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Nutrien Ltd (NTR)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/06/2026: NTR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $67.12
1 Year Target Price $67.12
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.82% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 29.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.33 | 1Y Target Price 67.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.33 | 1Y Target Price 67.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 25 | Beta 1.16 | 52 Weeks Range 44.54 - 63.38 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 44.54 - 63.38 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.50% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.71 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.33 | Forward PE 14.39 | Enterprise Value 44133549848 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.15 |
Enterprise Value 44133549848 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.85 | Shares Outstanding 483340553 | Shares Floating 482871713 |
Shares Outstanding 483340553 | Shares Floating 482871713 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.03 | Percent Institutions 73.4 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nutrien Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
Nutrien Ltd. was formed on January 1, 2018, through the merger of PotashCorp and Agrium. This landmark merger created the world's largest provider of crop inputs and services. PotashCorp, founded in 1975, was a major producer of potash and nitrogen fertilizers. Agrium, established in 1992, had a significant retail agricultural business and produced nitrogen, phosphate, and potash fertilizers. The integration aimed to create a more efficient, diversified, and customer-focused agricultural solutions company.
Core Business Areas
- Wholesale: This segment is focused on the production and distribution of crop nutrients, primarily potash, nitrogen, and phosphate. It operates large-scale, low-cost production facilities and serves agricultural, industrial, and feed customers globally.
- Retail: This segment operates the largest agricultural retail distribution network in North America, South America, and Australia. It provides growers with a comprehensive suite of crop inputs (fertilizers, crop protection products, seed), services (application, agronomic advice), and digital tools. It also offers crop insurance and financial services.
Leadership and Structure
Nutrien Ltd. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive team. The CEO is currently Ken Seitz. The company is structured around its two core business segments: Wholesale and Retail, with dedicated leadership for each.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Potash: A key nutrient for plant growth, essential for water regulation, nutrient uptake, and disease resistance. Nutrien is a leading global producer. Competitors include Mosaic, Uralkali, and ICL Group.
- Nitrogen: Crucial for plant growth and yield, nitrogen is a primary component of proteins and chlorophyll. Nutrien is a significant producer of ammonia, urea, and other nitrogen-based fertilizers. Competitors include CF Industries, Yara International, and LSB Industries.
- Phosphate: Essential for energy transfer, photosynthesis, and root development. Nutrien produces phosphate fertilizers such as diammonium phosphate (DAP) and monoammonium phosphate (MAP). Competitors include Mosaic and PhosAgro.
- Crop Protection Products: Includes herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides that protect crops from pests and diseases. The Retail segment offers a wide range of these products. Competitors vary widely by product type and include companies like Bayer, Syngenta, and Corteva Agriscience.
- Seeds: The Retail segment provides a variety of seed products, often in partnership with major seed developers. Competitors include Bayer (Monsanto), Corteva Agriscience, and Syngenta.
- Agronomic Services and Digital Tools: Agronomic advice, soil testing, precision agriculture services, and digital platforms to help growers optimize their operations. This is a key differentiator for the Retail segment. Competitors include other large retailers and specialized ag-tech companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Nutrien operates in the global agriculture and fertilizer industry, which is influenced by factors such as global population growth, demand for food, crop prices, weather patterns, government policies, energy costs, and environmental regulations. The industry is cyclical and subject to commodity price volatility. There's a growing emphasis on sustainable agriculture and precision farming techniques.
