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The Mosaic Company (MOS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/14/2025: MOS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $37.68
1 Year Target Price $37.68
5 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -18.06% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.56B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 31.42 | 1Y Target Price 37.68 |
Price to earnings Ratio 31.42 | 1Y Target Price 37.68 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 1.15 | 52 Weeks Range 22.14 - 38.23 | Updated Date 07/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 22.14 - 38.23 | Updated Date 07/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.41% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.16 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 12.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.29% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 31.42 | Forward PE 12.21 | Enterprise Value 16127262623 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 |
Enterprise Value 16127262623 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.05 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.46 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.7 | Shares Outstanding 317231008 | Shares Floating 315022873 |
Shares Outstanding 317231008 | Shares Floating 315022873 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.76 | Percent Institutions 90.03 |
Upturn AI SWOT
The Mosaic Company

Company Overview
History and Background
The Mosaic Company was formed in 2004 through the merger of IMC Global and Cargill Crop Nutrition. It's a leading global producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash, key components in crop nutrients.
Core Business Areas
- Phosphates: Mosaic mines phosphate rock and produces concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients, and industrial products. The phosphate business is the largest by revenue.
- Potash: Mosaic mines and processes potash, a key ingredient in fertilizers, primarily in Canada. The potash business is the second largest by revenue.
- Mosaic Fertilizantes: Mosaic Fertilizantes is a Brazilian agribusiness company operating throughout the agricultural value chain. They offer fertilizer, seed, crop protection, and specialty nutrition products and services.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Bruce Bodine. The organizational structure is based on functional divisions such as operations, sales, and finance, as well as the key business segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Diammonium Phosphate (DAP) and Monoammonium Phosphate (MAP): These are phosphate-based fertilizers. Mosaic is a leading producer. Market share varies by region but is significant globally. Competitors include Nutrien, PhosAgro and EuroChem. Revenue from these phosphates is core to the business but varies.
- Muriate of Potash (MOP): This is a potash-based fertilizer. Mosaic is a major producer, particularly from its Canadian operations. Market share varies by region. Competitors include Nutrien, BHP, and Uralkali. Revenue from MOP is secondary to phosphates.
- Blended Fertilizers: Custom mixes of phosphate, potash, and other nutrients. Revenue is tied to specific crop needs. Competitors include local fertilizer companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The crop nutrient industry is cyclical and influenced by factors like crop prices, weather patterns, and global demand for food. It's consolidated, with a few major players dominating the market.
Positioning
Mosaic is a vertically integrated producer with large-scale mining operations and extensive distribution networks. This provides a cost advantage and stable supply chain. They are positioned among the top tier.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fertilizer market is estimated to be over $200 billion. Mosaic is well-positioned to capture a significant share through its phosphate and potash operations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale, low-cost mining operations
- Extensive distribution network
- Vertically integrated business model
- Strong brand recognition
- Diversified product portfolio
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile commodity prices
- Geopolitical risks in mining locations
- Environmental concerns related to mining
- High capital expenditures
- Dependency on weather patterns
Opportunities
- Growing global population and increasing demand for food
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Development of new and innovative fertilizer products
- Strategic acquisitions to expand market share
- Increased focus on sustainable agriculture practices
Threats
- Decline in crop prices
- Increased competition from other fertilizer producers
- Government regulations related to mining and the environment
- Disruptions in supply chain due to political instability
- Adverse weather conditions affecting crop yields
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NTR
- CF
- IPI
Competitive Landscape
Mosaic has advantages in phosphate production and distribution, while Nutrien has strengths in potash and retail distribution. The competitive landscape is intense, with companies vying for market share and cost advantages.
Major Acquisitions
Vale Fertilizantes
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2500
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Mosaic's presence in the Brazilian fertilizer market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been tied to commodity prices and global demand. There have been cycles of strong growth and periods of decline.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but most expect moderate growth driven by increasing demand for food. These estimates are revised frequently.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding production capacity, streamlining operations, and investing in sustainable agriculture technologies.
Summary
Mosaic is a leading crop nutrient company with significant scale and integrated operations. Its performance is strongly tied to commodity prices and global demand for food. Recent strategic initiatives aim to improve efficiency and expand its reach. Its large scale provides a moat, but external forces can have major impact to profits.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Mosaic Company Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Reports (e.g., from Fertilizer Institute, USDA)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Third-party Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data is estimated and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About The Mosaic Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Tampa, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2004-10-25 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Bruce M. Bodine Jr. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 13765 | Website https://mosaicco.com |
Full time employees 13765 | Website https://mosaicco.com |
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in the United States, Brazil, China, Canada, Paraguay, Argentina, Japan, Colombia, India, Australia, Peru, Mexico, Honduras, the Dominican Republic, Thailand, Indonesia, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials ammoniated phosphate products; and phosphate based animal feed ingredients under the Biofos and Nexfos brands, as well as produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the K-Mag brand. It also produces and sells potash for use in the manufacturing of mixed crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients, and for industrial use; and for use in the deicing and as a water softener regenerant. In addition, the company provides blended crop nutrients for agricultural use; triple superphosphate, single superphosphate, and dicalcium phosphate; and biological fertilizer complements, industrial products, and other ancillary services. Further, it owns and operates chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals, and warehouses; distributes nitrogen based crop nutrients and phosphogypsum; and purchases and sells phosphates, potash, and nitrogen products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers and dealers, industrial accounts, animal feed industry, wholesalers, farmers, crop nutrient manufacturers, and national accounts through its sales force. It also exports its products. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

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