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Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: LOPE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $239
1 Year Target Price $239
1 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -4.23% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.85B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.26 | 1Y Target Price 239 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.26 | 1Y Target Price 239 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.76 | 52 Weeks Range 130.69 - 220.79 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 130.69 - 220.79 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.25 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.92% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.77% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.26 | Forward PE 21.64 | Enterprise Value 5867338047 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.48 |
Enterprise Value 5867338047 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.48 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.21 | Shares Outstanding 28087210 | Shares Floating 27081935 |
Shares Outstanding 28087210 | Shares Floating 27081935 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.07 | Percent Institutions 102.04 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grand Canyon Education Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) was founded in 1949 as Grand Canyon College. It transitioned to a for-profit institution in 2004 and went public in 2008. In 2018, GCE transitioned Grand Canyon University (GCU) to a non-profit institution, while GCE continues to provide educational services to GCU and other institutions.
Core Business Areas
- Educational Services: Provides technology, academic, and other services to Grand Canyon University and other higher education institutions.
- Online Program Management (OPM): Offers services to help colleges and universities establish or expand their online programs.
Leadership and Structure
Brian Mueller is the Chairman and CEO. The company operates with a traditional corporate structure, with a board of directors and executive leadership team overseeing its various departments and functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Educational Services to GCU: The primary service is providing educational services to Grand Canyon University under a long-term services agreement. Revenue heavily depends on GCU's enrollment. Competition: Other OPM providers.
- Online Program Management Services: Offers technology, marketing, and support services to other colleges and universities to develop and grow their online programs. Competition: 2U, Coursera, Noodle Partners.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The higher education industry is undergoing significant changes, with increasing demand for online learning and a growing focus on outcomes and affordability.
Positioning
GCE is a leading provider of educational services, particularly in the online space. Its relationship with GCU provides a stable revenue stream, while its OPM services offer growth opportunities.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global online education market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. GCE is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its OPM services and its relationship with GCU.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established relationship with GCU
- Strong online education expertise
- Scalable technology platform
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on GCU for revenue
- Regulatory scrutiny of for-profit education sector
- Reputational risk associated with for-profit model
- Competition in the OPM market
Opportunities
- Expanding OPM services to more institutions
- Developing new educational technologies
- Increasing demand for online education
- Potential for international expansion
Threats
- Changes in government regulations
- Increased competition from other OPM providers
- Negative publicity related to for-profit education
- Economic downturn affecting enrollment
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- 2U (TWOU)
- Coursera (COUR)
- Noodle Partners
Competitive Landscape
GCE's competitive advantage lies in its established relationship with GCU and its strong online education expertise. However, it faces competition from other OPM providers with broader service offerings and larger client bases.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GCE has experienced significant growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade, driven by the expansion of GCU and its OPM services.
Future Projections: Analysts expect continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by increasing demand for online education and expansion of OPM services. Growth projections range from 5-10% annually for the next 3-5 years.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on expanding OPM partnerships and investing in new educational technologies.
Summary
Grand Canyon Education has a stable revenue source from Grand Canyon University, but its reliance on GCU is a significant risk. The company is effectively growing its OPM business, but faces intense competition. Future success depends on diversifying its client base and adapting to changing regulations in higher education. Its financial metrics reflect a healthy, growing business at present.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grand Canyon Education Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-11-20 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Brian E. Mueller | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Education & Training Services | Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Full time employees 4092 | Website https://www.gce.com |
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company in the United States. The company provides technology services, including learning management system, internal administration, infrastructure, and support services; and academic services, such as program and curriculum, faculty and related training and development, class scheduling, and skills and simulation lab sites. It also offers counseling services and support, which includes admission services, financial aid, counseling services, and field experience counseling; marketing and communication services, including lead acquisition, digital communications strategy, brand identity, media planning and strategy, video, business intelligence and data science, and market research; and back-office services, such as finance and accounting, human resources, audit, and procurement services. In addition, it provides education services to 22 university partners. The company was formerly known as Significant Education, Inc. and changed its name to Grand Canyon Education, Inc. in August 2005. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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