hinges on its ability to scale its new ingredient businesses and effectively monetize its carbon capture initiatives.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Green Plains Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial news and analysis websites (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Yahoo Finance)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Financial data and market share estimates are based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly accurate. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data is a broad estimation and can vary significantly by product and region.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Omaha, NE, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2006-03-15 | CEO & Director Mr. Chris G. Osowski | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com |
Full time employees 923 | Website https://www.gpreinc.com | ||
Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

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