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Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc(HYFM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HYFM
11/10/2026: HYFM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc is a manufacturer and distributor of equipment and supplies for controlled environment agriculture. The company has historically grown through a broad portfolio of brands, though it now faces significant challenges from market saturation and heavy debt loads. Its core opportunity lies in the long-term potential of legalized indoor farming and commercial CEA technology. However, the company faces substantial risks, including execution challenges, high leverage, and a reliance on the volatile cannabis industry. It may best suit risk-tolerant investors who are monitoring debt reduction and signs of stabilized industry demand; dividend investors should note the lack of payout.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's current financial profile is characterized by declining revenue and instability rather than high-growth momentum. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has demonstrated significant downward momentum, making it a poor candidate for trend-following strategies. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While the stock price has fallen substantially, the underlying business quality and debt levels present significant valuation risks. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Hydrofarm does not pay a dividend and is focused on capital preservation. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High price volatility and operational challenges make this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Significant price swings are common due to the speculative nature of the cannabis industry and company-specific financial news. |
| Valuation risk | High | Difficulty in predicting future earnings makes it challenging to determine a fair fundamental value for the company. |
| Competition risk (Cannabis/Agriculture) | High | The sector is highly competitive with low barriers to entry for many basic agricultural supplies. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company provides essential supplies but faces margin pressure in a commoditized market. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income for investors to rely on. |
| Execution risk | High | Management must successfully navigate a complex turnaround to improve profitability and reduce debt. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -59.83% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/10/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.80M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 611.7K shares | Beta 2.55 | 52 Weeks Range 0.50 - 3.20 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.50 - 3.20 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -60.89 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Equipment & Supplies | Grow lights, irrigation, environmental control, and ventilation systems. | The company earns money by selling the hardware needed to build and operate indoor growing facilities. |
| Consumables | Nutrients, growing media, and fertilizers. | This is a recurring revenue stream, as growers must repeatedly buy nutrients and soil to maintain their crops. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.94 | Enterprise Value 156.00M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value 156.00M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 44.2 | Shares Outstanding 14.03M | Shares Floating 3.98M |
Shares Outstanding 14.03M | Shares Floating 3.98M | ||
Percent Insiders 18.04 | Percent Institutions 30.8 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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