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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: LOPE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $217.33
1 Year Target Price $217.33
1 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.28% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.38B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.8 | 1Y Target Price 217.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.8 | 1Y Target Price 217.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.8 | 52 Weeks Range 130.69 - 202.28 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 130.69 - 202.28 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.96 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 30.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.98% | Return on Equity (TTM) 29.85% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.8 | Forward PE 21.64 | Enterprise Value 5176211730 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.13 |
Enterprise Value 5176211730 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.6 | Shares Outstanding 28374500 | Shares Floating 27340472 |
Shares Outstanding 28374500 | Shares Floating 27340472 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.1 | Percent Institutions 100.81 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2 | Target Price 217.33 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grand Canyon Education Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Grand Canyon Education Inc. (GCE) was founded in 1949 as Grand Canyon College. It transitioned to a for-profit model in 2004. In 2018, GCE restructured, selling its university operations to Grand Canyon University (GCU), a non-profit institution, and becoming a service provider for GCU and other institutions.
Core Business Areas
- Online Program Management (OPM): Provides services such as technology, marketing, enrollment, and curriculum support to Grand Canyon University and other partner institutions.
- Counseling and Other Services: Provides counseling and other support services to students enrolled in programs supported by GCE.
Leadership and Structure
Brian Mueller serves as the Chairman and CEO. The organizational structure is focused on providing services to partner institutions, primarily GCU.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Online Education Services: GCE primarily offers services to GCU related to online education. No specific market share is independently reported as these services are primarily for GCU. Competitors in the OPM space include 2U (TWOU), Pearson (PSO), and Wiley (WLY).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The OPM market is growing, driven by increased demand for online education and institutions seeking to expand their online presence without building internal capabilities. The industry faces scrutiny regarding tuition costs and regulatory compliance.
Positioning
GCE is heavily reliant on its relationship with GCU. Its competitive advantage lies in its long-standing partnership and deep understanding of GCU's needs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The OPM market is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars globally. GCE's positioning is strongly tied to GCU's market share and growth within the broader higher education market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong relationship with GCU
- Proven track record in online program management
- Experience in higher education services
Weaknesses
- High reliance on GCU
- Limited diversification in client base
- Regulatory risks associated with for-profit education
Opportunities
- Expanding partnerships with other universities
- Growing demand for online education
- Developing new service offerings
Threats
- Changes in regulations affecting for-profit education
- Increased competition in the OPM market
- Reputational risks associated with GCU or the broader for-profit education sector
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TWOU
- PSO
- WLY
Competitive Landscape
GCE's competitive advantage is its established relationship with GCU. However, its reliance on a single client makes it vulnerable compared to competitors with more diversified portfolios.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth rates can be derived from past financial statements. Requires access to financial databases.
Future Projections: Analyst projections are available from financial data providers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives would include any new partnerships announced or service expansions.
Summary
Grand Canyon Education relies heavily on its relationship with Grand Canyon University. This allows for steady revenue but introduces a high degree of risk. GCE has opportunities to diversify its client base. Regulatory changes in the for-profit education sector are a significant risk.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Reports
- Market Research
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Financial data requires access to real-time financial databases and may not be completely accurate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grand Canyon Education Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
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