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Upturn AI Summary - About
Hallador Energy Company(HNRG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HNRG
10/30/2026: HNRG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Hallador Energy Company is a specialized energy provider primarily focused on coal mining and power generation within the Midwest. The company benefits from established long-term supply contracts and efficient regional operations. Its primary growth story revolves around a strategic pivot to diversify into power generation assets to mitigate the long-term secular decline of the coal industry. However, the company faces significant risks from tightening environmental regulations, potential customer shifts to cleaner energy, and inherent commodity price volatility. Hallador may appeal to value-oriented investors willing to navigate the complexities of a transitionary energy company, though potential investors should monitor energy market policy shifts and the successful execution of its generation strategy.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company operates in a mature, declining industry with limited traditional growth prospects. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum suitability depends heavily on short-term commodity price spikes and energy market conditions. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations that may appeal to value investors focused on asset-backed coal companies. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividend reliability is tied to the volatile nature of the energy sector and capital reinvestment needs. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The business faces high regulatory and commodity price risks unsuitable for low-risk strategies. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue and margins are directly tied to fluctuating coal and electricity market prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment toward coal and fossil fuel companies can lead to depressed or erratic stock valuations. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | Medium / high | The company faces intense competition from larger, more diversified energy companies in the regional market. |
| Business quality | Medium | The core business is in a secular decline industry, impacting long-term franchise durability. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividend payouts are subject to the variability of cash flow in the energy sector. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on transitioning effectively into power generation while maintaining efficient mining operations. |
Price Behavior

Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -60.69% | Avg. Invested days 21 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 528.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 561 | 1Y Target Price 28 |
Price to earnings Ratio 561 | 1Y Target Price 28 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 946.7K shares | Beta 0.44 | 52 Weeks Range 10.69 - 24.70 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.69 - 24.70 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.02 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Coal Mining | Extraction and sale of thermal coal to utilities. | The company earns money by digging coal and selling it to power plants to generate electricity. |
| Power Generation | Sale of electricity into the wholesale grid. | The company is diversifying by owning and operating power facilities to sell energy directly into the market. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-09 | When After Market | Estimate 0.07 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) -12.46% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.06% | Return on Equity (TTM) -0.58% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 561 | Forward PE 13.19 | Enterprise Value 547.68M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16 |
Enterprise Value 547.68M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.76 | Shares Outstanding 47.14M | Shares Floating 37.44M |
Shares Outstanding 47.14M | Shares Floating 37.44M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.03 | Percent Institutions 77.42 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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