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Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/12/2025: MOH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $196.71
1 Year Target Price $196.71
6 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.98% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.80B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.92 | 1Y Target Price 196.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.92 | 1Y Target Price 196.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 16 | Beta 0.54 | 52 Weeks Range 151.95 - 365.23 | Updated Date 09/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 151.95 - 365.23 | Updated Date 09/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 20.28 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.71% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.39% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 23.92% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.92 | Forward PE 9.39 | Enterprise Value 4967448000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24 |
Enterprise Value 4967448000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.68 | Shares Outstanding 54200000 | Shares Floating 53502446 |
Shares Outstanding 54200000 | Shares Floating 53502446 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.3 | Percent Institutions 99.91 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Molina Healthcare Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Molina Healthcare, Inc. was founded in 1980 by C. David Molina, M.D. Initially focused on providing healthcare to low-income families in Long Beach, California, it expanded its services and geographic reach over the years to become a major player in the managed healthcare sector, particularly in government-sponsored programs.
Core Business Areas
- Medicaid: Provides managed healthcare services primarily to low-income families and individuals through state government Medicaid programs. This is the largest segment.
- Medicare: Offers managed healthcare services to individuals enrolled in Medicare, often through Medicare Advantage plans.
- Marketplace: Offers health insurance plans through the Health Insurance Marketplace established by the Affordable Care Act (ACA). This is a smaller segment.
- Other: Includes Dual Eligibles programs (Medicare and Medicaid enrollees) and other smaller health plan offerings.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team typically consists of a CEO, CFO, COO, and other executive roles. The organizational structure is generally hierarchical, with various departments responsible for different aspects of the business, such as finance, operations, and clinical services.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Market Share: Market share data varies greatly by state and overall is fragmented. No overall figures exist, although as of 2023, Molina served 5.2 million members across its various healthcare segments, but a breakdown of the percentage of that that relates to the Medicaid sector is not public.
- Medicaid Managed Care: Provides comprehensive healthcare services to Medicaid enrollees through managed care plans. Molina is a large provider of Medicaid Managed Care, but the market is fragmented and varies by state. Major competitors are Centene (CNC), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), and Anthem (ANTM).
- Market Share: Molina Healthcare is much smaller in this sector. As of 2023, Molina served 67,000 members for Medicare Advantage. United Health group for example, has a market share of approximately 29%, dwarfing Molina. No precise revenue data is available.
- Medicare Advantage Plans: Offers Medicare Advantage plans, providing benefits beyond traditional Medicare. Competitors include UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Humana (HUM), and CVS Health (CVS).
- Health Insurance Marketplace Plans: Provides individual and family health plans through the ACA Marketplace. The ACA plans of Molina Healthcare Inc. are highly fragmented amongst the United States. Competitors include Centene (CNC), Cigna (CI), and regional Blue Cross Blue Shield plans.
- Market Share: A small percentage of overall revenue derives from this segment. Molina only has a significant market share in individual states, but a national number is not possible to derive.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The managed healthcare industry is highly competitive and regulated. It's driven by factors like government policies (ACA, Medicaid/Medicare expansion), demographic trends (aging population), and the increasing focus on value-based care.
Positioning
Molina Healthcare is positioned as a leader in providing managed healthcare services to underserved populations, particularly through government-sponsored programs. Its competitive advantages include deep expertise in Medicaid, a strong focus on community engagement, and a commitment to quality care.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for managed healthcare is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars annually, encompassing Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial insurance. Molina Healthcare is positioned to capture a significant share of this market, particularly in the Medicaid segment, estimated to be around $650 billion in 2023. Molina is strongly positioned to capture a larger piece of this TAM through further state contracts.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong presence in Medicaid managed care
- Focus on underserved populations
- Experienced management team
- Commitment to community engagement
- Strong financial position
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on government funding
- Exposure to regulatory changes
- Limited presence in the commercial market
- Susceptibility to reimbursement rate pressures
- Geographic concentration in certain states
Opportunities
- Expansion into new states and markets
- Growth in Medicare Advantage
- Partnerships with healthcare providers
- Increased focus on value-based care
- Potential acquisitions and strategic alliances
Threats
- Changes in government healthcare policy
- Increased competition in the managed care market
- Rising healthcare costs
- Economic downturn
- Cybersecurity threats
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CNC
- UNH
- HUM
- CVS
- CI
Competitive Landscape
Molina Healthcare competes primarily with larger, more diversified managed care organizations. Its advantages include its focus on underserved populations and expertise in Medicaid. Its disadvantages include its smaller size and limited presence in the commercial market.
Major Acquisitions
Cigna's Medicaid Business in Texas
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 60
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Molina's presence in Texas Medicaid market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Molina Healthcare has experienced substantial growth in recent years, driven by expansion in Medicaid and Medicare markets. Revenue has grown steadily with increasing membership.
Future Projections: Analysts predict continued growth for Molina Healthcare, fueled by the aging population, expansion of government-sponsored healthcare programs, and strategic acquisitions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new states, launching new Medicare Advantage plans, and investing in technology to improve healthcare delivery.
Summary
Molina Healthcare is a significant player in the managed healthcare industry, with a strong focus on Medicaid and Medicare markets. Its strengths lie in its expertise in government-sponsored programs and commitment to underserved populations. However, it faces challenges such as reliance on government funding, regulatory changes, and increased competition, and needs to ensure to expand it's offerings into new markets.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Research Reports
- Company Website
- CMS.gov
- SEC.gov
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market share data is approximate and based on available estimates. Actual results may vary. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Molina Healthcare Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Long Beach, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-07-02 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Joseph Michael Zubretsky | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Healthcare Plans | Full time employees 18000 | Website https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
Full time employees 18000 | Website https://www.molinahealthcare.com |
Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. It operates in four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Marketplace, and Other. The company served in across 21 states. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Long Beach, California.

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