Samsara Inc logo

Samsara Inc(IOT)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 50 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+7.71%
LAST CLOSE
$39.55
09/18/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for IOT

09/18/2026: IOT (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Samsara Inc is a high-growth cloud software company that specializes in digitizing physical operations through its integrated Connected Operations Cloud platform. The company is known for its strong subscription revenue growth and its effective ability to combine hardware data with AI-driven insights for industries like transportation. Its primary growth opportunity lies in further penetrating the large global market for physical operations as businesses seek increased safety and efficiency. Risks include high valuation multiples, intense competition from both legacy firms and tech-savvy entrants, and its reliance on capital-intensive physical operations. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility and prioritize long-term expansion over dividends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company's high revenue growth and large addressable market cater well to growth-oriented strategies.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveSamsara often exhibits strong price trends during periods of high growth execution.
Value investorWeak fitThe stock currently trades at high valuation multiples, making it less attractive to traditional value-based investors.
Dividend investorWeak fitSamsara does not pay a dividend, as it focuses on reinvesting capital to grow the business.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe company's stock carries high volatility and market risk associated with its growth-stage profile.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighHigh-growth software stocks often experience significant price swings based on macro sentiment and quarterly performance.
Valuation riskHighInvestors pay a premium for future growth, making the stock sensitive to downward valuation multiple compression.
Competition risk (IoT and Telematics)Medium / highThe sector is highly competitive with well-capitalized incumbents and agile private players.
Business qualityMediumThe recurring subscription model is high-quality, but profitability is not yet fully established.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome-focused investors will find no yield here.
Execution riskMediumSamsara must continue to innovate and expand its platform faster than competitors to maintain its current momentum.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -40.39%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/18/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

IOT receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

IOT has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+94.1%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 12.8%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin -0.6%), modest insider ownership of 3.78%.

Financial Health Rating

IOT's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 23.2%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Earnings growth is IOT's strongest growth driver at +94.1% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+29.6%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+86.1%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 107.8% and approximately 96.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 3.78% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 9.63%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 6.25%
FMR Inc 4.06%
BlackRock Inc 3.82%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 2.89%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

IOT generates approximately $767 of gross profit, $-32 of operating income, and $128 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 1,106.29%

Quantitative Style Profile

IOT has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 23.42B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 266.67
1Y Target Price 52.16
Price to earnings Ratio 266.67
1Y Target Price 52.16
Volume (30-day avg) 6.9M shares
Beta 1.34
52 Weeks Range 23.38 - 47.47
Updated Date 09/18/2026
52 Weeks Range 23.38 - 47.47
Updated Date 09/18/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.15

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Subscription ServicesRecurring software fees for the Connected Operations Cloud platform.The vast majority of revenue comes from reliable, recurring subscription fees rather than one-time hardware sales.
Hardware SalesSales of IoT sensors, dash cams, and gateways.Hardware acts as an entry point to get customers onto the platform, though it generally carries lower margins than software.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-09-03
When After Market
Estimate 0.02
Actual 0.03

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.96%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.49%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.43%

Valuation

Trailing PE 266.67
Forward PE 52.36
Enterprise Value 23.05B
Price to Sales(TTM) 12.68
Enterprise Value 23.05B
Price to Sales(TTM) 12.68
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 468.39
Shares Outstanding 380.27M
Shares Floating 366.78M
Shares Outstanding 380.27M
Shares Floating 366.78M
Percent Insiders 3.78
Percent Institutions 107.78

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Samsara Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-12-15
CEO -
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Full time employees 4100
Full time employees 4100

Samsara Inc. provides solutions to connect physical operations data to its connected operations platform in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Platform includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and a growing ecosystem of connected assets and third-party systems, and which has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security and privacy. Its applications include video-based safety; and telematics, which provides visibility into real-time vehicle location and diagnostics with GPS tracking, routing and dispatch, fuel management, driver recognition, electric vehicle usage and charge planning, preventative maintenance, and insights to manage fuel and energy costs. The company also provides site visibility that provides remote visibility into sites to enhance onsite security, safety, and incident response times. It serves transportation, construction, wholesale and retail trade, field services, logistics, manufacturing, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, food and beverage, and other industries. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.