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Luminar Technologies (LAZR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: LAZR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $2.67
1 Year Target Price $2.67
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -88.03% | Avg. Invested days 16 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 145.09M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.95 | 52 Weeks Range 1.58 - 18.60 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.58 - 18.60 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.38 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -166.09% | Operating Margin (TTM) -244.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -53.53% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2424.67% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 513329005 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2 |
Enterprise Value 513329005 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.75 | Shares Outstanding 63891900 | Shares Floating 62865155 |
Shares Outstanding 63891900 | Shares Floating 62865155 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.92 | Percent Institutions 23.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Luminar Technologies

Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 2012 by Austin Russell, Luminar Technologies focuses on developing LiDAR and perception software for autonomous vehicles. Initially working in stealth, Luminar gained prominence in the late 2010s through partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and technology companies. It went public via a SPAC in December 2020.
Core Business Areas
- LiDAR Hardware: Development and production of LiDAR sensors for autonomous driving, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and other applications.
- Perception Software: Development of software algorithms for processing LiDAR data and creating a comprehensive 3D understanding of the environment. These are AI driven solutions that are optimized for Luminar LiDAR data.
Leadership and Structure
Austin Russell is the Founder and CEO. The company has a typical hierarchical structure with departments for engineering, sales, marketing, and finance. Significant leadership roles include the CTO and CFO. The BOD includes leaders from other tech companies.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Hydra LiDAR: Luminar's core LiDAR sensor, used by various automotive partners. It has leading performance in range and resolution, offering 10x the resolution of legacy LiDAR systems. Competitors include Velodyne, Innoviz, and Aeva. Luminar claims to have design wins covering the majority of the automotive market. They have contracts valued at over $4 billion dollars.
- Iris LiDAR: A cost-optimized LiDAR sensor designed for mass-market automotive integration, targeting ADAS applications. Competitors are Ouster and Hesai. Revenue contribution to Luminar is smaller than Hydra at the moment, but is projected to take on a larger revenue footprint by 2025.
- Sentinel: Luminar's integrated hardware and software perception stack, that provides end to end autonomous driving data. The software leverages AI to improve performance. Velodyne Vella and Innoviz Perception are competitors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The LiDAR market is rapidly expanding, driven by the increasing demand for autonomous driving and ADAS technologies. Key trends include miniaturization, cost reduction, and improved performance. Government regulations regarding ADAS is also a tail wind in the market.
Positioning
Luminar is positioned as a leading provider of high-performance LiDAR sensors. The company differentiate itself through technology leadership, strong automotive partnerships, and a focus on long-range sensing. The market is moving towards higher-performance sensors, favoring Luminar's approach.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for autonomous vehicle sensors is projected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars by 2030. Luminar is targeting a significant portion of this market with its high-performance LiDAR solutions. They estimate $30B in revenues by 2030.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Technology leadership in LiDAR performance
- Strong partnerships with major automotive manufacturers
- First-mover advantage in the automotive LiDAR market
- Significant cash reserves
Weaknesses
- High operating expenses
- Relatively low current revenue compared to market capitalization
- Dependence on automotive industry adoption rates
- Past negative cash flow
Opportunities
- Expanding into new markets beyond automotive (e.g., industrial automation, robotics)
- Developing advanced perception software solutions
- Securing additional partnerships and contracts
- Leveraging scale to reduce costs
Threats
- Competition from established LiDAR manufacturers and new entrants
- Technological disruptions in sensor technology
- Economic downturn impacting automotive sales
- Regulatory delays in autonomous vehicle deployment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- VLDR
- OUST
- LAZR
- HSAI
Competitive Landscape
Luminar's advantages include its technology leadership and strong automotive partnerships. However, it faces competition from established LiDAR manufacturers with greater manufacturing capabilities and lower costs.
Major Acquisitions
OptoGration
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Vertically integrated InGaAs chip design and fabrication capability, and increased performance and reduces costs.
Freedom Photonics
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 175
- Strategic Rationale: Integrated indium phosphide (InP) based laser chip that enables a new class of high-performance LiDAR sensors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Luminar has experienced significant revenue growth since its inception, driven by increasing demand for its LiDAR technology.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Luminar, driven by increasing adoption of ADAS and autonomous driving technologies. They forecast revenue exceeding $1 billion by 2027. The long-term outlook depends on securing additional automotive contracts.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding production capacity, developing new LiDAR sensor technologies, and strengthening partnerships with automotive manufacturers and technology companies.
Summary
Luminar Technologies is a leading LiDAR company with strong technology and automotive partnerships but faces challenges in achieving profitability. It is working to scale revenue while managing costs. The company's long-term success depends on securing additional contracts and navigating competition and technological changes in the industry. They need to improve manufacturing and cost management.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Luminar Technologies' investor relations website, SEC filings, analyst reports, industry publications, and press releases.
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents a snapshot in time. Market conditions and company performance can change, so this should not be considered financial advice. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Luminar Technologies
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Orlando, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-03-25 | CEO & Director Mr. Paul A. Ricci | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 580 | Website https://www.luminartech.com |
Full time employees 580 | Website https://www.luminartech.com |
Luminar Technologies, Inc., an automotive technology company, provides sensor technologies and software for passenger cars and commercial trucks in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East. It operates in two segments, Autonomy Solutions and Advanced Technologies and Services. The Autonomy Solutions segment designs, manufactures, and sells laser imaging, detection, and ranging sensors or lidars, as well as related perception and autonomy software solutions primarily for original equipment manufacturers in the automobile, commercial vehicle, robo-taxi, and adjacent industries. The Advanced Technologies and Services segment develops application-specific integrated circuits, pixel-based sensors, and advanced lasers. This segment also designs, tests, and provides consulting services for non-standard integrated circuits for use in automobile and aeronautics sector, as well as government spending in military and defense activities. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.

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