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NTR 
Nutrien Ltd (NTR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/04/2025: NTR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
25 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $65.74
1 Year Target Price $65.74
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -28.27% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/04/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 29.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.26 | 1Y Target Price 65.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.26 | 1Y Target Price 65.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 25 | Beta 1.16 | 52 Weeks Range 41.95 - 63.87 | Updated Date 12/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 41.95 - 63.87 | Updated Date 12/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.62% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.71 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.9% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.26 | Forward PE 12.25 | Enterprise Value 42564607545 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.14 |
Enterprise Value 42564607545 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.57 | Shares Outstanding 483340553 | Shares Floating 482876546 |
Shares Outstanding 483340553 | Shares Floating 482876546 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.06 | Percent Institutions 73.42 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nutrien Ltd
Company Overview
History and Background
Nutrien Ltd. was formed in 2018 through the merger of PotashCorp and Agrium. PotashCorp, founded in 1975, focused on potash production. Agrium, founded in 1931 as Cominco Fertilizers, produced nitrogen, phosphate, and potash. The merger created the world's largest provider of crop inputs and services.
Core Business Areas
- Nutrien Ag Solutions: Retail distribution network providing crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed, and agronomic services directly to growers.
- Potash: Production and sale of potash, a key ingredient in fertilizers.
- Nitrogen: Production and sale of nitrogen-based fertilizers.
- Phosphate: Production and sale of phosphate-based fertilizers.
Leadership and Structure
Ken Seitz is the President and CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, organized around its core business segments, supported by corporate functions like finance, legal, and human resources.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Potash: Potash is a potassium-based fertilizer. Nutrien is the world's largest potash producer. Market share varies by region but is substantial. Competitors include Mosaic (MOS) and Uralkali (Russia - not US traded).
- Nitrogen: Nitrogen fertilizers are essential for plant growth. Nutrien is a major nitrogen producer. Market share is significant but more fragmented than potash. Competitors include CF Industries (CF) and Yara International (YARI.OL - not US traded).
- Phosphate: Phosphate fertilizers are crucial for root development. Nutrien produces phosphate fertilizers. Market share is smaller than potash and nitrogen. Competitors include Mosaic (MOS) and ICL Group (ICL).
- Ag Solutions Retail: A retail network providing seeds, crop protection and micronutrients to growers in North America, South America, Australia and Europe. Competitors are local agricultural retailers and cooperatives and national chains such as Wilbur-Ellis.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fertilizer industry is driven by global food demand, agricultural practices, and commodity prices. It is cyclical and influenced by weather patterns, government policies, and geopolitical events.
Positioning
Nutrien is the largest integrated provider of crop inputs and services globally, giving it significant scale and reach. Its competitive advantage lies in its potash production capacity, retail network, and diversified product portfolio.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fertilizer market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Nutrien is positioned to capture a significant share of this market through its integrated operations and global reach. TAM is roughly $250B.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Largest global provider of crop inputs and services
- Leading potash producer
- Extensive retail network
- Diversified product portfolio
- Strong financial position
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Dependence on weather patterns
- Operational risks associated with mining and chemical production
- Seasonality of demand
Opportunities
- Growing global population and food demand
- Increasing adoption of precision agriculture
- Expansion in emerging markets
- Development of sustainable fertilizer solutions
- Strategic acquisitions
Threats
- Fluctuations in commodity prices
- Increased competition
- Geopolitical risks and trade disruptions
- Environmental regulations
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MOS
- CF
- ICL
Competitive Landscape
Nutrien has advantages in potash production and its retail network. Mosaic (MOS) is a significant competitor in potash and phosphate. CF Industries (CF) is a key player in nitrogen.
Major Acquisitions
Agrichem
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 830
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Nutrien's Ag Solutions retail business in Australia.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Nutrien's historical growth has been driven by the merger, organic expansion, and acquisitions. Performance is tied to agricultural commodity prices and planting seasons.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates are dynamic and can be found on financial websites. Projections depend on factors like global crop prices, weather, and demand for fertilizers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its retail footprint, investing in digital agriculture solutions, and developing low-carbon fertilizer technologies.
Summary
Nutrien is a strong player in the fertilizer industry, benefiting from its size, integrated operations, and potash production. Exposure to commodity price volatility and weather patterns pose risks. Expansion in emerging markets and sustainable fertilizer solutions present growth opportunities. The company's financial performance is heavily tied to global agricultural markets.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company reports
- Financial websites (Yahoo Finance, Google Finance)
- Industry analysis reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Data on financial websites is dynamic and may differ from the values in this analysis.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nutrien Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Saskatoon, SK, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-01-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Kenneth A. Seitz | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Agricultural Inputs | Full time employees 25500 | Website https://www.nutrien.com |
Full time employees 25500 | Website https://www.nutrien.com | ||
Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Nutrien Ag Solutions, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Nutrien Ag Solutions segment distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products; product application, soil and leaf testing, crop scouting, precision agriculture, water, and brokerage agency services; and financing solutions. The Potash segment provides granular and standard potash products. The Nitrogen segment offers ammonia, urea, environmentally smart nitrogen, nitrogen solutions, nitrates, and sulfates. The Phosphate segment provides solid fertilizer, liquid fertilizer, and industrial and feed products. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
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