Humana Inc logo

Humana Inc(HUM)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 12 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-4.3% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$414.85
10/27/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for HUM

10/27/2026: HUM (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 12 days. Simulated Profits (-4.30%). Updated daily EoD!

Humana Inc is a prominent US managed healthcare company known for its focus on government-sponsored insurance plans, particularly Medicare Advantage. The firm has built a leading position through its scale and an integrated approach, most notably by expanding its CenterWell business to provide primary and home-based care. While the aging population offers a long-term growth opportunity, the company faces significant risks from regulatory reimbursement pressure, rising medical utilization, and stiff competition from larger diversified peers. The stock may suit investors seeking exposure to healthcare trends, though high sensitivity to policy changes warrants caution. Monitoring the margin trends at CenterWell and Medicare Advantage plan performance is essential.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely dependent on demographic trends and government policy rather than aggressive innovation-led expansion.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has experienced significant volatility and headwinds, making it less attractive for momentum strategies currently.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock is often viewed as a value play when trading at lower multiples relative to historical averages.
Dividend investorStrong fitHumana provides a reliable dividend, making it suitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorMixed fitRegulatory and reimbursement risks inherent in the business model can lead to significant stock price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highChanges in government reimbursement policies can lead to sharp fluctuations in the share price.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment toward healthcare managed care can lead to P/E ratio compression during earnings misses.
Competition risk (Medicare Advantage market share)HighIntense pricing battles and service quality competition with larger peers like UnitedHealth threaten margins.
Business qualityStrongThe company maintains a robust franchise in the specialized Medicare Advantage segment.
Dividend incomeLowThe dividend is well-covered and stable, representing low risk to income-seeking investors.
Execution riskMedium / highIntegrating and scaling the CenterWell service model requires consistent operational execution.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -14.55%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/27/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
HUM receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
HUM has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+10.1%) is partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-1.6%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.3%), soft profitability (net margin 0.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
HUM's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (0.3% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is HUM's strongest growth driver at +10.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-1.6%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-84.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 102.1% and approximately 99.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.21%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Dodge & Cox 9.11%
BlackRock Inc 8.68%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.53%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.85%
State Street Corp 4.54%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
HUM generates approximately $145 of gross profit, $11 of operating income, and $3 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 17.21%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
HUM has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 50.10B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 39.43
1Y Target Price 465.12
Price to earnings Ratio 39.43
1Y Target Price 465.12
Volume (30-day avg) 1.5M shares
Beta 0.74
52 Weeks Range 161.90 - 456.50
Updated Date 10/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 161.90 - 456.50
Updated Date 10/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.84%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.58

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
InsurancePremiums from Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplement, and other health plans.The company collects insurance premiums, with profit depending on keeping medical costs lower than the premiums charged.
CenterWellPharmacy benefits management, home health, and primary care clinical services.Humana earns money by providing direct medical care and pharmacy services to patients.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 39.43
Forward PE 26.45
Enterprise Value 58.04B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34
Enterprise Value 58.04B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.34
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.4
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 120.08M
Shares Floating 119.83M
Shares Outstanding 120.08M
Shares Floating 119.83M
Percent Insiders 0.21
Percent Institutions 102.06

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.