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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/10/2025: LOPE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $222.67
1 Year Target Price $222.67
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -16.96% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.31 | 1Y Target Price 222.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.31 | 1Y Target Price 222.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.78 | 52 Weeks Range 149.83 - 223.04 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 149.83 - 223.04 | Updated Date 12/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.63 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.38% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.31 | Forward PE 15.34 | Enterprise Value 4168666780 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.99 |
Enterprise Value 4168666780 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.82 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.9 | Shares Outstanding 27968476 | Shares Floating 26979097 |
Shares Outstanding 27968476 | Shares Floating 26979097 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.08 | Percent Institutions 100.69 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grand Canyon Education Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) was founded in 1994. It initially operated as a traditional university, Grand Canyon University (GCU). In 2004, it transitioned to a for-profit online university model. A significant milestone occurred in 2018 when GCE spun off its traditional university operations into a non-profit entity, Grand Canyon University, while GCE retained the for-profit online segment and the university's technology and support services. This allowed GCE to focus on providing educational services and technology to other institutions.
Core Business Areas
- University Services: Provides a comprehensive suite of technology solutions, academic services, and operational support to Grand Canyon University. This includes student enrollment, academic advising, career services, IT infrastructure, and administrative functions. GCE also offers its services to other educational institutions.
- Online Program Management (OPM): Partners with other universities to design, develop, market, and deliver online degree programs. GCE handles student recruitment, retention, and course delivery for its partner institutions, enabling them to expand their online reach.
Leadership and Structure
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is led by a management team that oversees the operations of its various service divisions. Key leadership roles typically include a CEO, CFO, and heads of various operational and academic service departments. The company is structured to support both its internal university services for GCU and its external OPM partnerships.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- University Technology and Support Services: This encompasses a broad range of IT infrastructure, software platforms, student management systems, and operational support services essential for running a modern university. This service is critical for GCU and is offered to other institutions. Competitors in this space include other OPM providers and specialized ed-tech companies. Market share data is difficult to isolate for this specific service as it's often bundled.
- Online Program Management (OPM) Services: GCE's OPM services are designed to help partner universities launch and manage their online degree programs. This includes marketing, student enrollment, retention, and course delivery. Key competitors in the OPM market include 2U, Inc., Coursera for Campus, and Pearson. Market share for OPM is fragmented, but GCE holds a significant position among for-profit providers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The higher education technology and services industry is characterized by increasing demand for online learning, a need for efficient operational support, and a growing trend of universities outsourcing non-core functions. The sector is competitive, with both established players and new entrants leveraging technology to enhance educational delivery and student outcomes.
Positioning
Grand Canyon Education is uniquely positioned due to its long-standing relationship and integrated services with Grand Canyon University, providing a deep understanding of university operations. Its OPM services leverage this expertise to attract and support partner institutions. Its competitive advantages lie in its operational efficiency and comprehensive service offerings.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for educational technology and services, including OPM, is substantial and growing, estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars globally. Grand Canyon Education is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its existing GCU relationship and its expansion into partnerships with other universities.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong operational synergy with Grand Canyon University.
- Proven track record in managing large-scale online education.
- Comprehensive suite of technology and academic support services.
- Scalable business model for OPM partnerships.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on GCU, although diversifying.
- Perception challenges associated with for-profit education.
- Intense competition in the OPM and ed-tech space.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new OPM partnerships with diverse institutions.
- Development of new technology solutions for education.
- Growth in the global online education market.
- Leveraging data analytics to improve student outcomes and operational efficiency.
Threats
- Regulatory changes affecting for-profit education.
- Increased competition from established and emerging ed-tech companies.
- Economic downturns impacting university enrollment and spending.
- Potential for increased scrutiny of the OPM model.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- 2U, Inc. (TWOU)
- Coursera Inc. (COUR)
- Stride, Inc. (LRN)
Competitive Landscape
GCE's advantages lie in its deep operational experience from managing GCU and its integrated technology solutions. However, it faces stiff competition from other OPM providers, some of which have broader global reach or different partnership models. GCE's ability to offer a full spectrum of services, from technology to student support, is a key differentiator.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GCE has experienced consistent historical growth, driven by the expansion of its service offerings and its successful OPM partnerships. The transition to a non-profit university model for GCU allowed GCE to focus on its scalable service business.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued revenue and earnings growth for GCE, supported by ongoing OPM expansion and increasing demand for online education services. Growth is expected to be driven by attracting new university partners and enhancing services for existing ones.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on expanding the OPM segment by securing new university partnerships, further developing its technology platform, and exploring new service lines within the education technology sector.
Summary
Grand Canyon Education (LOPE) exhibits a strong financial profile with consistent revenue and profit growth, driven by its robust university services and expanding online program management (OPM) segment. Its unique operational synergy with Grand Canyon University provides a solid foundation, while its OPM offerings present significant growth opportunities in a dynamic ed-tech market. However, the company must navigate intense competition and potential regulatory shifts within the for-profit education landscape.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Annual Reports (10-K)
- Quarterly Reports (10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets
- Market Research Reports on Ed-Tech and OPM
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is an estimation based on available industry research and may not be precisely defined. Financial data is based on reported historical performance and future projections are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grand Canyon Education Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com | ||
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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