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HP Inc(HPQ)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$33.76
10/22/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HPQ

10/22/2026: HPQ (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

HP Inc is a established technology hardware company focused on personal systems and printing solutions. The company maintains a strong market position, benefiting from steady recurring revenue generated by its printing supplies business. Its primary growth opportunity lies in capitalizing on the hybrid work market and AI-driven PC upgrades. However, it faces significant risks from secular declines in printing volumes and fierce price-based competition. HP is well-suited for value and dividend-focused investors seeking a stable, cash-generative technology holding. Investors should closely monitor the effectiveness of its recent hybrid-work acquisitions and the company's ability to maintain margins amidst ongoing industry commoditization.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitHP is a mature company with steady but limited organic growth prospects.
Momentum investorMixed fitThis fit is conditional on positive upturn signals regarding PC demand and enterprise hardware spending.
Value investorStrong fitHP often trades at a reasonable valuation with strong cash flow generation.
Dividend investorStrong fitHP is known for a consistent dividend policy and active capital return programs.
Low-risk investorStrong fitThe company's stable business model and established market position provide relative security.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock is susceptible to broader market and industry-specific macroeconomic shifts.
Valuation riskLowHP generally trades at modest multiples, limiting extreme downside valuation risks.
Competition risk (Commodity hardware)HighIntense competition in PCs and printers limits pricing power.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a solid, though declining, legacy business in printing.
Dividend incomeStrongHP has a reliable history of returning value through dividends.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully pivoting toward hybrid work services is critical for future relevance.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 4.47%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/22/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HPQ receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HPQ has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 5.1%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-8.9%), moderate revenue growth (+3.2%), soft profitability (net margin 4.6%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HPQ's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $2.8B (5.1% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is HPQ's strongest growth driver at +3.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-8.9%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-11.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 96.1% and approximately 99.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.30%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 11.92%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.61%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 6.43%
State Street Corp 5.86%
Dodge & Cox 4.73%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HPQ generates approximately $200 of gross profit, $66 of operating income, and $51 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins and solid cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is strong.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 5.21%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HPQ has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 28.24B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.95
1Y Target Price 27.52
Price to earnings Ratio 11.95
1Y Target Price 27.52
Volume (30-day avg) 14.0M shares
Beta 1.19
52 Weeks Range 16.91 - 36.23
Updated Date 10/22/2026
52 Weeks Range 16.91 - 36.23
Updated Date 10/22/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.81%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.62

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Personal SystemsConsumer and commercial PCs, workstations, and peripherals.This is HP's largest revenue contributor, driven by laptop and desktop sales.
PrintingPrinters and high-margin ink/toner supplies.This segment provides steady cash flow through recurring supply sales.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 11.95
Forward PE 9.92
Enterprise Value 35.06B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48
Enterprise Value 35.06B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.59
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.34
Shares Outstanding 901.79M
Shares Floating 898.94M
Shares Outstanding 901.79M
Shares Floating 898.94M
Percent Insiders 0.3
Percent Institutions 96.09

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.