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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: LOPE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $222.67
1 Year Target Price $222.67
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -16.96% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.92B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.63 | 1Y Target Price 222.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.63 | 1Y Target Price 222.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.75 | 52 Weeks Range 149.83 - 223.04 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 149.83 - 223.04 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.42 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.38% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.63 | Forward PE 17.36 | Enterprise Value 4736426842 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.51 |
Enterprise Value 4736426842 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.51 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.52 | Shares Outstanding 27968476 | Shares Floating 26990978 |
Shares Outstanding 27968476 | Shares Floating 26990978 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.08 | Percent Institutions 100.78 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grand Canyon Education Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Grand Canyon Education Inc. (GCE) was founded in 1949 and is a privately held for-profit provider of online higher education services. It operates exclusively in partnership with Grand Canyon University (GCU), a private Christian university. GCE provides a comprehensive suite of services including academic program development, marketing and admissions, instructional support, and technology infrastructure for GCU's online programs. Significant milestones include its evolution from a traditional campus-based institution to a hybrid model and its substantial growth in online enrollment, making it a major player in the online education sector.
Core Business Areas
- Educational Services for GCU: GCE provides comprehensive support services to Grand Canyon University, enabling GCU to offer a wide range of accredited degree programs online and on its traditional campus. This includes curriculum design, faculty recruitment and management, student support services, and administrative functions.
- Technology and Infrastructure: GCE is responsible for the development and maintenance of the technology infrastructure required for online learning, including learning management systems, student portals, and other digital tools that facilitate remote education.
- Marketing and Admissions: GCE handles the marketing and admissions processes for GCU's programs, attracting and enrolling students into various degree programs across undergraduate, graduate, and doctoral levels.
Leadership and Structure
Grand Canyon Education Inc. operates as the service provider for Grand Canyon University. The leadership of GCE is closely aligned with the leadership of GCU. Key figures often hold dual roles or are deeply involved in the strategic direction of both entities. The organizational structure is designed to efficiently manage the complex operations of a large, multi-modal university, with departments focusing on academics, student services, technology, finance, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Online Degree Programs: GCE facilitates the delivery of a diverse portfolio of online bachelor's, master's, and doctoral degree programs across various disciplines. While specific revenue figures per program are not publicly disclosed by GCE, the success of these programs drives GCU's overall enrollment and revenue. Competitors include other for-profit and non-profit institutions offering online degrees, such as University of Phoenix (APOL), Purdue University Global (PUR), and regional public universities with online offerings.
- Hybrid Learning Solutions: Beyond fully online offerings, GCE supports GCU's hybrid learning models which combine online coursework with on-campus residencies or limited in-person sessions. This caters to students seeking a more traditional university experience while maintaining flexibility. Competitors offer similar hybrid models, though the competitive landscape is vast and fragmented.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The higher education industry, particularly the online segment, is characterized by increasing demand for flexible and accessible learning options. The market is highly competitive, with a mix of traditional universities, for-profit institutions, and new entrants leveraging technology. Factors influencing the industry include evolving workforce demands, technological advancements, government regulations, and shifting student demographics. The growth of online education has been significant, accelerated by recent global events.
Positioning
Grand Canyon Education Inc., through its partnership with Grand Canyon University, is positioned as a leading provider of affordable and accessible higher education, particularly for working adults seeking to advance their careers. Its strengths lie in its established operational infrastructure, proprietary technology, and a strong focus on student outcomes and affordability. GCE benefits from GCU's accreditation and its ability to scale its offerings efficiently.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for online higher education in the US is substantial and continues to grow. While precise TAM figures vary by definition, estimates often run into hundreds of billions of dollars, encompassing all forms of post-secondary education, including online, hybrid, and traditional programs. GCE, through GCU, is a significant player within this market, particularly in the segment of accredited, affordable online degree programs. Their position is strong within this specific niche, but they are one of many providers within the broader TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong partnership with an accredited university (GCU)
- Economies of scale in online program delivery
- Proprietary technology and learning management systems
- Focus on affordability and student value
- Experienced management team with deep industry knowledge
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a single university partner (GCU)
- Potential regulatory scrutiny common to for-profit education providers
- Brand perception tied to the for-profit model
- Competition from established non-profit institutions and emerging online providers
Opportunities
- Expansion into new degree programs and subject areas
- Further development and application of educational technology
- International market expansion for online programs
- Partnerships with corporations for employee training and degree programs
- Leveraging data analytics to improve student retention and outcomes
Threats
- Changes in government regulations and funding policies for higher education
- Increased competition from both traditional and new online education providers
- Reputational risks associated with the for-profit education sector
- Economic downturns impacting student enrollment and ability to pay
- Rapid technological changes requiring continuous investment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- University of Phoenix (APOL)
- Purdue University Global (PUR)
- Southern New Hampshire University (SNHU)
- Walden University (LRN)
Competitive Landscape
GCE holds a strong position due to its unique partnership model with GCU, offering accredited degrees at competitive price points. Its primary advantage is the comprehensive, integrated service model that supports GCU's large student body. However, it faces intense competition from other large online providers and increasingly from traditional universities expanding their online footprints. GCE's ability to maintain affordability and perceived value is crucial in this landscape.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GCE has experienced substantial historical growth, primarily driven by the significant expansion of GCU's online enrollment. This growth has been fueled by strategic investments in marketing, technology, and program development, enabling them to capture a considerable share of the online higher education market.
Future Projections: Future projections for GCE are generally positive, contingent on continued strong enrollment trends and the ability to adapt to evolving educational landscapes. Analysts often forecast modest but steady revenue and earnings growth, supported by GCU's established brand and operational efficiencies. Growth may also be driven by diversification into new program areas or strategic partnerships.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on enhancing the online learning experience through technology, expanding program offerings to meet emerging workforce needs, and optimizing operational efficiency to maintain affordability. This could include investments in AI-driven learning tools, micro-credentialing, and further integration of on-campus and online student experiences.
Summary
Grand Canyon Education Inc. is a strong player in the online higher education sector, effectively leveraging its partnership with Grand Canyon University to deliver affordable and accessible degrees. Its robust operational infrastructure, proprietary technology, and focus on student outcomes are key strengths. However, its reliance on a single university partner and the inherent scrutiny of the for-profit education model present potential challenges. Continued investment in technology and program diversification are crucial for sustained growth in a competitive market.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Financial Filings (e.g., SEC filings)
- Industry reports and market research
- Financial news and analysis platforms
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is an estimation based on industry trends and publicly available enrollment figures. Specific financial figures and future projections are subject to change and depend on numerous external factors.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grand Canyon Education Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com | ||
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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