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Upturn AI Summary - About
Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd American Depositary Shares(LRE)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for LRE
11/09/2026: LRE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Lead Real Estate is a Japan-based developer specializing in luxury residential properties and boutique hotels, with a growing international presence. Its strengths include a specialized focus on premium urban markets and a diversified revenue model that includes hospitality and rental operations. While it offers unique growth potential, investors should note the inherent risks of project-based revenue volatility, intense competition from large-scale conglomerates, and the liquidity risks associated with its small-cap status. The stock may interest growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to Japanese real estate, though potential buyers should monitor project delivery schedules and the performance of new hospitality brands as key developments.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company's expansion into new hospitality brands and U.S. markets offers growth potential but is tempered by small-cap volatility. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often lacks consistent daily volume and directional momentum required for short-term momentum strategies. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation may appear attractive based on asset-heavy metrics, but the cyclical nature of real estate complicates long-term fundamental analysis. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | The company has demonstrated a willingness to pay dividends, but the sustainability of payouts depends on fluctuating property sales. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High sensitivity to property development cycles and micro-cap status makes this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | As a micro-cap ADR, the stock is prone to sharp price swings on low trading volume. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Real estate companies are often difficult to value due to the illiquidity and complex nature of their asset portfolios. |
| Competition risk (large-cap developers) | High | The company competes against massive, diversified Japanese conglomerates with far greater resources. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the brand has local prestige, the business is highly dependent on a few large luxury transactions per year. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividend payouts are not yet historically consistent or predictable enough for reliable income. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | The business relies on the successful delivery and sale of luxury projects; any delay can severely impact the bottom line. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -63.53% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.01M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 3.67 | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio 3.67 | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.9K shares | Beta 1.45 | 52 Weeks Range 1.00 - 1.83 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.00 - 1.83 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.3 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Residential Development | Sales of luxury single-family homes and condominiums in Japan. | The primary revenue driver; success depends on finishing and selling high-end homes. |
| Hospitality | ENT TERRACE and JINRYU hotel management and operations. | Provides recurring revenue but is subject to travel trends and seasonal demand. |
| Leasing & Management | Rental income from residential units in Japan and Dallas, Texas. | A stable source of cash flow that provides some geographic diversification. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 3.67 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 120.41M | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 120.41M | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.58 | Shares Outstanding 13.64M | Shares Floating 1.23M |
Shares Outstanding 13.64M | Shares Floating 1.23M | ||
Percent Insiders 89.78 | Percent Institutions 0.47 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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