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MongoDB(MDB)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$348.69
10/19/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MDB

10/19/2026: MDB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

MongoDB is a leading developer-data platform providing a flexible, document-based database engine that supports modern cloud-native applications. Its core strength lies in MongoDB Atlas, a managed cloud service that has driven significant revenue growth by simplifying database management for developers. While the company occupies a key position in the modern technology stack, it faces stiff competition from established hyperscalers like AWS and Microsoft. The investment story centers on the continued migration of enterprise workloads to the cloud and AI integration, though high valuations and profitability concerns remain significant risks. MongoDB is generally best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility and follow evolving cloud adoption trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitMongoDB is a high-growth SaaS platform capturing significant market share in the database industry.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often follows strong technical trends based on cloud adoption and growth narratives.
Value investorWeak fitMongoDB typically trades at high valuation multiples, making it unattractive by traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends, focusing exclusively on reinvestment for growth.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and sensitivity to market growth rates make it unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock's beta is high, leading to significant price swings relative to the broader market.
Valuation riskHighHigh P/S multiples leave the stock vulnerable to corrections if growth slows.
Competition risk (Cloud hyperscalers)Medium / highHyperscalers can prioritize their own database services over third-party alternatives.
Business qualityStrongThe sticky nature of databases creates a high-quality, long-term revenue stream.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors receive zero cash yield from holding the shares.
Execution riskMediumThe company must continuously innovate to fend off specialized database startups and hyperscalers.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -32.81%
Avg. Invested days 30
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/19/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MDB receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MDB has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+44.9%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 20.3%) are partially offset by weak profitability (net margin -2.9%), modest insider ownership of 2.56%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MDB's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 65.1%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is MDB's strongest growth driver at +314.6% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+22.8%, solid) and earnings growth (+44.9%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 96.6% and approximately 97.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.56% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.87%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.56%
FMR Inc 4.54%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.35%
DZ BANK AG Deutsche Zentral-Genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt am Main 3.12%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MDB generates approximately $717 of gross profit, $-56 of operating income, and $203 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Weak margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -27.76% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MDB has a large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 27.19B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 468.85
1Y Target Price 449.74
Price to earnings Ratio 468.85
1Y Target Price 449.74
Volume (30-day avg) 2.7M shares
Beta 1.75
52 Weeks Range 215.68 - 473.10
Updated Date 10/18/2026
52 Weeks Range 215.68 - 473.10
Updated Date 10/18/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.72

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Atlas (Cloud)Consumption-based fees from managed cloud database services.This is the primary growth engine and the most important metric for revenue trajectory.
Enterprise AdvancedLicense and maintenance fees for self-managed, on-premise software.Provides stable, predictable revenue from older, established client installations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 468.85
Forward PE 70.42
Enterprise Value 32.12B
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.77
Enterprise Value 32.12B
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.77
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 278.47
Shares Outstanding 80.56M
Shares Floating 78.58M
Shares Outstanding 80.56M
Shares Floating 78.58M
Percent Insiders 2.56
Percent Institutions 96.65

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.