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NCDL
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$16.16
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: NCDL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

6 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $17

1 Year Target Price $17

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$17 Target price
52w Low $13.82
Current$16.16
52w High $17.27

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -10.09%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 798.10M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.83
1Y Target Price 17
Price to earnings Ratio 8.83
1Y Target Price 17
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 13.82 - 17.27
Updated Date 08/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 13.82 - 17.27
Updated Date 08/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.83

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-06
When -
Estimate 0.51
Actual 0.46

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.83
Forward PE 8.35
Enterprise Value -
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.69
Enterprise Value -
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.69
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.48
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 49387100
Shares Floating -
Shares Outstanding 49387100
Shares Floating -
Percent Insiders 8.82
Percent Institutions 28.58

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp., while related to Nuveen and Churchill Asset Management, isn't a publicly traded company itself. Information on its exact founding year is not publicly available, but it represents a business development company (BDC) strategy offered by Nuveen, leveraging Churchill's direct lending expertise. It's designed to provide investors access to private credit opportunities.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Direct Lending: Providing senior secured loans, unitranche loans, and mezzanine debt to private middle-market companies.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Nuveen is the parent company and asset manager. Churchill Asset Management provides the direct lending expertise. Specific leadership for the Direct Lending Corp. product will be found within Nuveen's Private Capital division and Churchill Asset Management's team. The structure is a BDC framework within Nuveen's product offerings.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Direct Lending Investments: Provides investors access to a diversified portfolio of directly originated loans to middle-market companies. Market share is difficult to determine precisely due to the private nature of the investments, but Nuveen Churchill is a significant player in the space. Competitors include Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC), Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The direct lending market is experiencing growth, driven by increasing demand for private credit and the challenges faced by traditional banks in lending to middle-market companies. Interest rate changes significantly affect the market.

Positioning

Nuveen Churchill is positioned as a provider of capital to middle-market companies, offering investors access to this asset class through its investment strategies. Competitive advantages include Churchill's expertise and Nuveen's distribution network.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for private credit is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. Nuveen Churchill is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its direct lending strategies.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Origination Platform
  • Experienced Management Team
  • Established Relationships with Private Equity Sponsors
  • Diversified Portfolio

Weaknesses

  • Illiquidity of Investments
  • Potential for Credit Losses
  • Reliance on Economic Conditions
  • Dependence on Churchill Asset Management expertise

Opportunities

  • Growing Demand for Private Credit
  • Expanding into New Sectors
  • Increasing Market Share
  • Rising interest rates can increase yield

Threats

  • Economic Downturn
  • Increased Competition
  • Regulatory Changes
  • Rising interest rates increasing default risk

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ARCC
  • ORCC
  • BXSL
  • TCPC

Competitive Landscape

Nuveen Churchill benefits from the Churchill Asset Management expertise and Nuveen's distribution platform. Its competitive advantages include strong origination capabilities and a diversified portfolio. Disadvantages could include higher fees than some other BDCs and potential illiquidity of investments.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth would depend on the fund's AUM and investment performance, compared to benchmarks.

Future Projections: Future projections would be based on market conditions, interest rate outlook, and the fund's ability to source and manage investments. Analyst estimates are not readily available for the product.

Recent Initiatives: Nuveen/Churchill likely have ongoing initiatives to expand their direct lending capabilities, attract new investors, and enhance investment strategies.

Summary

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp, leveraging Churchill's expertise, offers investors access to the private credit market. Its strength lies in its origination platform and experienced management, while potential weaknesses include illiquidity and economic sensitivity. Opportunities exist in the growing private credit market, but threats include economic downturns and increasing competition. While not a public company, this strategy allows exposure to middle-market lending.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Nuveen Website
  • Churchill Asset Management Website
  • SEC Filings (for competitor data)
  • Industry Reports on Direct Lending

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and general market knowledge. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is not a publicly traded company, therefore direct financial information is limited. Market share estimates are approximate. Investment decisions should be made based on thorough due diligence and professional advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2024-01-25
CEO, President & Chairman Mr. Kenneth John Kencel J.D.
Sector Financial Services
Industry Asset Management
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (the "Company") is business development company and was formed on March 13, 2018, as a limited liability company under the laws of the State of Delaware and was converted into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019 prior to the commencement of operations. The Company is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company that has elected to be regulated as a business development company ("BDC") under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the "1940 Act"). The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns primarily through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies, which the Company defines as companies with approximately $10.0 million to $100.0 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"). The Company will focus on privately originated debt to performing U.S. middle market companies, with a portfolio expected to comprise primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (other than last-out positions in unitranche loans) (collectively "Senior Loans"). The Company will also opportunistically invest in junior capital opportunities (second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out positions in unitranche loans and equity-related securities) (collectively "Junior Capital Investments").