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Upturn AI Summary - About
Nathans Famous Inc(NATH)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NATH
10/09/2026: NATH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Nathans Famous Inc is a well-known food brand that operates through a stable, asset-light business model based on licensing its name for retail products and franchising its restaurant network. The company's primary strength lies in its high brand recognition, which provides a durable competitive position in the retail hot dog market. Its main growth opportunity centers on expanding its retail product distribution and modernizing its digital franchise footprint. However, investors should be mindful of risks related to commodity cost volatility, intense competition from larger food conglomerates, and long-term changes in consumer dietary trends. The stock may best suit value and dividend-focused investors, with ongoing developments in retail penetration being key to monitor.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers slow, steady growth rather than the aggressive expansion typical of growth-focused portfolios. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock generally displays low volatility and limited price momentum compared to high-growth sectors. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's asset-light business model and consistent cash flow may appeal to value-oriented investors seeking stability. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Nathans Famous has a history of returning capital to shareholders through regular dividend payments. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The brand's longevity and established market position provide a level of stability suitable for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Low | The stock typically exhibits lower price fluctuations than broader market benchmarks. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must monitor whether the stock price exceeds its fundamental cash-generating capacity. |
| Competition risk (processed food competition) | High | Intense competition from major food conglomerates limits pricing power and shelf space. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The strength of the brand is a significant asset, though business growth is constrained by market maturity. |
| Dividend income | Medium | While consistent, dividend growth is tied to the company's ability to maintain licensing royalties. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on maintaining franchise quality and retail relationships. |
Price Behavior
Flat / Range-Bound
The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 28.98% | Avg. Invested days 56 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 417.02M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.07 | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.07 | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 29.9K shares | Beta 0.25 | 52 Weeks Range 87.79 - 109.72 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 87.79 - 109.72 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.97% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.83 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Licensing | Royalties from third-party manufacturers producing Nathans branded hot dogs and meats. | This is a high-margin revenue stream that requires little operational overhead. |
| Franchising | Fees and royalties from Nathans Famous restaurant operators. | Revenue fluctuates based on the health of the restaurant industry and franchisee success. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.07 | Forward PE 24.63 | Enterprise Value 413.15M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.47 |
Enterprise Value 413.15M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13 | Shares Outstanding 4.10M | Shares Floating 2.86M |
Shares Outstanding 4.10M | Shares Floating 2.86M | ||
Percent Insiders 29.95 | Percent Institutions 57.31 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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