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Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: MESA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $2
1 Year Target Price $2
0 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.81% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 39.70M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 3.03 | 52 Weeks Range 0.68 - 1.89 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.68 - 1.89 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.27 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-06-16 | When After Market | Estimate - | Actual -1.4185 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -51.42% | Operating Margin (TTM) -3.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) -472.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 123910246 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09 |
Enterprise Value 123910246 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.09 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -29.13 | Shares Outstanding 41334400 | Shares Floating 29672749 |
Shares Outstanding 41334400 | Shares Floating 29672749 | ||
Percent Insiders 22.6 | Percent Institutions 15.92 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating - | Target Price 2 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Mesa Air Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Mesa Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1982. It has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion to become a regional airline operator, providing scheduled passenger and air freight services.
Core Business Areas
- Scheduled Passenger Service: Operating regional flights under contract with major airlines like United Airlines and American Airlines. Mesa operates as United Express and American Eagle.
- Cargo Operations: Providing cargo transportation services using smaller aircraft, often within the regional networks it serves.
Leadership and Structure
Jonathan Ornstein serves as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a traditional corporate structure, including executive leadership, operational divisions, and support functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- United Express Flights: Regional passenger flights operated on behalf of United Airlines under the United Express brand. Revenue is based on contracts with United Airlines. Competitors include SkyWest (SKYW) and Republic Airways (RJET).
- American Eagle Flights: Regional passenger flights operated on behalf of American Airlines under the American Eagle brand. Revenue is based on contracts with American Airlines. Competitors include SkyWest (SKYW) and Republic Airways (RJET).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The regional airline industry is characterized by its dependence on partnerships with major airlines, fluctuating fuel costs, labor union relations, and regulatory compliance.
Positioning
Mesa Air Group is positioned as a key regional carrier within the United Express and American Eagle networks. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to provide cost-effective and reliable regional flight services.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for regional airline services is estimated in the billions of dollars annually. Mesa's position is tied to contracts with major carriers, so its TAM is a subset of the broader regional market, influenced by those partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established partnerships with major airlines (United and American)
- Extensive operational experience in regional air travel
- Fleet of regional jets suitable for short-haul routes
Weaknesses
- High dependence on contracts with major airlines
- Vulnerability to fuel price fluctuations
- Labor costs and union negotiations
Opportunities
- Expansion of partnerships with other major airlines
- Growth in regional air travel demand
- Diversification into cargo and charter services
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting air travel demand
- Consolidation of major airlines reducing regional partnerships
- Increased competition from other regional carriers
- Pilot shortages and related cost increases
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SKYW
- RJET
- UAL
- AAL
Competitive Landscape
Mesa Air Group faces stiff competition from other regional airlines. Its success depends on cost efficiency, operational reliability, and strong relationships with major airlines.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Mesa Air Group's growth has been closely tied to its partnerships with major airlines. Fluctuations in these partnerships have influenced its growth trajectory.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on factors such as airline industry trends, fuel prices, and the company's ability to secure and maintain contracts.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives likely involve optimizing operational efficiency, managing labor costs, and pursuing new partnership opportunities.
Summary
Mesa Air Group is a regional airline dependent on partnerships with major carriers like United and American. Its strengths lie in established relationships and operational experience, while weaknesses include dependence on these partnerships and vulnerability to external factors. The company's future hinges on securing new contracts, controlling costs, and adapting to industry changes, particularly pilot shortages. Overall, the company is at risk due to labor shortages and uncertainty surrounding contracts with major airlines.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Financial news sources
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. The provided market share percentages are rough estimates and may not reflect precise current figures.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Mesa Air Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Phoenix, AZ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-08-10 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Jonathan G. Ornstein | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 1838 | Website https://www.mesa-air.com |
Full time employees 1838 | Website https://www.mesa-air.com |
Mesa Air Group, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mesa Airlines, Inc. that provides regional air carrier scheduled passenger services. The company offers scheduled flight and cargo air transportation services. As of September 30, 2023, it operated 67 aircraft with approximately 265 daily departures to 67 cities in the United States, Cuba, and Mexico. Mesa Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
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