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MGIC Investment Corp(MTG)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 2 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+7.15%
LAST CLOSE
$29.69
09/18/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MTG

09/18/2026: MTG (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 2 days. Simulated Profits (7.15%). Updated daily EoD!

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.51%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/18/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

MTG receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid quantitative characteristics. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

MTG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with strong financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 70.2%) and strong profitability (net margin 60.8%) are partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-3.2%), moderate revenue growth (+0.5%), modest insider ownership of 1.85%.

Financial Health Rating

MTG's financial health is supported by strong profitability, including gross margin of 94.9% and operating margin of 76.5%. Liquidity is solid (4 stars), which helps explain the 5-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Free-cash-flow growth is MTG's strongest growth driver at +17.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-3.2%, slightly negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 101.9% and approximately 93.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.85% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 11.28%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 8.75%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 6.73%
JPMorgan Chase & Co 5.46%
AQR Capital Management LLC 5.36%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

MTG generates approximately $949 of gross profit, $765 of operating income, and $702 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 20.48%

Quantitative Style Profile

MTG has a high-quality, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.09B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.28
1Y Target Price 31
Price to earnings Ratio 9.28
1Y Target Price 31
Volume (30-day avg) 1.8M shares
Beta 0.65
52 Weeks Range 24.55 - 31.71
Updated Date 09/20/2026
52 Weeks Range 24.55 - 31.71
Updated Date 09/20/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.02%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.2
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Valuation

Trailing PE 9.28
Forward PE 8.8
Enterprise Value 6.53B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.09
Enterprise Value 6.53B
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.09
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.46
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 205.12M
Shares Floating 190.90M
Shares Outstanding 205.12M
Shares Floating 190.90M
Percent Insiders 1.85
Percent Institutions 101.93

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About MGIC Investment Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Milwaukee, WI, United States
IPO Launch date 1991-08-06
CEO & Director Mr. Timothy James Mattke C.P.A.
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Specialty
Full time employees 542
Full time employees 542

MGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam. The company offers primary insurance that provides mortgage default protection on individual loans, as well as covers unpaid loan principal, delinquent interest, and various expenses associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure on the mortgage or sale of the underlying property. It also provides contract underwriting services, as well as reinsurance services. The company serves originators of residential mortgage loans, including savings institutions, commercial banks, mortgage brokers, credit unions, mortgage bankers, and other lenders. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.