Hallador Energy Company logo

Hallador Energy Company(HNRG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$11.22
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HNRG

10/30/2026: HNRG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Hallador Energy Company is a specialized energy provider primarily focused on coal mining and power generation within the Midwest. The company benefits from established long-term supply contracts and efficient regional operations. Its primary growth story revolves around a strategic pivot to diversify into power generation assets to mitigate the long-term secular decline of the coal industry. However, the company faces significant risks from tightening environmental regulations, potential customer shifts to cleaner energy, and inherent commodity price volatility. Hallador may appeal to value-oriented investors willing to navigate the complexities of a transitionary energy company, though potential investors should monitor energy market policy shifts and the successful execution of its generation strategy.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company operates in a mature, declining industry with limited traditional growth prospects.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum suitability depends heavily on short-term commodity price spikes and energy market conditions.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at valuations that may appeal to value investors focused on asset-backed coal companies.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividend reliability is tied to the volatile nature of the energy sector and capital reinvestment needs.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe business faces high regulatory and commodity price risks unsuitable for low-risk strategies.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenue and margins are directly tied to fluctuating coal and electricity market prices.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment toward coal and fossil fuel companies can lead to depressed or erratic stock valuations.
Competition risk (Commodity producers)Medium / highThe company faces intense competition from larger, more diversified energy companies in the regional market.
Business qualityMediumThe core business is in a secular decline industry, impacting long-term franchise durability.
Dividend incomeMediumDividend payouts are subject to the variability of cash flow in the energy sector.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on transitioning effectively into power generation while maintaining efficient mining operations.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -60.69%
Avg. Invested days 21
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HNRG receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HNRG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+118.5%) and solid revenue growth (+16.1%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 2.5%), soft profitability (net margin 8.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HNRG's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (2.5% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is HNRG's strongest growth driver at +118.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+16.1%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-5.2%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 77.4% and approximately 79.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 9.03% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Lubar & Co., Inc 11.56%
BlackRock Inc 6.05%
Point72 Asset Management, L.P. 4.50%
Aegis Financial Corporation 3.84%
Orbis Allan Gray Ltd 3.60%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HNRG generates approximately $186 of gross profit, $130 of operating income, and $25 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and strong capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 4.19%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HNRG has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 528.95M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 561
1Y Target Price 28
Price to earnings Ratio 561
1Y Target Price 28
Volume (30-day avg) 946.7K shares
Beta 0.44
52 Weeks Range 10.69 - 24.70
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 10.69 - 24.70
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.02

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Coal MiningExtraction and sale of thermal coal to utilities.The company earns money by digging coal and selling it to power plants to generate electricity.
Power GenerationSale of electricity into the wholesale grid.The company is diversifying by owning and operating power facilities to sell energy directly into the market.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-09
When After Market
Estimate 0.07
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -0.2%
Operating Margin (TTM) -12.46%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.06%
Return on Equity (TTM) -0.58%

Valuation

Trailing PE 561
Forward PE 13.19
Enterprise Value 547.68M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16
Enterprise Value 547.68M
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.16
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.2
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.76
Shares Outstanding 47.14M
Shares Floating 37.44M
Shares Outstanding 47.14M
Shares Floating 37.44M
Percent Insiders 9.03
Percent Institutions 77.42

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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