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Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/08/2025: MOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $178.81
1 Year Target Price $178.81
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -31.7% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.43B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.58 | 1Y Target Price 178.81 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.58 | 1Y Target Price 178.81 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 16 | Beta 0.52 | 52 Weeks Range 133.40 - 359.97 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 133.40 - 359.97 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 16.23 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.25% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.27% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.71% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.58 | Forward PE 9.68 | Enterprise Value 3398214000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value 3398214000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.11 | Shares Outstanding 51400000 | Shares Floating 47932042 |
Shares Outstanding 51400000 | Shares Floating 47932042 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.37 | Percent Institutions 113.43 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Molina Healthcare Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Molina Healthcare Inc. was founded in 1980 by Dr. C. David Molina. It began as a single clinic in Long Beach, California, serving the underserved Hispanic community. The company evolved into a managed care organization focused on government-sponsored healthcare programs. Key milestones include its IPO in 1999, significant expansions into various states, and continuous adaptation to changes in Medicaid and Medicare regulations. Molina has a long history of focusing on vulnerable populations.
Core Business Areas
- Medicaid: Molina offers health plans for individuals and families eligible for Medicaid. This includes services for low-income families, children, pregnant women, and individuals with disabilities. They contract with state governments to administer these programs.
- Medicare: Molina provides Medicare Advantage plans (Part C) and Medicare Prescription Drug Plans (Part D) for seniors and individuals with disabilities. These plans offer comprehensive benefits beyond traditional Medicare.
- Marketplace: Molina offers health insurance plans through the Health Insurance Marketplace (under the Affordable Care Act), providing options for individuals and families who do not have employer-sponsored insurance or government coverage.
- Other Health Services: This segment may include specialized programs or services that complement their core government-sponsored programs, though the primary focus remains on Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace plans.
Leadership and Structure
Molina Healthcare Inc. is led by a Chief Executive Officer and a Board of Directors. The organizational structure is geographically segmented, with leaders responsible for operations in different states and program types. Key leadership roles include President, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Medical Officer.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Medicaid Managed Care Plans: Molina's primary offering. It provides comprehensive health benefits to low-income individuals and families through state-specific Medicaid programs. Competitors include major national health insurers with Medicaid divisions (e.g., Centene, Anthem, UnitedHealth Group) and other regional managed care organizations.
- Medicare Advantage Plans: These plans offer a range of benefits including medical, prescription drug, and often dental, vision, and hearing coverage for Medicare beneficiaries. Competitors include Humana, UnitedHealth Group (through its UnitedHealthcare brand), Anthem, and regional Medicare Advantage providers.
- Health Insurance Marketplace Plans (ACA Plans): Plans offered on the ACA exchanges, providing individuals and families with health insurance options. Competitors include major national insurers and regional carriers that participate in these marketplaces.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The US health insurance industry, particularly the managed care segment serving government programs, is heavily regulated and influenced by federal and state policy changes. It is characterized by intense competition, a focus on cost containment, and a growing emphasis on value-based care. The shift towards managed care for Medicaid and Medicare beneficiaries continues to drive growth in this sector.
Positioning
Molina Healthcare is positioned as a leading provider of government-sponsored healthcare programs, with a strong focus on serving vulnerable populations. Its competitive advantages include deep experience in navigating complex regulatory environments, a commitment to community-based care, and a strong operational presence in key states.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for government-sponsored healthcare in the US (Medicaid, Medicare, ACA Marketplace) is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Molina Healthcare, while a significant player, represents a fraction of this overall market. Its positioning is focused on capturing market share within its specific niche of serving underserved populations through these government programs, rather than aiming for broad market dominance across all insurance types.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong focus on government-sponsored healthcare programs (Medicaid, Medicare)
- Deep understanding of serving vulnerable and underserved populations
- Established operational infrastructure and experience in complex regulatory environments
- Strong relationships with state governments and healthcare providers
- Commitment to community-based care and member engagement
Weaknesses
- Higher concentration of revenue from government programs makes it susceptible to policy changes
- Lower brand recognition compared to larger, diversified health insurers
- Potential for operational challenges during rapid expansion
- Reliance on government reimbursements can impact profitability during periods of rate cuts or increased utilization
Opportunities
- Expansion into new states or program types (e.g., dual-eligible populations, long-term care)
- Leveraging technology to improve member care and operational efficiency
- Partnerships and collaborations to enhance service offerings
- Growing demand for managed care solutions for government programs
- Increased focus on social determinants of health presents opportunities for targeted interventions
Threats
- Changes in federal or state healthcare policy and reimbursement rates
- Increased competition from national health insurers and regional players
- Healthcare cost inflation and rising medical utilization
- Regulatory scrutiny and compliance risks
- Economic downturns impacting government budgets and program eligibility
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Centene Corporation (CNC)
- Anthem Inc. (now Elevance Health - ELV)
- UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH)
- Elevance Health Inc. (ELV)
Competitive Landscape
Molina's advantage lies in its deep specialization in government programs and its focus on underserved communities, often allowing it to be more agile and responsive to specific state needs. However, larger competitors like UnitedHealth Group and Centene benefit from greater scale, diversified revenue streams (including commercial insurance), and extensive provider networks, which can provide pricing power and operational efficiencies. Molina's disadvantage is its heavy reliance on government reimbursements, making it more vulnerable to policy shifts compared to its more diversified peers.
Major Acquisitions
MyChoice Wisconsin
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 275
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Molina's presence in the Wisconsin Medicaid market and enhance its position in serving dual-eligible populations.
Phoenix Health Plans
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 100
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Molina's Medicaid and Medicare Advantage membership in Arizona, complementing its existing operations.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Molina Healthcare has demonstrated consistent historical growth, primarily driven by the expansion of its membership in Medicaid and Medicare programs through organic growth and strategic market entries. Acquisitions have also played a role in expanding its geographical footprint and service offerings.
Future Projections: Future growth for Molina is projected to be driven by the continued expansion of government healthcare programs, potential regulatory changes that favor managed care, and strategic expansion into new markets. Analyst estimates often reflect an expectation of continued revenue and earnings growth, albeit with varying growth rates depending on market conditions and company execution.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include efforts to enhance member engagement through digital tools, investments in care management programs to improve health outcomes and control costs, and expansion into new geographic markets or specialized program areas. The company may also be focused on improving operational efficiencies and integrating acquired businesses.
Summary
Molina Healthcare Inc. is a strong player in the government-sponsored health insurance sector, demonstrating consistent revenue and net income growth. Its deep focus on Medicaid and Medicare, serving vulnerable populations, is a key strength. However, its reliance on these government programs exposes it to regulatory risks and policy changes. Continued investment in care management and strategic expansion, alongside diligent navigation of the regulatory landscape, will be crucial for its sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Molina Healthcare Investor Relations
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions. Market share data and financial figures are estimates and subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Molina Healthcare Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Long Beach, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-07-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Healthcare Plans | Full time employees 18000 | Website https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
Full time employees 18000 | Website https://www.molinahealthcare.com | ||
Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces in the United States. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

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