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MOMO 
Hello Group Inc (MOMO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: MOMO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
9 Analysts rated it
Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.
1 Year Target Price $9.56
1 Year Target Price $9.56
| 6 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -18.26% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/31/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.08B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.13 | 1Y Target Price 9.56 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.13 | 1Y Target Price 9.56 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 0.34 | 52 Weeks Range 5.05 - 9.22 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.05 - 9.22 | Updated Date 11/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 5.69% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.67 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.17% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.4% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.65% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.13 | Forward PE 6.44 | Enterprise Value 707236104 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 |
Enterprise Value 707236104 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.72 | Shares Outstanding 119258612 | Shares Floating 222136174 |
Shares Outstanding 119258612 | Shares Floating 222136174 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 57.25 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Hello Group Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Hello Group Inc. (formerly Momo Inc.) was founded in 2011. It initially focused on location-based social networking. Over time, it evolved to encompass a wider range of social and entertainment services, including live streaming and virtual gifting. It rebranded to Hello Group in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Live Video Services: This segment primarily involves live streaming through the Hello app. Users can broadcast themselves and interact with viewers, who can send virtual gifts that translate into revenue for Hello Group.
- Value-Added Services: This segment includes premium membership subscriptions, virtual gifting on social platforms, and other features that users pay for to enhance their experience.
- Mobile Marketing: Advertising and marketing solutions provided to businesses seeking to reach Hello Group's user base.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of key executives focusing on technology, finance, and operations. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with departments dedicated to product development, marketing, and sales.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Hello (formerly Momo): The core social networking platform. As of Q1 2024, the total number of paying users was 7.9 million. It's hard to give market share. Competitors include TanTan, Soul, and other dating/social apps (many of which are not public companies). Revenue in the latest financial report (2023) attributed to hello was 1.09 billion USD.
- Tantan: A dating app focused on facilitating connections between users. It operates as a subsidiary of Hello Group Inc. In 2023 Tantan had a net loss and Hello Group announced it will cease operation of Tantan in Sept 2024. Competitors include Tinder, Bumble, and other popular dating apps.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The social networking and online entertainment industry is characterized by rapid innovation, intense competition, and evolving user preferences. Trends include the increasing popularity of live streaming, short-form video, and personalized content.
Positioning
Hello Group is positioned as a platform offering social networking and entertainment features. Its competitive advantages include a large user base, established brand recognition in China, and diversified revenue streams.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global social networking market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Hello Group is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its focus on live streaming, value-added services, and mobile marketing in its target demographics.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large user base
- Diversified revenue streams
- Established brand recognition (particularly in China)
- Strong mobile presence
- Technological capabilities in live streaming and social networking
Weaknesses
- Dependence on the Chinese market
- Regulatory risks in China
- Competition from larger social media platforms
- Negative brand perception due to its initial dating app focus
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new social and entertainment features
- Strategic partnerships with other companies
- Increased monetization of the user base through value-added services
Threats
- Changing user preferences
- Increased competition from other social media platforms
- Regulatory changes in China
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MTCH
- BMBL
- SNAP
- FB
- YY
Competitive Landscape
Hello Group faces intense competition from larger social media platforms and other online entertainment companies. Its competitive advantages include its established brand recognition in China and its focus on live streaming. However, it faces challenges related to regulatory risks and changing user preferences.
Major Acquisitions
Tantan
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 760
- Strategic Rationale: Expand into the dating market and increase user base. They have since decided to cease operating Tantan in Sept 2024.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Hello Group experienced rapid growth in its early years, driven by the popularity of its social networking platform. However, growth has slowed in recent years due to increased competition and regulatory challenges.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate growth for Hello Group in the coming years, driven by its focus on live streaming and value-added services. However, growth prospects are subject to regulatory risks and competition.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include cost reduction strategies, optimization of its product offerings and streamlining its operations.
Summary
Hello Group Inc. faces challenges due to declining revenue and a shift to net losses. The company's established brand and user base in China are strengths, but regulatory risks and intense competition pose significant threats. Its focus on live streaming and value-added services presents growth opportunities if managed effectively. Cost optimization and strategic initiatives are crucial for stabilizing the company and improving its future performance. Ceasing of operations on Tantan also poses a great risk.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
- Hello Group Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data are estimates based on available information and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Hello Group Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-12-11 | Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Yan Tang | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Internet Content & Information | Full time employees 1390 | Website https://ir.hellogroup.com |
Full time employees 1390 | Website https://ir.hellogroup.com | ||
Hello Group Inc. provides mobile-based social and entertainment services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Momo, Tantan, and QOOL. It offers Momo, a mobile application that connects people and facilitates social interactions based on location, interests, and various online recreational activities, including live talent shows, short videos, as well as other video- and audio-based interactive experiences, such as online parties, mobile karaoke, and user participated reality shows; Tantan, a social and dating application; and other applications under the Hertz, Soulchill, and Duidui names. The company also provides live video services for various content and activities comprising talent shows, such as singing, dancing, and talk shows, as well as casual chatting, and other forms of interactions between broadcasters and viewers; value-added services; advertising and marketing solutions; and mobile games. The company was formerly known as Momo Inc. and changed its name to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021. Hello Group Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
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