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MOH logo MOH
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Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$180.88
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/12/2025: MOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

16 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $196.71

1 Year Target Price $196.71

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$196.71 Target price
52w Low $151.95
Current$180.88
52w High $365.23

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -19.98%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.80B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.92
1Y Target Price 196.71
Price to earnings Ratio 8.92
1Y Target Price 196.71
Volume (30-day avg) 16
Beta 0.54
52 Weeks Range 151.95 - 365.23
Updated Date 09/12/2025
52 Weeks Range 151.95 - 365.23
Updated Date 09/12/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 20.28

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.71%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.39%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) 23.92%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.92
Forward PE 9.39
Enterprise Value 4967448000
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value 4967448000
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.68
Shares Outstanding 54200000
Shares Floating 53502446
Shares Outstanding 54200000
Shares Floating 53502446
Percent Insiders 1.3
Percent Institutions 99.91

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Molina Healthcare Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Molina Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 1980 by C. David Molina, M.D. Initially focused on providing healthcare to low-income families in Long Beach, California, it expanded its services and geographic reach over the years to become a major player in the managed healthcare sector, particularly in government-sponsored programs.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Medicaid: Provides managed healthcare services primarily to low-income families and individuals through state government Medicaid programs. This is the largest segment.
  • Medicare: Offers managed healthcare services to individuals enrolled in Medicare, often through Medicare Advantage plans.
  • Marketplace: Offers health insurance plans through the Health Insurance Marketplace established by the Affordable Care Act (ACA). This is a smaller segment.
  • Other: Includes Dual Eligibles programs (Medicare and Medicaid enrollees) and other smaller health plan offerings.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team typically consists of a CEO, CFO, COO, and other executive roles. The organizational structure is generally hierarchical, with various departments responsible for different aspects of the business, such as finance, operations, and clinical services.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Market Share: Market share data varies greatly by state and overall is fragmented. No overall figures exist, although as of 2023, Molina served 5.2 million members across its various healthcare segments, but a breakdown of the percentage of that that relates to the Medicaid sector is not public.
  • Medicaid Managed Care: Provides comprehensive healthcare services to Medicaid enrollees through managed care plans. Molina is a large provider of Medicaid Managed Care, but the market is fragmented and varies by state. Major competitors are Centene (CNC), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), and Anthem (ANTM).
  • Market Share: Molina Healthcare is much smaller in this sector. As of 2023, Molina served 67,000 members for Medicare Advantage. United Health group for example, has a market share of approximately 29%, dwarfing Molina. No precise revenue data is available.
  • Medicare Advantage Plans: Offers Medicare Advantage plans, providing benefits beyond traditional Medicare. Competitors include UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Humana (HUM), and CVS Health (CVS).
  • Health Insurance Marketplace Plans: Provides individual and family health plans through the ACA Marketplace. The ACA plans of Molina Healthcare Inc. are highly fragmented amongst the United States. Competitors include Centene (CNC), Cigna (CI), and regional Blue Cross Blue Shield plans.
  • Market Share: A small percentage of overall revenue derives from this segment. Molina only has a significant market share in individual states, but a national number is not possible to derive.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The managed healthcare industry is highly competitive and regulated. It's driven by factors like government policies (ACA, Medicaid/Medicare expansion), demographic trends (aging population), and the increasing focus on value-based care.

Positioning

Molina Healthcare is positioned as a leader in providing managed healthcare services to underserved populations, particularly through government-sponsored programs. Its competitive advantages include deep expertise in Medicaid, a strong focus on community engagement, and a commitment to quality care.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for managed healthcare is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars annually, encompassing Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial insurance. Molina Healthcare is positioned to capture a significant share of this market, particularly in the Medicaid segment, estimated to be around $650 billion in 2023. Molina is strongly positioned to capture a larger piece of this TAM through further state contracts.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong presence in Medicaid managed care
  • Focus on underserved populations
  • Experienced management team
  • Commitment to community engagement
  • Strong financial position

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on government funding
  • Exposure to regulatory changes
  • Limited presence in the commercial market
  • Susceptibility to reimbursement rate pressures
  • Geographic concentration in certain states

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new states and markets
  • Growth in Medicare Advantage
  • Partnerships with healthcare providers
  • Increased focus on value-based care
  • Potential acquisitions and strategic alliances

Threats

  • Changes in government healthcare policy
  • Increased competition in the managed care market
  • Rising healthcare costs
  • Economic downturn
  • Cybersecurity threats

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • CNC
  • UNH
  • HUM
  • CVS
  • CI

Competitive Landscape

Molina Healthcare competes primarily with larger, more diversified managed care organizations. Its advantages include its focus on underserved populations and expertise in Medicaid. Its disadvantages include its smaller size and limited presence in the commercial market.

Major Acquisitions

Cigna's Medicaid Business in Texas

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 60
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Molina's presence in Texas Medicaid market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Molina Healthcare has experienced substantial growth in recent years, driven by expansion in Medicaid and Medicare markets. Revenue has grown steadily with increasing membership.

Future Projections: Analysts predict continued growth for Molina Healthcare, fueled by the aging population, expansion of government-sponsored healthcare programs, and strategic acquisitions.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new states, launching new Medicare Advantage plans, and investing in technology to improve healthcare delivery.

Summary

Molina Healthcare is a significant player in the managed healthcare industry, with a strong focus on Medicaid and Medicare markets. Its strengths lie in its expertise in government-sponsored programs and commitment to underserved populations. However, it faces challenges such as reliance on government funding, regulatory changes, and increased competition, and needs to ensure to expand it's offerings into new markets.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Research Reports
  • Company Website
  • CMS.gov
  • SEC.gov

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market share data is approximate and based on available estimates. Actual results may vary. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Molina Healthcare Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Long Beach, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-07-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky
Sector Healthcare
Industry Healthcare Plans
Full time employees 18000
Full time employees 18000

Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company served in across 21 states. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.