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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: LOPE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $213.33
1 Year Target Price $213.33
1 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -9.03% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.72B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.69 | 1Y Target Price 213.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.69 | 1Y Target Price 213.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.79 | 52 Weeks Range 130.69 - 207.12 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 130.69 - 207.12 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.13 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-06 | When - | Estimate 1.38 | Actual 1.53 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.69 | Forward PE 22.99 | Enterprise Value 5450242979 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.35 |
Enterprise Value 5450242979 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.99 | Shares Outstanding 28087200 | Shares Floating 27081935 |
Shares Outstanding 28087200 | Shares Floating 27081935 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.07 | Percent Institutions 100.55 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grand Canyon Education Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Grand Canyon Education (GCE) was founded in 1949 as Grand Canyon College. It transitioned to a for-profit model in 2004 and went public in 2008. In 2018, it sold its university operations to a non-profit entity, Grand Canyon University (GCU), and now provides educational services to GCU and other institutions.
Core Business Areas
- University Services: Provides a range of services to Grand Canyon University, including technology, marketing, counseling, and academic support.
- Other Educational Institutions: Offers similar services to other colleges and universities through its Orbis Education Services division, primarily focused on healthcare programs.
Leadership and Structure
Brian Mueller is the Chairman and CEO. The company operates with a traditional corporate structure, with various departments reporting to executive leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- University Support Services: Provides marketing, technology, student support, and other administrative services to GCU. While GCE doesn't directly track market share, it is the primary service provider for GCU, giving it a significant stake in the private Christian university market. Competitors in this service include other for-profit education service providers such as Strategic Education Inc. and Adtalem Global Education.
- Healthcare Education Program Management (Orbis): Offers program management services for healthcare education programs at various institutions. Market share data is not publicly available but it competes with companies that provide similar services to universities such as Academic Partnerships, and Noodle Partners.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The higher education sector is undergoing significant changes, with increasing demand for online education and a growing focus on career-oriented programs. Regulatory scrutiny and competition from traditional universities are also key factors.
Positioning
GCE is positioned as a provider of outsourced services to universities, allowing them to focus on their core academic mission. Its competitive advantages include its experience with GCU and its established technology platform.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for outsourced university services is estimated to be in the billions of dollars annually. GCE is well positioned to capture a portion of this market by providing comprehensive and scalable solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established relationship with GCU
- Scalable technology platform
- Expertise in online education
- Strong cash flow generation
Weaknesses
- Dependence on GCU for a significant portion of revenue
- Exposure to regulatory risks in the higher education sector
- Limited diversification beyond higher education
Opportunities
- Expanding services to other universities
- Acquiring or partnering with other education service providers
- Developing new technology solutions for higher education
- Growing demand for online education
Threats
- Changes in government regulations affecting for-profit education
- Increased competition from other education service providers
- Decline in student enrollment at GCU
- Economic downturn affecting higher education funding
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- STRA
- ATGE
Competitive Landscape
GCE's advantages include its established relationship with GCU and its technology platform. Disadvantages include its dependence on GCU and limited diversification.
Major Acquisitions
Orbis Education Services
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 362.5
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded GCE's service offerings to include healthcare education program management.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GCE has experienced significant growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade, driven by the expansion of GCU and the growth of its service offerings.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for GCE, driven by increasing demand for online education and the company's ability to expand its services to other institutions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding the Orbis division, investing in new technology solutions, and strengthening the partnership with GCU.
Summary
Grand Canyon Education is a stable company with a strong relationship with Grand Canyon University, but this dependency poses a risk. Its Orbis division and technology platform offer growth potential, but regulatory changes in the education sector and competition are key concerns. The company's financial health and growth trajectory suggest a solid foundation for future success but diversification needs to be addressed.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Investor Relations
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grand Canyon Education Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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