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Upturn AI Summary - About
MGP Ingredients Inc(MGPI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MGPI
09/25/2026: MGPI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
MGP Ingredients is a specialized manufacturer that operates as both a leading B2B supplier of premium spirits and a producer of specialty food proteins. The company's main strength lies in its extensive inventory of aged whiskey and its stable, high-margin food ingredient segment. Its growth story is centered on the ongoing premiumization of the spirits market and the integration of its acquired branded spirits portfolio. Primary risks include exposure to volatile grain costs, competitive pressures in both business units, and the execution risk associated with brand building. The stock may suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to consumer alcohol trends, though it requires monitoring of capital spending and commodity price cycles.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers growth through spirits premiumization but faces cyclical commodity risks. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on positive market sentiment toward the spirits industry. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's stable ingredient business provides a solid foundation that may offer value at certain price points. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | The dividend is stable but not the primary focus for total return-oriented investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to agricultural commodities and the spirits industry introduces inherent volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Input costs for grain significantly impact production margins. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment for alcohol stocks can lead to multiple compression. |
| Competition risk (spirits and ingredients) | Medium / high | Intense competition from larger global players in both business segments. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company operates in a mature, capital-intensive industry with moderate moats. |
| Dividend income | Low | The payout ratio is conservative and not designed for high yield. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully managing the transition to a branded spirits company requires operational excellence. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -34.74% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 272.82M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 27.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 27.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 238.8K shares | Beta 0.44 | 52 Weeks Range 12.65 - 26.12 | Updated Date 09/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 12.65 - 26.12 | Updated Date 09/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) -11.11 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Distilled Spirits | Bulk whiskey/gin/vodka supply and owned spirits brands. | MGP is the source of many popular spirits brands and now sells its own high-margin bottles. |
| Ingredient Solutions | Specialty wheat proteins and starches for food processors. | This segment provides stable, recurring revenue by helping food brands improve product texture. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 6.85 | Enterprise Value 648.85M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.55 |
Enterprise Value 648.85M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.55 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.3 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.47 | Shares Outstanding 21.41M | Shares Floating 14.62M |
Shares Outstanding 21.41M | Shares Floating 14.62M | ||
Percent Insiders 32.53 | Percent Institutions 73.04 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About MGP Ingredients Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Atchison, KS, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1988-10-20 | CEO, President & Director Ms. Julie M. Francis | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries | Full time employees 617 | Website https://www.mgpingredients.com |
Full time employees 617 | Website https://www.mgpingredients.com | ||
MGP Ingredients, Inc. produces and supplies distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients worldwide. It operates in three segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. The Distillery Solutions segment processes corn and other grains, including rye, barley, wheat, barley malt, and milo into food grade alcohol and distillery co-products, such as dried distillers' grain; and offers food-grade alcohol for beverage applications, that include bourbon, rye, and other whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits, including vodka and gin. This segment also offers warehouse services, including barrel put away, barrel storage, and barrel retrieval services; and blending services. The Branded Spirits segment provides Tequila under the premium plus, ultra-premium, super premium, premium price tiers under the Penelope Bourbon, Yellowstone Bourbon, Rebel Bourbon, Remus Bourbon, Blood Oath Bourbon, Ezra Brooks Bourbon, Minor Case Straight Rye Whiskey, Rossville Union Straight Rye Whiskey, The Quiet Man Irish Whiskey, Green Hat Gin, Everclear grain alcohol, El Mayor Tequila, and Dos Primos names; mid branded spirits under the Brady's Irish Cream, Saint Brendan's Irish Cream Liqueur, Pearl Vodka, Lord Calvert Canadian Whisky, and Exotico Tequila names; and value branded spirits under the Arrow Cordials, Canada House Canadian Whisky, Lady Bligh Rum, and Juarez Tequila names, as well as private label products. The Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches for food applications, such as Fibersym, a resistant wheat starch; specialty wheat proteins for food applications under the Arise and Proterra names; gluten-free textured pea and soy proteins; commodity wheat starch for food and non-food applications; and commodity wheat proteins. It sells its products directly or through distributors to manufacturers and processors of finished packaged goods or to bakeries. The company was founded in 1941 and is based in Atchison, Kansas.
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