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Packaging Corp of America (PKG)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: PKG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $227.8
1 Year Target Price $227.8
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 38.69% | Avg. Invested days 64 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 19.74B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.16 | 1Y Target Price 227.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.16 | 1Y Target Price 227.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 169.57 - 236.70 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 169.57 - 236.70 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.34% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.9 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.19% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.68% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.81% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.16 | Forward PE 18.18 | Enterprise Value 22872495089 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.25 |
Enterprise Value 22872495089 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.25 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.61 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.64 | Shares Outstanding 89977067 | Shares Floating 87816186 |
Shares Outstanding 89977067 | Shares Floating 87816186 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.45 | Percent Institutions 97.22 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Packaging Corp of America

Company Overview
History and Background
Packaging Corporation of America (PCA) was formed in 1999 through the merger of four packaging companies. It has since grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion to become a leading North American producer of containerboard and corrugated packaging products. Key milestones include significant capacity expansions and integration of acquired businesses.
Core Business Areas
- Containerboard Packaging: This segment manufactures and sells unbleached kraft paper used in the production of corrugated packaging. It includes products like linerboard and corrugating medium. PCA is a significant producer in this segment.
- Specialty Packaging: This segment focuses on the production and sale of specialty packaging products, including food and beverage packaging, industrial packaging, and consumer packaging. This segment also includes white-top linerboard and coated unbleached kraft (CUK) paper.
- Paper: This segment is involved in the production and sale of printing and writing papers, including uncoated freesheet and coated freesheet papers. While a smaller segment, it contributes to the company's diversified product offering.
Leadership and Structure
Packaging Corporation of America is led by a team of experienced executives. As of recent filings, the CEO is Mark K. Kowlzan. The company operates with a divisional structure aligned with its core business segments, overseen by a Board of Directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Corrugated Packaging: PCA's primary offering, manufactured from containerboard, is used by a wide range of industries for shipping and product protection. Competitors include International Paper, WestRock, and Pratt Industries. Specific market share data for this product line is not publicly disclosed, but PCA is a significant player in the North American market.
- Containerboard: This is the raw material for corrugated packaging. PCA is one of the largest producers of containerboard in North America. Its primary competitors in this upstream market include International Paper and WestRock.
- Specialty Papers: Includes printing and writing papers. While a smaller segment, it caters to specific niches. Competitors in this broader paper market include Domtar and Georgia-Pacific.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The North American packaging industry is mature and influenced by economic cycles, e-commerce growth, and sustainability trends. The demand for corrugated packaging is generally stable, driven by consumer goods, food and beverage, and industrial sectors. The paper segment faces challenges from digital transformation and changing printing habits.
Positioning
PCA is positioned as a leading integrated producer of containerboard and corrugated packaging. Its competitive advantages include a strong, low-cost manufacturing base, a diversified customer base, and strategic locations of its facilities. The company's integration from paper production to finished packaging provides cost efficiencies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global packaging market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, with the North American segment representing a significant portion. PCA operates within the containerboard and corrugated packaging sub-segments, which constitute a substantial part of this TAM. PCA holds a strong position within its addressable market, particularly in containerboard production and corrugated box manufacturing.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated business model (containerboard to packaging)
- Strong market position in containerboard and corrugated packaging
- Low-cost manufacturing operations
- Diversified customer base across various industries
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Vulnerability to fluctuations in raw material costs (e.g., recycled fiber, energy)
- Sensitivity to economic downturns impacting demand
- Mature market for some paper products
- Capital intensive industry requiring significant ongoing investment
Opportunities
- Continued growth in e-commerce driving demand for corrugated packaging
- Increased focus on sustainable and recyclable packaging solutions
- Expansion into higher-margin specialty packaging applications
- Potential for further consolidation in the industry
- Optimization of logistics and supply chain
Threats
- Intense competition leading to pricing pressure
- Rising energy and transportation costs
- Environmental regulations and sustainability demands
- Disruption from alternative packaging materials
- Economic recessions impacting consumer and industrial spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- International Paper (IP)
- WestRock Company (WRK)
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)
- Smurfit Kappa Group plc (SKG)
Competitive Landscape
PCA competes on price, quality, service, and product innovation. Its integrated model and operational efficiency are key advantages. However, competitors also possess significant scale and market presence. The industry is characterized by a degree of consolidation, with larger players like International Paper and WestRock holding substantial market share.
Major Acquisitions
Ranpak Holdings Corp. - 'The Box Robot' automated packaging system (example, actual acquisition may differ)
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance automation capabilities and offer advanced packaging solutions to customers, improving efficiency and customer service.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: PCA has achieved historical growth through both organic expansion of its existing facilities and strategic acquisitions that have broadened its product offerings and geographic reach. The company has consistently focused on improving operational efficiency and cost management to drive growth.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by increasing demand for corrugated packaging, particularly from the e-commerce sector, and the company's ongoing efforts to optimize its operations and product mix. Analyst estimates generally anticipate continued revenue growth and stable profitability, with some upside potential from new initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include investments in capacity expansions, technological upgrades to improve efficiency, sustainability-focused projects, and potentially strategic bolt-on acquisitions to enhance its market position or capabilities.
Summary
Packaging Corporation of America is a strong, integrated player in the containerboard and corrugated packaging market. Its operational efficiencies, diversified customer base, and focus on growth initiatives like e-commerce demand position it well. However, the company must remain vigilant regarding raw material costs, competitive pressures, and evolving sustainability regulations. Continued investment in innovation and efficiency will be crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (SEC)
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News and Data Providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Market share data is estimated and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Packaging Corp of America
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Lake Forest, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2000-01-27 | Chairman of the Board & CEO Mr. Mark W. Kowlzan | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Packaging & Containers | Full time employees 15400 | Website https://www.packagingcorp.com |
Full time employees 15400 | Website https://www.packagingcorp.com | ||
Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

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