Lemonade Inc logo

Lemonade Inc(LMND)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$44.93
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LMND

09/25/2026: LMND (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Lemonade Inc is a technology-first insurance company that aims to disrupt the traditional personal lines market through AI-driven automation and behavioral economics. The company has a leading position in appealing to younger, mobile-first consumers and has successfully expanded its product portfolio into life, pet, and auto insurance. Its primary investment story centers on the scalable nature of its AI platform, which aims to improve efficiency and customer experience over time. However, investors must consider the risks related to its ongoing net losses, high customer acquisition costs, and intense competition from well-capitalized legacy insurers. Lemonade is generally suited for growth-oriented investors who are comfortable with high volatility.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveLemonade's focus on disruption and rapid premium growth appeals to those seeking high-potential tech-driven expansion.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum appeal depends on consistent signals of improved profitability and market share capture.
Value investorWeak fitThe company's lack of current profitability makes it an unsuitable candidate for traditional value-based investment strategies.
Dividend investorWeak fitLemonade does not pay dividends, making it inappropriate for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and the absence of established profitability create risks that typically conflict with low-risk investment goals.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock's growth-stage nature leads to significant price fluctuations based on sentiment and earnings misses.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuation is sensitive to growth expectations, making the stock susceptible to corrections if growth slows.
Competition risk (AI competition)HighLegacy insurers are aggressively adopting digital tools, threatening to erode Lemonade's first-mover tech advantage.
Business qualityMediumThe business model is innovative, but the path to sustainable, high-margin profitability is still being proven.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income, so it does not meet income-generation requirements.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends on the company's ability to maintain low loss ratios while scaling its AI platform.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Highly Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Highly Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.13%
Avg. Invested days 23
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
LMND receives a 2-star rating, supported by available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
LMND has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+18.2%) and strong revenue growth (+40.2%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin -3.5%), soft profitability (net margin -22.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
LMND's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 0.0%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is LMND's strongest growth driver at +40.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+18.2%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-24.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 61.4% and approximately 92.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 8.56% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

JPMorgan Chase & Co 6.80%
BlackRock Inc 6.42%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.90%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.85%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 3.55%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
LMND generates approximately $403 of gross profit, $-218 of operating income, and $-35 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -2.86% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
LMND has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.50B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 59.22
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 59.22
Volume (30-day avg) 1.0M shares
Beta 1.87
52 Weeks Range 43.28 - 99.90
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 43.28 - 99.90
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.82

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Insurance PremiumsCollects premiums from customers for home, car, life, and pet insurance products.Revenue is generated by selling insurance policies, though net profit depends on keeping claims costs lower than premiums.
Geographic OperationsPrimary operations are focused on the United States, with some international expansion efforts.The company relies heavily on the US insurance market, exposing it to regional regulatory and competitive dynamics.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 3.29B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.59
Enterprise Value 3.29B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.59
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.38
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 77.40M
Shares Floating 71.77M
Shares Outstanding 77.40M
Shares Floating 71.77M
Percent Insiders 8.56
Percent Institutions 61.37

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Lemonade Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-07-02
CO-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel Asher Schreiber
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Full time employees 1282
Full time employees 1282

Lemonade, Inc. provides various insurance products in the United States, Europe, and the United Kingdom. The company provides renters and homeowners, building, car, pet, and life insurance products, as well as landlord insurance products. It also offers insurance for stolen or damaged property, and personal liability that protects its customers if they are responsible for an accident or damage to another person or their property. In addition, it operates as an agent for other insurance companies. The company was formerly known as Lemonade Group, Inc. Lemonade, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.