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MOS 
The Mosaic Company (MOS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: MOS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
20 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $34.01
1 Year Target Price $34.01
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 7 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -37.4% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/10/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.56B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.17 | 1Y Target Price 34.01 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.17 | 1Y Target Price 34.01 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.95 | 52 Weeks Range 21.79 - 37.63 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 21.79 - 37.63 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.68% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.86 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.12% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.17 | Forward PE 7.89 | Enterprise Value 12154222212 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.64 |
Enterprise Value 12154222212 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.64 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.02 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.09 | Shares Outstanding 317407877 | Shares Floating 315712919 |
Shares Outstanding 317407877 | Shares Floating 315712919 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.47 | Percent Institutions 98.27 |
Upturn AI SWOT
The Mosaic Company
Company Overview
History and Background
The Mosaic Company was formed in 2004 through the merger of IMC Global and Cargill's crop nutrition business. It is a leading global producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash fertilizers. Key milestones include strategic acquisitions and expansions to solidify its position in the global fertilizer market.
Core Business Areas
- Potash: Mosaic's Potash segment involves the mining and processing of potash, a key ingredient in fertilizer. The company operates mines in Canada and the United States, extracting and refining potassium chloride.
- Phosphates: The Phosphates segment includes the mining of phosphate rock and the production of finished phosphate fertilizers, such as diammonium phosphate (DAP) and monoammonium phosphate (MAP). Mosaic's phosphate operations are primarily located in Florida.
- Crop Nutrition: This segment encompasses Mosaic's broader crop nutrition offerings, including finished fertilizer products and services aimed at improving crop yields and soil health.
Leadership and Structure
The Mosaic Company is led by a Board of Directors and its executive management team. Key leadership positions include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and heads of various business segments and corporate functions. The company is structured around its core business segments to manage operations effectively.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Potash Fertilizer (Potassium Chloride): A primary nutrient essential for plant growth, water regulation, and disease resistance. Mosaic is one of the largest producers globally. Competitors include Nutrien, Uralkali, and ICL Group.
- Phosphate Fertilizers (DAP, MAP): Essential for plant root development, flowering, and fruiting. Mosaic is a significant producer in North America. Competitors include Nutrien, OCP Group, and CF Industries.
- Specialty Fertilizers: Products tailored for specific crops or soil conditions, offering enhanced nutrient delivery or unique formulations. These often have niche markets and fewer direct large-scale competitors, but include many smaller specialized producers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fertilizer industry is cyclical, driven by agricultural commodity prices, global food demand, weather patterns, and input costs (energy, raw materials). It is characterized by a few large global players and significant regional production. Sustainability and environmental regulations are increasingly influential.
Positioning
Mosaic is a leading global producer of phosphate and potash, benefiting from significant reserves, established infrastructure, and a strong market presence. Its competitive advantages include vertical integration, economies of scale, and a global distribution network. The company's positioning is as a vital supplier of essential crop nutrients to the global agricultural sector.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fertilizer market is substantial, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually, driven by the need to feed a growing world population. Mosaic is a major player within this TAM, particularly in the phosphate and potash segments, competing for a significant share of this global demand.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Significant reserves of phosphate rock and potash
- Vertically integrated operations from mining to finished products
- Global distribution network and established customer relationships
- Economies of scale in production
- Strong brand recognition and market position
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- High capital intensity of operations
- Environmental and regulatory compliance costs
- Dependence on specific geographic regions for production
Opportunities
- Growing global population and increasing food demand
- Demand for enhanced efficiency fertilizers and sustainable agriculture practices
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Potential for technological advancements in mining and production
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships
Threats
- Fluctuations in agricultural commodity prices
- Changes in government policies and trade regulations
- Increased competition from new entrants or existing players
- Environmental disasters or operational disruptions
- Rising energy and transportation costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Nutrien Ltd. (NTR)
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)
- Yara International ASA (YARIY)
- ICL Group Ltd. (ICL)
Competitive Landscape
Mosaic's advantages include its significant phosphate and potash reserves and integrated production. However, it faces intense competition from larger, diversified players like Nutrien, which has a broader retail presence. CF Industries is a major competitor in nitrogen fertilizers, while Yara International is a global leader across multiple nutrient categories. ICL Group is also a significant player in potash and specialty fertilizers. Mosaic's ability to compete effectively hinges on its operational efficiency, cost management, and strategic market positioning.
Major Acquisitions
PhosChem Corporation (joint venture with CF Industries)
- Year: 2004
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Formed to market and distribute phosphate fertilizers, enhancing market reach and efficiency.
W.R. Grace's fertilizer additives business
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 150
- Strategic Rationale: To expand its portfolio of specialty products and enhance nutrient efficiency solutions.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Mosaic has experienced periods of significant growth driven by strategic acquisitions, expansion of production capacity, and favorable market conditions for fertilizers. However, its growth has also been subject to the cyclical nature of the agricultural and commodity markets, leading to some volatility.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Mosaic's future growth often consider factors such as projected agricultural demand, fertilizer price forecasts, global economic conditions, and the company's ability to manage costs and expand operations. These projections are subject to change based on evolving market dynamics.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include optimizing existing operations, investing in new technologies to improve efficiency and sustainability, exploring strategic partnerships, and potentially pursuing bolt-on acquisitions that complement its core business.
Summary
The Mosaic Company is a formidable player in the global fertilizer market, particularly in potash and phosphates. Its strengths lie in its extensive reserves, integrated operations, and established distribution. However, the company is susceptible to the inherent cyclicality of commodity prices and agricultural markets, requiring diligent cost management and strategic adaptation. Continued investment in sustainable practices and innovation will be crucial for navigating future opportunities and threats.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- The Mosaic Company Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and investors should conduct their own due diligence or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and can vary based on reporting methodology.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Mosaic Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tampa, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2004-10-25 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Bruce M. Bodine Jr. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 13765 | Website https://mosaicco.com |
Full time employees 13765 | Website https://mosaicco.com | ||
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate based animal feed ingredients under the Biofos and Nexfos brands, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the K-Mag brand. It also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the deicing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, the company provides blended crop nutrients for agricultural use; triple superphosphate, single superphosphate, and dicalcium phosphate; and biological fertilizer complements, industrial products, and other ancillary services. Further, it owns and operates chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals, and warehouses; distributes nitrogen based crop nutrients and phosphogypsum; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers and dealers, industrial accounts, animal feed industry, wholesalers, farmers, crop nutrient manufacturers, and national accounts through its sales force. It also exports its products. The company operates in the United States, Brazil, China, Canada, Paraguay, Argentina, Japan, Colombia, India, Australia, Peru, Mexico, Honduras, the Dominican Republic, Thailand, Indonesia, and internationally. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
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