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Upturn AI Summary - About
The Mosaic Company(MOS)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MOS
09/24/2026: MOS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
The Mosaic Company is a leading global producer and distributor of phosphate and potash crop nutrients, essential for modern agriculture. The company maintains a strong position in North America and Brazil, benefiting from its integrated mining and distribution capabilities. Its investment appeal lies in the long-term global demand for food security and the potential for premium product growth. However, the stock faces significant risks from volatile commodity prices, operational sensitivity, and cyclical shifts in agricultural markets. It is best suited for investors who can navigate cyclical swings and should monitor global crop commodity prices, regulatory developments in mining, and management's capital allocation priorities.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company's growth is tied to cyclical food demand trends rather than rapid, secular technological expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits strong price trends during commodity super-cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at low valuation multiples during the bottom of the commodity cycle. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends are reliable but can be subject to policy adjustments based on the volatility of earnings. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Significant exposure to commodity price volatility makes this a high-beta stock. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue is heavily dependent on fluctuating global fertilizer commodity prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations can be misleadingly attractive at the top of a cycle and expensive at the bottom. |
| Competition risk (Commodity producers) | Medium / high | The market is global and price-competitive, dominated by a few large players. |
| Business quality | Medium | Capital intensity and regulatory exposure are inherent to the mining industry. |
| Dividend income | Medium | The company has maintained a dividend, but payouts are not immune to cash flow constraints. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Large-scale mining and distribution operations carry inherent operational and logistical risks. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -36.67% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/24/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 26.77 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 26.77 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.3M shares | Beta 0.83 | 52 Weeks Range 19.63 - 34.72 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 19.63 - 34.72 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.56% | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.07 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Phosphates | Concentrated phosphate fertilizer products and animal feed ingredients. | Selling the essential crop nutrients that help drive plant growth. |
| Potash | Potash mining and processing for North American and global markets. | Profit from a fundamental mineral component of high-quality fertilizer. |
| Mosaic Fertilizantes | Distribution and production in Brazil. | Direct access to one of the world's most active agricultural markets. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 15.46 | Enterprise Value 13.65B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63 |
Enterprise Value 13.65B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.63 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.68 | Shares Outstanding 317.90M | Shares Floating 297.80M |
Shares Outstanding 317.90M | Shares Floating 297.80M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.34 | Percent Institutions 98.37 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About The Mosaic Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Tampa, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2004-10-25 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Bruce M. Bodine Jr. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 13000 | Website https://www.mosaicco.com |
Full time employees 13000 | Website https://www.mosaicco.com | ||
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates in three segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company owns and operates mines and production facilities, which produce concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients, as well as concentrated phosphate crop nutrients, such as diammonium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, and MicroEssentials, a value-added ammoniated phosphate product. It also mines, processes, and sells potash to crop nutrient manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and to customers for industrial use; and owns and operates mines, chemical plants, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses, which produce and sell concentrated phosphate and potash-based crop nutrients, and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients. In addition, the company produces a double sulfate of potash magnesia product under the K-Mag brand; and purchases phosphate, potash, and nitrogen products to produce blended crop nutrients. Further, it offers triple superphosphate, single superphosphate, and dicalcium phosphate; feed phosphate under the Biofos and Nexfos brands; potash for de-icing and as a water softener regenerant; and phosphogypsum. The company sells its products to wholesale distributors, retail chains, cooperatives, independent retailers, and national accounts through its sales force. It also exports its products. The company operates in the United States, Brazil, China, Canada, Paraguay, Argentina, Japan, Colombia, India, Australia, Peru, Mexico, Honduras, the Dominican Republic, Indonesia, and internationally. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
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