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Upturn AI Summary - About
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation(KALU)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for KALU
11/09/2026: KALU (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is a specialty aluminum producer that serves high-demand niches in aerospace, packaging, and automotive industries. The company differentiates itself through deep metallurgical expertise and long-term customer relationships, which helps support premium pricing compared to commodity producers. Its recent strategic acquisition of the Warrick facility has successfully diversified its revenue base into the more stable packaging market. Key risks include significant debt, exposure to industrial cycles, and fluctuations in raw material prices. The stock may suit investors seeking a mix of industrial growth and dividend income, provided they are comfortable with the inherent cyclical volatility of the materials sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to cyclical aerospace and automotive markets rather than secular high-growth tech. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Strong recent revenue growth and profitability metrics often attract momentum-based interest. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation fluctuates based on cyclical demand and commodity price sensitivity. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Consistent dividend payouts and a yield around 2% make it suitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Cyclical nature and exposure to commodity price volatility create inherent stock price risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Fluctuations in raw metal prices directly impact margin management and hedging success. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market price can deviate from intrinsic value based on cyclical sentiment. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | Intense pressure from global aluminum producers like Alcoa and Constellium. |
| Business quality | Medium | High-spec focus creates defensible niches but remains tied to industrial capital cycles. |
| Dividend income | Medium | While consistent, the dividend is subject to board approval and company cash flow health. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integration of assets and managing operational efficiencies at scale are critical. |
Price Behavior

Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 42.77% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.26 | 1Y Target Price 141 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.26 | 1Y Target Price 141 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 372.1K shares | Beta 1.71 | 52 Weeks Range 86.12 - 198.55 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 86.12 - 198.55 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.97% | Basic EPS (TTM) 12.93 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace & High Strength | Plates, sheets, and extrusions for aircraft. | The company’s most specialized and high-margin segment. |
| Packaging | Aluminum can sheet for food/beverage. | Provides stable, volume-based demand anchored by the Warrick facility. |
| Automotive & General Engineering | Extruded shapes, rod, and bar products. | Captures demand from automotive lightweighting trends. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-21 | When After Market | Estimate 2.08 | Actual 1.89 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.85% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) 24.53% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.26 | Forward PE 27.7 | Enterprise Value 2.70B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.39 |
Enterprise Value 2.70B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.39 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.76 | Shares Outstanding 16.35M | Shares Floating 15.99M |
Shares Outstanding 16.35M | Shares Floating 15.99M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.48 | Percent Institutions 104.13 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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