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Mesoblast Ltd(MESO)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 4 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-13.95%
LAST CLOSE
$15.13
09/18/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MESO

09/18/2026: MESO (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 4 days. Simulated Profits (-13.95%). Updated daily EoD!

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 194.91%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/18/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

MESO receives a 3-star rating, supported by available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

MESO has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, solid growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+43.5%) and strong revenue growth (+602.3%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin -37.0%), soft profitability (net margin -47.8%).

Financial Health Rating

MESO's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 15.1%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Revenue growth is MESO's strongest growth driver at +602.3% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). Earnings growth (+43.5%, strong) and free-cash-flow growth (+11.8%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 3.3% and approximately 66.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 5.81% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 0.49%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 0.40%
The Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.31%
Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.30%
SRS Capital Advisors Inc 0.13%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

MESO generates approximately $841 of gross profit, $-426 of operating income, and $-370 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: -1.08% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

MESO has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.96B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 37
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 37
Volume (30-day avg) 198.3K shares
Beta 0.82
52 Weeks Range 13.05 - 21.50
Updated Date 09/20/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.05 - 21.50
Updated Date 09/20/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.44

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 454.55
Enterprise Value 2.03B
Price to Sales(TTM) 16.34
Enterprise Value 2.03B
Price to Sales(TTM) 16.34
Enterprise Value to Revenue 16.88
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.55
Shares Outstanding 129.85M
Shares Floating 86.11M
Shares Outstanding 129.85M
Shares Floating 86.11M
Percent Insiders 5.81
Percent Institutions 3.27

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Mesoblast Ltd

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Melbourne, VIC, Australia
IPO Launch date 2015-11-13
Founder, CEO, MD, Chairman of Scientific Advisory Board & Executive Director Dr. Silviu Itescu FACP, FACRA, FRACP, MBBS (Hons)
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 108
Full time employees 108

Mesoblast Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of regenerative medicine products in Australia. The company's proprietary regenerative medicine technology platform is based on specialized cells known as mesenchymal lineage cells. It offers remestemcel-L-rknd, which is in Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of systemic inflammatory diseases, including steroid refractory acute graft versus host disease, Duchenne muscular dystrophy, and biologic refractory inflammatory bowel disease, as well as ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; Remestemcel-L, which is in Phase III clinical trials to treat chronic heart failure and chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease; and Revascor for the treatment of hypoplastic left heart syndrome. The company is also developing MPC-300-IV to treat biologic refractory rheumatoid arthritis diabetic nephropathy; MPC-150-IM for the treatment or prevention of chronic heart failure; Ryoncil for the treatment of pediatric SR-aGVHD; and MPC-25-IC for the treatment or prevention of acute myocardial infarction. It has strategic partnerships with Tasly Pharmaceutical Group to offer MPC-150-IM; Grünenthal GmbH to develop and commercialize MPC-06-ID for the treatment of chronic low back pain due to degenerative disc disease in patients; and JCR Pharmaceuticals Co. Ltd. to treat wound healing in patients with epidermolysis bullosa and for the treatment of neonatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy. Mesoblast Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.