Microvision Inc logo

Microvision Inc(MVIS)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1.16
10/20/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MVIS

10/20/2026: MVIS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Microvision Inc is a technology developer specializing in laser beam scanning and lidar sensors for the automotive sector. The company's primary strength lies in its deep intellectual property portfolio and its strategic focus on high-growth ADAS applications. Its main investment story revolves around securing mass-market automotive OEM design wins to validate its hardware and perception software. However, the company faces significant execution risks, including consistent cash burn, the threat of intense lidar competition, and the necessity for further capital raises. It is primarily suitable for speculative, growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility while monitoring the company's progress toward achieving scalable production contracts.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to autonomous driving tech but lacks consistent revenue growth.
Momentum investorMixed fitHigh volatility makes the stock attractive for short-term sentiment shifts, provided the trend is positive.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks the earnings or cash flow history required for value-oriented strategies.
Dividend investorWeak fitMicrovision does not pay dividends and focuses on cash preservation.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high speculative nature and volatility make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is prone to sharp swings based on news cycles and market sentiment.
Valuation riskHighValuations are often disconnected from current financial fundamentals.
Competition riskHighThe lidar market is crowded with well-funded competitors and technological uncertainty.
Business qualityMediumThe company is still in the early stages of commercializing its automotive sensor platform.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome investors will find no yield here.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends entirely on winning and executing complex automotive OEM contracts.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -64.22%
Avg. Invested days 18
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/20/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MVIS receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft company fundamentals, and soft quantitative characteristics.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MVIS has soft overall fundamentals (2 stars), with soft financial health, soft growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+2.0%) is partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -4917.1%), negative revenue growth (-74.3%), weak profitability (net margin -7862.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MVIS's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 49.4%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is MVIS's strongest growth driver at +13.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-74.3%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 12.5% (soft) and 70.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (solid). Insider ownership of 9.45% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.20%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 1.78%
BlackRock Inc 1.26%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 1.12%
Millennium Management LLC 0.75%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MVIS generates approximately $-14,354 of gross profit, $-57,438 of operating income, and $-49,171 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.09%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MVIS has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 36.71M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2
Volume (30-day avg) 1.6M shares
Beta 1.12
52 Weeks Range 1.08 - 18.75
Updated Date 10/20/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.08 - 18.75
Updated Date 10/20/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.6

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Automotive LidarSales and development contracts for MAVIN and MOVIA sensors.The company's primary potential revenue engine is the automotive industry.
LicensingLegacy IP royalties for display and scanning technology.Small, stable income stream that is no longer the main growth focus.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 68.56M
Price to Sales(TTM) 12.78
Enterprise Value 68.56M
Price to Sales(TTM) 12.78
Enterprise Value to Revenue 23.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -13.14
Shares Outstanding 30.59M
Shares Floating 21.63M
Shares Outstanding 30.59M
Shares Floating 21.63M
Percent Insiders 9.45
Percent Institutions 12.47

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.