Positioning
Nutrien is the world's largest provider of crop inputs and services. Its competitive advantages include its scale of operations, integrated business model (Wholesale and Retail), low-cost production assets, extensive distribution network, and strong relationships with growers. The company's ability to offer a comprehensive suite of products and services, from nutrient production to on-farm application and digital solutions, positions it as a one-stop shop for many farmers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global agricultural inputs market, including fertilizers, crop protection, and seeds, is a multi-hundred-billion-dollar market, with the fertilizer segment alone representing a significant portion. Nutrien is well-positioned to capture a substantial share of this TAM through its diverse product offerings and extensive retail network. The company's goal is to be the leading provider of sustainable agricultural solutions, addressing the growing global demand for food production while promoting environmental stewardship.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- World's largest provider of crop inputs and services
- Integrated business model (Wholesale and Retail)
- Economies of scale in production and distribution
- Low-cost, world-class potash and nitrogen assets
- Extensive North American and international retail network
- Strong brand recognition and grower relationships
- Diversified product and service offerings
- Significant operational expertise
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility (fertilizers)
- Dependence on weather patterns for agricultural demand
- Potential for regulatory changes impacting fertilizer use or production
- Integration challenges from past and future acquisitions
Opportunities
- Increasing global food demand due to population growth
- Growth in emerging markets
- Expansion of sustainable agriculture practices and products
- Leveraging digital technologies to enhance grower services
- Strategic acquisitions to expand market reach or capabilities
- Development of new, innovative crop solutions
Threats
- Intensifying competition from domestic and international players
- Geopolitical risks impacting supply chains and trade
- Fluctuations in energy prices (affecting production costs)
- Environmental regulations and pressure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions
- Trade disputes and tariffs
- Economic downturns impacting farmer spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- The Mosaic Company (MOS)
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)
- Yara International ASA (YARI.OL)
- ICL Group Ltd. (ICL)
Competitive Landscape
Nutrien's competitive advantages lie in its sheer scale, integrated model, and extensive retail network. While competitors like Mosaic are strong in specific fertilizer segments (e.g., phosphate), and CF Industries is a major player in nitrogen, Nutrien's breadth of offerings and direct grower relationships in its retail segment provide a unique advantage. Yara International is a global leader in nitrogen and has a strong presence in Europe. ICL Group is a significant player in potash and specialty fertilizers. Nutrien's ability to leverage its wholesale production with its retail distribution allows for significant synergies and a strong position to capture value across the agricultural supply chain.
Major Acquisitions
Paine's Inc.
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 100
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Nutrien's retail footprint in the northeastern United States and enhance its crop input and services offerings in that region.
Crop Production Services (CPS) assets in Australia
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 700
- Strategic Rationale: To significantly expand Nutrien's retail presence in Australia, strengthening its position in a key agricultural market and providing access to a large grower base.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Nutrien has experienced significant growth, particularly since its formation in 2018. The integration of PotashCorp and Agrium provided immediate scale. The company has focused on optimizing its operations, expanding its retail footprint, and enhancing its service offerings. Growth has been driven by both organic expansion and strategic acquisitions within the retail segment.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Nutrien's future growth typically consider factors like global population growth, dietary shifts, ongoing demand for food, the adoption of advanced farming technologies, and the company's ability to manage input costs and optimize its supply chain. Growth is expected to be driven by continued expansion in the Retail segment, particularly in high-growth regions, and by maintaining efficient and cost-effective production in the Wholesale segment. Emphasis on sustainable agriculture solutions is also anticipated to be a key growth driver.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on digital transformation within the Retail segment to enhance grower experience and efficiency, optimization of its wholesale production assets for cost leadership, and strategic acquisitions to bolster its retail network and product/service offerings. The company is also investing in initiatives to support sustainable agriculture and reduce its environmental footprint.
Summary
Nutrien Ltd. is a dominant force in the global agriculture sector, boasting the world's largest crop input and service provider network. Its integrated wholesale and retail model, coupled with efficient, large-scale production, provides significant competitive advantages. While exposed to commodity price volatility, its diversified offerings and extensive reach position it well for future growth driven by global food demand and sustainable farming practices. The company's focus on digital solutions and strategic retail expansion are key to its continued success, though it must navigate ongoing competitive pressures and regulatory landscapes.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Nutrien Ltd. Investor Relations
- Annual Reports (10-K)
- Quarterly Reports (10-Q)
- Financial News and Analysis Websites (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Seeking Alpha)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and users should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market share data and competitor information are estimates and can fluctuate. Financial metrics and projections are subject to change and depend on various market and economic factors.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nutrien Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Saskatoon, SK, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-01-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Kenneth A. Seitz | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 25500 | Website https://www.nutrien.com |
Full time employees 25500 | Website https://www.nutrien.com | ||
Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Nutrien Ag Solutions, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Nutrien Ag Solutions segment distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products; product application, soil and leaf testing, crop scouting, precision agriculture, water, and brokerage agency services; and financing solutions. The Potash segment provides granular and standard potash products. The Nitrogen segment offers ammonia, urea, environmentally smart nitrogen, nitrogen solutions, nitrates, and sulfates. The Phosphate segment provides solid fertilizer, liquid fertilizer, and industrial and feed products. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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