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Upturn AI Summary - About
Molina Healthcare Inc(MOH)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MOH
09/25/2026: MOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Molina Healthcare is a significant player in the managed care industry, focusing almost exclusively on government-sponsored programs like Medicaid and Medicare. The company's main strength is its deep operational expertise in managing care for underserved populations, which has allowed it to grow through both organic contract wins and targeted acquisitions. Its primary growth opportunity lies in increasing penetration of the lucrative Dual-Eligible Special Needs Plans. However, the business faces risks from intense competition for state contracts, regulatory dependency, and Medicaid eligibility redeterminations. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors, though they should carefully monitor changes in healthcare legislation and state-level Medicaid funding policies.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Molina exhibits consistent revenue growth through acquisitions and expansion in government-sponsored healthcare programs. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can show momentum during periods of regulatory stability, but performance is highly sensitive to policy headlines. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Valuation is often tied to earnings multiples that fluctuate based on the political cycle and medical cost trends. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Molina does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While healthcare is defensive, Molina's high exposure to regulatory and political risk adds significant volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock often reacts sharply to legislative changes and state-level Medicaid contract announcements. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must weigh the growth potential against the risk of margin compression due to rising medical costs. |
| Competition risk (government contract bidding) | High | Losing a key state-level Medicaid contract can lead to material revenue loss. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The company has a proven operational model but operates in a sector with high systemic dependency. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors seeking immediate cash flow or yield will find no support here. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating acquired health plans is critical to maintaining profitability. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -50.74% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 1272.4 | 1Y Target Price 209.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 1272.4 | 1Y Target Price 209.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 597.2K shares | Beta 0.76 | 52 Weeks Range 121.06 - 244.89 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 121.06 - 244.89 | Updated Date 09/27/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.15 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Medicaid Managed Care | Capitated payments from state governments for covering low-income individuals. | This is the core engine, where the company gets paid a fixed monthly fee per member. |
| Medicare Advantage | Premiums received from the federal government for managing senior health plans. | This segment offers a higher-margin opportunity as the population ages. |
| Health Insurance Marketplace | Premiums for individual insurance plans sold via public exchanges. | A growing segment that benefits from government subsidies. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 1272.4 | Forward PE 18.9 | Enterprise Value 5.02B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 |
Enterprise Value 5.02B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.27 | Shares Outstanding 52.20M | Shares Floating 47.89M |
Shares Outstanding 52.20M | Shares Floating 47.89M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 111.8 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Molina Healthcare Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Long Beach, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-07-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Healthcare Plans | Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
Full time employees 19000 | Website https://www.molinahealthcare.com | ||
Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces in the United States. It operates through Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other segments. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.
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