Constellation Brands Inc Class A logo

Constellation Brands Inc Class A(STZ)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$123.62
09/15/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for STZ

09/15/2026: STZ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Constellation Brands is a prominent producer and marketer of alcoholic beverages, best known for its powerhouse portfolio of Mexican beer brands like Modelo Especial and Corona in the U.S. The company has a strong track record of high-margin growth driven by the popularity of these premium products. Its main growth opportunity lies in ongoing capacity expansion to meet consistent consumer demand. However, risks include high leverage, exposure to commodity price fluctuations, and intense competition in the beverage space. The stock may suit investors seeking long-term growth and dividend income, though they should monitor production capacity updates and consumer spending trends closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company maintains consistent growth in its core beer business driven by strong consumer demand.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends on sustained volume growth in beer brands and positive market sentiment regarding production expansion.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often premium due to the strength of the brand portfolio, requiring careful entry points.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company provides a reliable dividend backed by strong, predictable free cash flow from its beverage operations.
Low-risk investorMedium fitWhile the business is durable, it remains subject to consumer sentiment and market volatility in the alcoholic sector.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumConsumer demand for alcohol is relatively stable but sensitive to economic cycles.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock often commands a premium multiple due to the strength of its beer brands.
Competition risk (Beer)Medium / highCompetition from global beer giants like Anheuser-Busch requires constant investment.
Business qualityStrongThe company owns highly recognized, top-tier consumer brands with strong pricing power.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are well-covered but the company prioritizes reinvestment for growth.
Execution riskMediumLarge-scale construction and supply chain management in Mexico are critical for success.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -17.89%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/15/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

STZ receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

STZ has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, strong earnings growth (+2172.1%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.6%) are partially offset by negative revenue growth (-10.5%).

Financial Health Rating

STZ's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.8B (19.6% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Earnings growth is STZ's strongest growth driver at +2172.1% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-10.5%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-7.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 88.4% and approximately 92.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 12.56% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Capital World Investors 6.56%
BlackRock Inc 6.51%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 5.31%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.40%
State Street Corp 4.11%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

STZ generates approximately $516 of gross profit, $313 of operating income, and $196 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 26.12%

Quantitative Style Profile

STZ has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 21.35B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.92
1Y Target Price 170.22
Price to earnings Ratio 11.92
1Y Target Price 170.22
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares
Beta 0.4
52 Weeks Range 120.25 - 166.17
Updated Date 09/15/2026
52 Weeks Range 120.25 - 166.17
Updated Date 09/15/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 3.34%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Beer SegmentIncludes sales of Modelo Especial, Corona, and Pacifico brands.This is the primary revenue driver and the main focus of the company's growth strategy.
Wine and SpiritsPremium wine brands and selected spirits.This segment is being streamlined to focus on higher-margin products.
Geographic ExposurePredominantly United States market.Investors should monitor U.S. consumer spending trends and regulatory changes.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 11.92
Forward PE 10.43
Enterprise Value 31.35B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.36
Enterprise Value 31.35B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.46
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.54
Shares Outstanding 170.75M
Shares Floating 157.81M
Shares Outstanding 170.75M
Shares Floating 157.81M
Percent Insiders 12.56
Percent Institutions 88.41

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Constellation Brands Inc Class A

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Rochester, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 1987-01-01
President, CEO & Director Mr. Nicholas Ian Fink J.D.
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Beverages - Brewers
Full time employees 9400
Full time employees 9400

Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson's Green Brier brand names. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.