Hudbay Minerals Inc. logo

Hudbay Minerals Inc.(HBM)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
5-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$20.91
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HBM

11/06/2026: HBM (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Hudbay Minerals is a diversified mid-cap mining company that primarily produces copper, with gold and zinc as important byproducts. Its key strengths include a geographically stable asset base in North and South America and a clear growth pipeline centered on the Copper World project. While it offers strong leverage to long-term copper demand, it faces risks related to commodity price cycles, capital-intensive expansion, and regulatory hurdles. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high tolerance for volatility who are looking for copper exposure. Market participants should monitor project permitting timelines and copper price trends as primary catalysts.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitHudbay offers significant production growth potential through its current development pipeline.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum fit is conditional on the underlying copper price trend and positive operational updates.
Value investorMixed fitThe valuation depends heavily on commodity price cycles and the successful execution of capital-intensive projects.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company prioritizes reinvestment over dividend income for shareholders.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock experiences high volatility due to commodity price fluctuations and operational mining risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe company's revenue is directly dependent on global copper and gold prices.
Valuation riskMedium / highEquity value can swing significantly based on market sentiment toward mining equities.
Competition risk (Base metals)MediumHudbay competes with much larger, lower-cost miners globally.
Business qualityMediumOperations are generally stable but inherently capital-intensive and subject to geological uncertainty.
Dividend incomeLowThis is not primarily an income-generating stock for dividend seekers.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessfully permitting and building large mines like Copper World is complex and subject to delays.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 172.18%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HBM receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HBM has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+641.2%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 9.0%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+9.4%), modest insider ownership of 3.64%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HBM's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (9.0% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is HBM's strongest growth driver at +641.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (+9.4%, moderate) and free-cash-flow growth (-37.6%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 78.4% and approximately 96.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 3.64% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Fidelity International Ltd 6.37%
MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 4.49%
GMT Capital Corp 4.12%
Royal Bank of Canada 3.33%
Mackenzie Investments 2.93%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HBM generates approximately $336 of gross profit, $254 of operating income, and $90 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is moderate.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 38.12%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HBM has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.29B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.23
1Y Target Price 34.77
Price to earnings Ratio 12.23
1Y Target Price 34.77
Volume (30-day avg) 4.8M shares
Beta 2.36
52 Weeks Range 14.33 - 32.13
Updated Date 11/07/2026
52 Weeks Range 14.33 - 32.13
Updated Date 11/07/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.10%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.71

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Copper SegmentProduction and sale of copper concentrate from Constancia, Copper Mountain, and Snow Lake.Copper prices are the main driver of the company's revenue and profitability.
Precious MetalsGold and silver produced primarily as a byproduct of base metal mining.These metals help offset the costs of mining copper, providing additional margin.
Geography: AmericasMine operations in Peru, Canada, and development projects in the US.Geographic spread helps mitigate local operational risks in any single country.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-12
When Before Market
Estimate 0.35
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 27.48%
Operating Margin (TTM) 32.58%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.74%
Return on Equity (TTM) 16.74%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.23
Forward PE 11.85
Enterprise Value 9.40B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.76
Enterprise Value 9.40B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.76
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.81
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.5
Shares Outstanding 444.14M
Shares Floating 427.53M
Shares Outstanding 444.14M
Shares Floating 427.53M
Percent Insiders 3.64
Percent Institutions 78.41

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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