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Hello Group Inc(MOMO)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$4.88
09/18/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MOMO

09/18/2026: MOMO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Smooth
PRICE STABILITY

Smooth

The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -37.09%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/18/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

MOMO receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

MOMO has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.5%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-22.7%), slightly negative revenue growth (-1.9%), soft profitability (net margin 7.8%).

Financial Health Rating

MOMO's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (6.5% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

MOMO's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being revenue growth at -1.9% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while earnings growth (-22.7%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-50.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 79.1% and approximately 92.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.53%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Renaissance Technologies Corp 5.21%
Athos Capital Ltd 5.21%
Acadian Asset Management LLC 4.37%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.65%
LSV Asset Management 2.50%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

MOMO generates approximately $378 of gross profit, $131 of operating income, and $65 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 51.10%

Quantitative Style Profile

MOMO has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 700.94M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 4.83
1Y Target Price 7.78
Price to earnings Ratio 4.83
1Y Target Price 7.78
Volume (30-day avg) 756.8K shares
Beta 0.54
52 Weeks Range 4.86 - 7.35
Updated Date 09/19/2026
52 Weeks Range 4.86 - 7.35
Updated Date 09/19/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.01

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-09-03
When Before Market
Estimate 1.62
Actual 0.23

Profitability

Profit Margin 11.04%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.57%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.02%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.22%

Valuation

Trailing PE 4.83
Forward PE 6.44
Enterprise Value -554.92M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07
Enterprise Value -554.92M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.72
Shares Outstanding 103.45M
Shares Floating 95.45M
Shares Outstanding 103.45M
Shares Floating 95.45M
Percent Insiders 0.53
Percent Institutions 79.06

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Hello Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters -
IPO Launch date 2014-12-11
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Yan Tang
Sector Communication Services
Industry Internet Content & Information
Full time employees 1400
Full time employees 1400

Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Momo, Tantan, and QOOL. It offers Momo, a mobile application that connects people and facilitates social interactions based on location, interests, and various online recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke, and user participated reality shows; Tantan, a social and social and dating application; and other applications under the Hertz, Soulchill, Happn, and Duidui names. The company also provides live video services for various content and activities comprising talent shows, short videos as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke and user participated reality shows; broadcasters and viewers; value-added services; advertising and marketing solutions; and mobile games. The company was formerly known as Momo Inc. and changed its name to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021. Hello Group Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.