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Upturn AI Summary - About
Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (LION)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LION
10/23/2026: LION (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. is a pure-play motion picture and television production company known for its diverse library and successful action franchises like 'John Wick'. The company's primary strength lies in its ability to produce scalable content for global audiences while maintaining a large, valuable library of titles. Its core growth story is centered on maximizing licensing revenue from streaming platforms rather than managing its own proprietary ecosystem. Investors should note significant risks related to debt levels, box office volatility, and reliance on franchise performance. This stock may suit investors seeking content production exposure, though it carries high volatility risks and is currently not suitable for income-focused dividend portfolios.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is tied to lumpy content release cycles rather than consistent, scalable platform growth. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may favor the stock during major theatrical hit cycles or M&A speculation. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation depends heavily on the intrinsic value of the library assets versus the debt load. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not prioritize regular dividend payouts given its capital-intensive business model. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High sensitivity to box office outcomes and media sector disruption creates significant volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is highly sensitive to theatrical release performance and market sentiment on media stocks. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Assessing the true value of deep library assets remains complex for market participants. |
| Competition risk (streaming platform leverage) | High | As a pure-play studio, Lionsgate has limited leverage against dominant streaming platforms. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company holds quality IP, but lacks the scale and distribution depth of larger integrated media conglomerates. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Lionsgate is not a source of reliable yield for income-focused investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Success relies heavily on hitting the mark with high-budget creative projects. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 12.71% | Avg. Invested days 57 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.72B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.08 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.08 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.5M shares | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 6.14 - 16.70 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 6.14 - 16.70 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.17 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Motion Pictures | Theatrical releases, digital rentals, and physical media sales for films like 'John Wick'. | The company makes money when people pay to watch their movies in theaters or at home. |
| Television Production | Licensing of scripted and unscripted series to networks and streaming platforms. | This is a B2B business where they act as a supplier to major networks and streaming services. |
| Content Library | Long-term licensing of back-catalog titles to global broadcasters and streamers. | This provides a steady, recurring base of revenue from older, proven movies and shows. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 23.58 | Enterprise Value 6.88B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.14 |
Enterprise Value 6.88B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.14 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.58 | Shares Outstanding 12.50M | Shares Floating 9.97M |
Shares Outstanding 12.50M | Shares Floating 9.97M | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 100.55 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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