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El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc (LOCO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$10.9
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY1.87%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 18 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: LOCO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

5 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $14

1 Year Target Price $14

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$14Target price
Low$8.29
Current$10.9
high$14.25

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -11.77%
Avg. Invested days 40
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 327.57M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.67
1Y Target Price 14
Price to earnings Ratio 12.67
1Y Target Price 14
Volume (30-day avg) 5
Beta 1.03
52 Weeks Range 8.29 - 14.25
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.29 - 14.25
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.86

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.3%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.16%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.68%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.67
Forward PE 14.03
Enterprise Value 585688392
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69
Enterprise Value 585688392
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.42
Shares Outstanding 30052200
Shares Floating 21655305
Shares Outstanding 30052200
Shares Floating 21655305
Percent Insiders 2.85
Percent Institutions 99.94

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 14
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold 3
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

El Pollo Loco, founded in 1975 in Guasave, Mexico, expanded to the US in 1980. It is known for its citrus-marinated, fire-grilled chicken. Became a public company as El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in 2014.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: Involves owning, operating, and franchising El Pollo Loco restaurants. Core offerings include fire-grilled chicken meals, bowls, salads, and sides.
  • Franchising: Licenses the El Pollo Loco brand and operating system to franchisees, generating revenue through royalties and franchise fees.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

CEO: Larry Roberts. Operates with a traditional corporate structure, including executive leadership, board of directors, and various functional departments (marketing, operations, finance, etc.).

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Fire-Grilled Chicken: El Pollo Loco's signature product, consisting of citrus-marinated, fire-grilled chicken. Competitors include KFC, Popeyes, and other chicken-focused chains. Hard to say market share of this specific product.
  • Bowls: Various bowls featuring chicken, rice, beans, and other ingredients. Competitors include Chipotle and Qdoba. Hard to say market share of this specific product.
  • Chicken Meals: Offers Chicken meals for individuals and families with signature chicken and sides. Competitors include KFC, Popeyes, and other chicken-focused chains. Hard to say market share of this specific product.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The fast-casual restaurant industry is highly competitive and subject to changing consumer preferences, food costs, and labor market conditions.

Positioning

El Pollo Loco positions itself as a fast-casual chain offering authentic Mexican-inspired cuisine, differentiating through its fire-grilled chicken preparation and flavors.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The fast-casual restaurant market is estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars annually. El Pollo Loco holds a small but significant portion, focusing on the Mexican-inspired segment.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Unique fire-grilled chicken offering
  • Strong brand recognition in core markets (California)
  • Established franchise system
  • Relatively healthy menu options

Weaknesses

  • Geographic concentration (primarily West Coast)
  • Vulnerability to fluctuations in chicken prices
  • High labor costs in California
  • Intense competition in the fast-casual space

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Menu innovation and limited-time offers
  • Increased focus on digital ordering and delivery
  • Strategic partnerships with third-party delivery services

Threats

  • Rising food and labor costs
  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Increased competition from other fast-casual chains
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • CMG
  • YUM
  • ARCO
  • WEN

Competitive Landscape

El Pollo Loco competes on taste, authenticity, and value. Its unique fire-grilled chicken is a key differentiator. Geographic concentration is a disadvantage.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Growth has been moderate, driven by new restaurant openings and same-store sales increases. Requires specific, up-to-date data.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary but generally project continued moderate growth. Requires specific, up-to-date data.

Recent Initiatives: Focus on digital ordering, drive-thru enhancements, and menu innovation.

Summary

El Pollo Loco is a regionally strong fast-casual chain known for its unique fire-grilled chicken. While its brand is well-established, geographic concentration and competition pose challenges. Focusing on expansion and operational efficiencies are key to its future success.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
  • Company Filings (SEC)
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Costa Mesa, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-07-25
CEO & Director Ms. Elizabeth Goodwin Williams
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 4000
Full time employees 4000

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. The company operates and franchises restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Colorado, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses its brand to restaurants in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.