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Packaging Corp of America (PKG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$215.15
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY12%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 70 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/12/2025: PKG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

11 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $213.44

1 Year Target Price $213.44

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$213.44 Target price
52w Low $171.6
Current$215.15
52w High $246.22

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 39.4%
Avg. Invested days 69
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 19.36B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.45
1Y Target Price 213.44
Price to earnings Ratio 21.45
1Y Target Price 213.44
Volume (30-day avg) 11
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 171.60 - 246.22
Updated Date 09/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 171.60 - 246.22
Updated Date 09/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.30%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.03

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 10.47%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.81%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 8.83%
Return on Equity (TTM) 20.65%

Valuation

Trailing PE 21.45
Forward PE 17.86
Enterprise Value 21289435162
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.24
Enterprise Value 21289435162
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.46
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.87
Shares Outstanding 89978800
Shares Floating 87678468
Shares Outstanding 89978800
Shares Floating 87678468
Percent Insiders 1.46
Percent Institutions 94.26

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Packaging Corp of America

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Packaging Corp of America (PCA) was founded in 1959. Originally part of Tenneco, it was spun off as a public company in 1999. PCA has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion to become a major player in the paper and packaging industry.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Packaging: Produces containerboard and corrugated packaging products used for shipping and displaying goods. It's the largest segment by revenue.
  • Paper: Manufactures uncoated freesheet paper used in printing, writing, and converting applications.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Mark W. Kowlzan is the current Chairman and CEO. PCA operates with a decentralized structure, with mills and converting plants organized under regional leadership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Corrugated Packaging: Boxes, displays, and other packaging solutions made from containerboard. Competitors include International Paper, WestRock, and Smurfit Kappa. Market share is estimated at 8-10% of the North American market.
  • Uncoated Freesheet Paper: Paper used for printing, writing, and converting applications. Competitors include Domtar, Resolute Forest Products. Market share is not consistently reported due to market fluctuations and PCA's dual focus.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The paper and packaging industry is mature and cyclical, influenced by economic growth, e-commerce trends, and sustainability initiatives.

Positioning

PCA is a vertically integrated producer with a focus on operational efficiency and customer service. Its strengths include a strong North American presence and a diversified product portfolio.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global packaging market is expected to reach $1.2 trillion by 2027. PCA is positioned to capture a portion of this market, leveraging its containerboard and corrugated packaging production and vertically integrated model.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Vertically integrated operations
  • Strong customer relationships
  • Efficient manufacturing processes
  • Diversified product portfolio
  • Solid financial performance

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to cyclical economic conditions
  • Dependence on raw material costs
  • Environmental regulations
  • Highly competitive market

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for sustainable packaging
  • Expansion in e-commerce packaging
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Increasing international presence

Threats

  • Fluctuations in raw material prices
  • Intense competition
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Economic downturns
  • Stringent environmental regulations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • IP
  • WRK
  • SMFKY

Competitive Landscape

PCA competes on price, service, and product quality. Its vertically integrated operations provide a cost advantage, while its customer focus helps it retain market share.

Major Acquisitions

Boise Packaging

  • Year: 2013
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2060
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded PCA's geographic footprint and increased its containerboard capacity.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: PCA has experienced moderate growth over the past decade, driven by acquisitions and organic expansion.

Future Projections: Analysts expect moderate revenue growth in the coming years, driven by increased demand for sustainable packaging and e-commerce. EPS growth is expected to be in the mid-single digits.

Recent Initiatives: PCA is investing in capital projects to improve efficiency and expand capacity, as well as focusing on sustainable packaging solutions.

Summary

PCA is a solid player in the paper and packaging industry, characterized by vertical integration, efficient operations, and a focus on shareholder returns. Its financial performance is stable, but it's susceptible to economic cycles and raw material cost volatility. The company's focus on sustainable packaging and e-commerce represents significant opportunity for future growth, but intense competition and regulatory burdens require vigilant attention.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor Presentations
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is based on historical performance and is not indicative of future results.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Packaging Corp of America

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Lake Forest, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2000-01-27
Chairman of the Board & CEO Mr. Mark W. Kowlzan
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Packaging & Containers
Full time employees 15400
Full time employees 15400

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.