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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/18/2025: NCDL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $16.04
1 Year Target Price $16.04
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.39% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 707.72M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.43 | 1Y Target Price 16.04 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.43 | 1Y Target Price 16.04 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 13.01 - 16.26 | Updated Date 12/19/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 13.01 - 16.26 | Updated Date 12/19/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.52 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) - | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.43 | Forward PE 8.6 | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.58 |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.58 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 21.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 49387065 | Shares Floating - |
Shares Outstanding 49387065 | Shares Floating - | ||
Percent Insiders 8.82 | Percent Institutions 27.62 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.

Company Overview
History and Background
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (formerly known as Churchill Capital Corp IV) was established in 2021 as a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). Its primary purpose was to merge with or acquire a target company, initially focusing on the financial technology sector. In March 2021, it completed a significant merger with Churchill One LLC, a leading provider of direct lending solutions for middle-market companies. This acquisition marked its transition from a SPAC to an operating entity focused on direct lending. Nuveen, a global investment manager, became involved through its asset management capabilities.
Core Business Areas
- Direct Lending: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. originates and invests in senior secured loans to middle-market companies across a wide range of industries. These loans are typically made to businesses that may not have access to traditional forms of financing, offering a more tailored and flexible capital solution.
- Credit Investments: The company focuses on generating current income and capital appreciation through its direct lending activities. It aims to provide capital to businesses that exhibit strong cash flow generation and stable business models.
Leadership and Structure
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. operates as a publicly traded entity. Its leadership team typically includes experienced professionals in finance, credit, and investment management, often drawing from Nuveen's broader organizational structure and expertise. Specific roles and names would be detailed in official company filings.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Senior Secured Loans: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s primary offering is providing senior secured loans to middle-market companies. These loans are characterized by their position in the capital structure, meaning they are repaid before other types of debt or equity in the event of a liquidation. The company doesn't disclose specific market share for this product, as it operates in a fragmented private credit market. Competitors include other direct lenders, private equity firms with credit arms, and traditional banks offering syndicated loans.
- Unitranche Facilities: The company also offers unitranche facilities, which combine senior debt and subordinated debt into a single loan, simplifying the capital structure for borrowers and offering flexibility. Market share data for this specific product is not publicly available. Competitors are similar to those offering senior secured loans.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The direct lending market for middle-market companies has experienced significant growth, driven by a demand for flexible financing solutions that traditional banks are less equipped to provide. This market is characterized by its private nature, often involving bilateral negotiations and bespoke loan structures. The industry is influenced by interest rate environments, economic conditions, and regulatory changes affecting financial institutions.
Positioning
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is positioned as a provider of flexible, senior secured financing solutions to the middle market. Its competitive advantages include its experienced management team, access to capital through its affiliation with Nuveen, and its ability to execute complex transactions. It competes by offering tailored solutions and building strong relationships with its borrowers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for middle-market direct lending is substantial and continues to grow, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. aims to capture a portion of this market by focusing on specific industry segments and borrower profiles where it has expertise. Its positioning within this TAM is that of a significant player with the capacity to deploy substantial capital.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced management team with expertise in credit and direct lending.
- Access to a deep pool of capital through its affiliation with Nuveen.
- Ability to structure flexible and customized lending solutions.
- Focus on senior secured lending, which offers a degree of downside protection.
- Diversified portfolio across various industries.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a specific market segment (middle-market direct lending) can lead to concentrated risk.
- Sensitivity to economic downturns which can impact borrower's ability to repay.
- Competition from a growing number of direct lenders.
- Limited public data on private credit investments can make valuation more complex.
Opportunities
- Continued demand for flexible financing from middle-market companies.
- Potential for expansion into new geographic regions or industry verticals.
- Opportunities to leverage Nuveen's broader platform for deal origination.
- Advantageous interest rate environments can enhance lending margins.
- Potential for strategic partnerships and co-investment opportunities.
Threats
- Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs for clients and impact portfolio yields.
- Increased competition could lead to tighter loan covenants and lower yields.
- Deterioration of economic conditions leading to increased defaults.
- Regulatory changes impacting the alternative lending space.
- Valuation risk associated with private credit investments.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Apollo Global Management (APO)
- Blackstone Inc. (BX)
- KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR)
- Ares Management Corporation (ARES)
- Golub Capital Partners (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. competes in a highly competitive market with larger, more established players as well as specialized direct lenders. Its advantages lie in its focused strategy and affiliation with Nuveen. However, it faces challenges in terms of scale and brand recognition compared to some of its larger rivals. Its ability to maintain competitive yields and a strong loan origination pipeline is crucial.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is primarily measured by the expansion of its loan portfolio, growth in investment income, and potential increases in assets under management. The company's growth since its inception as an operating entity has been tied to its ability to originate new loans and manage its existing portfolio effectively.
Future Projections: Future projections would be based on anticipated loan origination volumes, interest rate forecasts, and the company's ability to manage credit risk. Analyst estimates, if available, would provide insights into expected future earnings and dividend growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on expanding its lending platform, enhancing its origination capabilities, and potentially exploring new investment strategies within the direct lending space to capitalize on market opportunities.
Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is a well-positioned direct lender targeting the middle market, leveraging its expertise and Nuveen's backing. Its focus on senior secured loans offers a degree of safety, and the growing demand for its services presents significant opportunities. However, it faces intense competition and is susceptible to economic downturns and rising interest rates, which require careful risk management.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News and Analysis Platforms
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and financial performance figures are estimates and may vary based on reporting periods and methodologies. Users should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-01-25 | CEO, President & Chairman Mr. Kenneth John Kencel J.D. | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (the "Company") is business development company and was formed on March 13, 2018, as a limited liability company under the laws of the State of Delaware and was converted into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019 prior to the commencement of operations. The Company is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company that has elected to be regulated as a business development company ("BDC") under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the "1940 Act"). The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns primarily through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies, which the Company defines as companies with approximately $10.0 million to $100.0 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"). The Company will focus on privately originated debt to performing U.S. middle market companies, with a portfolio expected to comprise primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (other than last-out positions in unitranche loans) (collectively "Senior Loans"). The Company will also opportunistically invest in junior capital opportunities (second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out positions in unitranche loans and equity-related securities) (collectively "Junior Capital Investments").

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