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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/17/2025: KDP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Year Target Price $38.62
Year Target Price $38.62
9 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
7 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
0 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 1.25% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 44.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.86 | 1Y Target Price 38.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.86 | 1Y Target Price 38.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.5 | 52 Weeks Range 29.71 - 37.26 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 29.71 - 37.26 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.80% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.1 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 9.69% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.06% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.13% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.86 | Forward PE 16.16 | Enterprise Value 61601670469 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.88 |
Enterprise Value 61601670469 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.06 | Shares Outstanding 1358189952 | Shares Floating 1209620552 |
Shares Outstanding 1358189952 | Shares Floating 1209620552 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.99 | Percent Institutions 87.66 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.1 | Target Price 38.62 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 9 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 9 | ||
Hold 7 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) was formed in 2018 through the merger of Keurig Green Mountain and Dr Pepper Snapple Group. Keurig Green Mountain revolutionized the coffee industry with its single-serve brewing system. Dr Pepper Snapple Group had a long history of beverage production and distribution.
Core Business Areas
- Packaged Beverages: Manufactures, markets, and distributes a wide variety of carbonated soft drinks, juices, teas, mixers, waters, and other premium beverages in bottles, cans, and multipacks.
- Coffee Systems: Focuses on the production and sale of Keurig brewers and single-serve K-Cup pods.
- International: Manages sales and distribution in global markets beyond the U.S. and Canada.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is Tim Cofer. The company operates under a corporate structure with various divisions responsible for different aspects of the business.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Dr Pepper: A carbonated soft drink with a unique blend of 23 flavors. Competitors include Coca-Cola and Pepsi. Dr Pepper is one of KDP's largest revenue drivers. Estimated Market share of 6.7% in the carbonated soft drinks market.
- Keurig Brewers and K-Cups: Single-serve coffee brewing systems and related coffee pods. Competitors include Nespresso and other single-serve coffee systems. Reported system sales were over $4B in 2023 and remains a key differentiator for the company.
- Canada Dry: A brand of ginger ale and other mixers. Competitors include Schweppes and Seagram's. Canada Dry is among KDP's top-selling beverage brands.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The beverage industry is highly competitive and is driven by consumer trends. The coffee market sees shifts towards ready-to-drink and specialty beverages. Consumers are also demanding healthier beverage options and sustainable packaging.
Positioning
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. holds a strong position in both the coffee and beverage industries. The company benefits from its diversified product portfolio and widespread distribution network. They also have a strong presence in the single-serve coffee market.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global beverage market is projected to reach over $2 trillion. KDP is positioned to capture a share of the market, primarily through its coffee and flavored beverage brands. KDP market share is < 1% of the entire market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand portfolio
- Extensive distribution network
- Leading position in single-serve coffee
- Diversified product offerings
- Strong brand loyalty
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Dependence on K-Cup sales
- Sensitivity to commodity price fluctuations
- Changing consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives
- Competitive pressure in the beverage market
Opportunities
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Innovation in healthier beverages
- Growth in ready-to-drink coffee segment
- Strategic acquisitions
- Leveraging e-commerce channels
Threats
- Intense competition
- Changing consumer preferences
- Health concerns about sugary drinks
- Fluctuations in raw material costs
- Regulatory pressures and taxes on sugary beverages
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PEP
- KO
- MNST
Competitive Landscape
KDP competes with larger beverage companies like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. KDP has a strong position in the single-serve coffee market and select beverage categories. Pepsi and Coke generally have better distribution and marketing budgets.
Major Acquisitions
Core Nutrition LLC
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 525
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded KDP's beverage portfolio with premium water and hydration products.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: KDP has experienced steady revenue growth since its formation, driven by organic growth and acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts estimate continued revenue growth in the mid-single digits, driven by innovation and expansion.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new product development and partnerships in emerging beverage categories.
Summary
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a strong player in the beverage and coffee industries, boasting a diversified product portfolio and extensive distribution network. While carrying significant debt, the company generates robust cash flow and has a solid growth trajectory. KDP faces stiff competition and changing consumer preferences and needs to maintain its strong brands and innovate to maintain its growth and market share.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Keurig Dr Pepper Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Burlington, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-09-21 | CEO & Director Mr. Timothy P. Cofer | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Full time employees 29000 | Website https://www.keurigdrpepper.com |
Full time employees 29000 | Website https://www.keurigdrpepper.com |
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International. The company manufactures and distributes branded concentrates, syrup, and finished beverages, as well as sales of owned brands and third-party brands; tea, cocoa, and other products; and offers finished goods relating to K-Cup pods, single serve brewers, specialty coffee, and ready to drink coffee products. It offers its products under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Mott's, A&W, Peñafiel, Snapple, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, GHOST, Clamato, Core Hydration, The Original Donut Shop, Sunkist soda, Squirt, C4 Energy, Hawaiian Punch, Electrolit, Bai, Evian, Yoo-Hoo, Vita Coco, Big Red, Crush, McCafé, Tim Hortons, Van Houtte, Celestial Seasonings, Bigelow, Starbucks, Dunkin', Folgers, Peet's, and Swiss Miss brands, as well as other partner and private label brands. The company markets and sells its products to supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, pure-play e-commerce retailers, office superstores, restaurants, hotel chains, office product and coffee distributors, partner brand owners, and directly to consumers through Keurig.com website. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.
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