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Luminar Technologies (LAZR)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/29/2025: LAZR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $15
1 Year Target Price $15
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -88.03% | Avg. Invested days 16 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.67M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.48 | 52 Weeks Range 0.07 - 8.53 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.07 - 8.53 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.87 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -340.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -48.44% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2424.67% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 385193725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 |
Enterprise Value 385193725 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.75 | Shares Outstanding 72986496 | Shares Floating 71936334 |
Shares Outstanding 72986496 | Shares Floating 71936334 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.09 | Percent Institutions 26.68 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Luminar Technologies

Company Overview
History and Background
Luminar Technologies was founded in 2012 by Austin Russell. The company's primary focus is on developing LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) technology for autonomous vehicles and other industries. Significant milestones include the development of its Iris LiDAR sensor and partnerships with major automotive manufacturers. Luminar went public through a SPAC merger with Gores Metropoulos in December 2020.
Core Business Areas
- Lidar Technology Development: Luminar designs, manufactures, and sells advanced LiDAR sensors and software solutions primarily for automotive applications, enabling enhanced perception for autonomous driving systems.
- Autonomous Driving Solutions: Beyond hardware, Luminar provides integrated software and data processing to support the deployment of autonomous vehicles, offering a comprehensive perception stack.
- Industrial and Other Applications: Luminar's LiDAR technology is also being explored and adapted for use in other industries such as robotics, logistics, and industrial automation.
Leadership and Structure
Luminar Technologies is led by its co-founder and CEO, Austin Russell. The company operates with a lean management structure focused on engineering and product development, with key executives in engineering, operations, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Luminar Iris LiDAR Sensor: The flagship Iris sensor is a high-performance, long-range LiDAR system designed for mass-market automotive adoption. It offers superior resolution, range, and reliability compared to previous generations. Competitors include Velodyne Lidar (now Ouster), Hesai Technology, and Cepton Technologies. Specific market share data for individual LiDAR sensors is not publicly disclosed, but Luminar aims for significant adoption in new vehicle platforms. Revenue generation is primarily through sensor sales and potential licensing agreements.
- Luminar Sentinel Software Platform: This platform integrates LiDAR data with other sensor inputs (cameras, radar) to create a comprehensive perception system for autonomous vehicles. It's designed to be modular and scalable. Competitors in the perception software space include Waymo, Aurora, and various Tier-1 automotive suppliers. Revenue from this segment is tied to the adoption of Luminar's hardware and integration services.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The LiDAR industry for automotive applications is rapidly evolving, driven by the increasing demand for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and fully autonomous vehicles. The market is characterized by technological innovation, intense competition, and significant capital investment. Regulatory frameworks and safety standards are also playing a crucial role in market development.
Positioning
Luminar is positioned as a leader in developing high-performance, automotive-grade LiDAR for mass-market production. Its key competitive advantage lies in its proprietary "over-the-air" (OTA) upgradeable architecture, its long-range sensing capabilities, and its focus on building integrated solutions with automotive OEMs. The company has secured significant design wins with major automakers, aiming to become a primary supplier.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for automotive LiDAR is projected to be tens of billions of dollars by the end of the decade, driven by the widespread adoption of ADAS and autonomous driving. Luminar is positioning itself to capture a substantial portion of this market through its strategic partnerships and its focus on high-volume production of its Iris sensor.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary LiDAR technology with superior performance characteristics (range, resolution).
- Strong relationships and design wins with major automotive OEMs.
- Integrated hardware and software solutions for autonomous driving.
- Focus on mass-market adoption and cost-effectiveness for automotive applications.
- Experienced leadership team with deep technical expertise.
Weaknesses
- High R&D costs and significant capital expenditure required for scaling production.
- Reliance on automotive industry cycles and OEM adoption timelines.
- Lidar market is still maturing, and widespread adoption of Level 4/5 autonomy is not yet a reality.
- Competition from established players and emerging technologies.
- Profitability has not yet been achieved.
Opportunities
- Increasing demand for ADAS and autonomous driving features in new vehicles.
- Expansion into adjacent markets like robotics, logistics, and industrial automation.
- Development of new LiDAR applications and functionalities.
- Potential for industry consolidation and strategic partnerships.
- Government incentives and regulations supporting autonomous vehicle development.
Threats
- Slower-than-expected adoption of autonomous driving technology.
- Intensifying competition from existing and new LiDAR manufacturers.
- Technological obsolescence or breakthroughs by competitors.
- Economic downturns impacting automotive production and consumer spending.
- Supply chain disruptions and manufacturing challenges.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Ouster, Inc. (OUST)
- Hesai Technology Group (HSAI)
- Cepton, Inc. (CPTN)
- Innoviz Technologies Ltd. (INVZ)
Competitive Landscape
Luminar's advantages lie in its performance and its strong relationships with major OEMs, positioning it for significant volume adoption. However, it faces intense competition from both established players and innovative newcomers, many of whom are also vying for automotive contracts. Price, performance, and integration capabilities are key differentiators.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Luminar has demonstrated significant revenue growth in recent years, driven by securing design wins and beginning production with key automotive OEMs. The company has successfully transitioned from R&D to initial production phases.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued revenue growth for Luminar Technologies as more vehicle programs incorporating its LiDAR technology reach mass production. The company anticipates expanding its customer base and increasing the volume of sensor shipments. Profitability is projected to improve over the long term as production scales and unit costs decrease.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on expanding manufacturing capacity, strengthening partnerships with automotive OEMs and Tier-1 suppliers, and developing next-generation LiDAR technology. The company is also actively pursuing opportunities in new market segments beyond automotive.
Summary
Luminar Technologies is a promising player in the automotive LiDAR market, boasting advanced technology and strong OEM partnerships. Its growth trajectory is tied to the accelerating adoption of autonomous driving features. However, the company faces significant challenges related to profitability, intense competition, and the inherent long development cycles of the automotive industry. Continued investment in scaling production and securing further design wins will be crucial for its long-term success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Luminar Technologies Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data accuracy is subject to the availability and timeliness of public disclosures. Market share data is an estimation based on industry trends and competitive analysis.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Luminar Technologies
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Orlando, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-03-25 | CEO & Director Mr. Paul A. Ricci | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 580 | Website https://www.luminartech.com |
Full time employees 580 | Website https://www.luminartech.com | ||
Luminar Technologies, Inc., an automotive technology company, provides sensor technologies and software for passenger cars and commercial trucks in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East. It operates in two segments, Autonomy Solutions and Advanced Technologies and Services. The Autonomy Solutions segment designs, manufactures, and sells laser imaging, detection, and ranging sensors or lidars, as well as related perception and autonomy software solutions primarily for original equipment manufacturers in the automobile, commercial vehicle, robo-taxi, and adjacent industries. The Advanced Technologies and Services segment develops application-specific integrated circuits, pixel-based sensors, and advanced lasers. This segment also designs, tests, and provides consulting services for non-standard integrated circuits for use in automobile and aeronautics sector, as well as government spending in military and defense activities. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida. On December 15, 2025, Luminar Technologies, Inc., along with its affiliates, filed a voluntary petition for reorganization under Chapter 11 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Texas.

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