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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: NCDL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $17
1 Year Target Price $17
2 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
3 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.09% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 798.10M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.83 | 1Y Target Price 17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.83 | 1Y Target Price 17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 13.82 - 17.27 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 13.82 - 17.27 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.83 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-06 | When - | Estimate 0.51 | Actual 0.46 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) - | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.83 | Forward PE 8.35 | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.69 |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.69 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 49387100 | Shares Floating - |
Shares Outstanding 49387100 | Shares Floating - | ||
Percent Insiders 8.82 | Percent Institutions 28.58 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
Company Overview
History and Background
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp., while related to Nuveen and Churchill Asset Management, isn't a publicly traded company itself. Information on its exact founding year is not publicly available, but it represents a business development company (BDC) strategy offered by Nuveen, leveraging Churchill's direct lending expertise. It's designed to provide investors access to private credit opportunities.
Core Business Areas
- Direct Lending: Providing senior secured loans, unitranche loans, and mezzanine debt to private middle-market companies.
Leadership and Structure
Nuveen is the parent company and asset manager. Churchill Asset Management provides the direct lending expertise. Specific leadership for the Direct Lending Corp. product will be found within Nuveen's Private Capital division and Churchill Asset Management's team. The structure is a BDC framework within Nuveen's product offerings.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Direct Lending Investments: Provides investors access to a diversified portfolio of directly originated loans to middle-market companies. Market share is difficult to determine precisely due to the private nature of the investments, but Nuveen Churchill is a significant player in the space. Competitors include Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC), Owl Rock Capital Corporation (ORCC).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The direct lending market is experiencing growth, driven by increasing demand for private credit and the challenges faced by traditional banks in lending to middle-market companies. Interest rate changes significantly affect the market.
Positioning
Nuveen Churchill is positioned as a provider of capital to middle-market companies, offering investors access to this asset class through its investment strategies. Competitive advantages include Churchill's expertise and Nuveen's distribution network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for private credit is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. Nuveen Churchill is positioned to capture a portion of this market through its direct lending strategies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Origination Platform
- Experienced Management Team
- Established Relationships with Private Equity Sponsors
- Diversified Portfolio
Weaknesses
- Illiquidity of Investments
- Potential for Credit Losses
- Reliance on Economic Conditions
- Dependence on Churchill Asset Management expertise
Opportunities
- Growing Demand for Private Credit
- Expanding into New Sectors
- Increasing Market Share
- Rising interest rates can increase yield
Threats
- Economic Downturn
- Increased Competition
- Regulatory Changes
- Rising interest rates increasing default risk
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ARCC
- ORCC
- BXSL
- TCPC
Competitive Landscape
Nuveen Churchill benefits from the Churchill Asset Management expertise and Nuveen's distribution platform. Its competitive advantages include strong origination capabilities and a diversified portfolio. Disadvantages could include higher fees than some other BDCs and potential illiquidity of investments.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth would depend on the fund's AUM and investment performance, compared to benchmarks.
Future Projections: Future projections would be based on market conditions, interest rate outlook, and the fund's ability to source and manage investments. Analyst estimates are not readily available for the product.
Recent Initiatives: Nuveen/Churchill likely have ongoing initiatives to expand their direct lending capabilities, attract new investors, and enhance investment strategies.
Summary
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp, leveraging Churchill's expertise, offers investors access to the private credit market. Its strength lies in its origination platform and experienced management, while potential weaknesses include illiquidity and economic sensitivity. Opportunities exist in the growing private credit market, but threats include economic downturns and increasing competition. While not a public company, this strategy allows exposure to middle-market lending.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Nuveen Website
- Churchill Asset Management Website
- SEC Filings (for competitor data)
- Industry Reports on Direct Lending
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general market knowledge. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp is not a publicly traded company, therefore direct financial information is limited. Market share estimates are approximate. Investment decisions should be made based on thorough due diligence and professional advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-01-25 | CEO, President & Chairman Mr. Kenneth John Kencel J.D. | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - |
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (the "Company") is business development company and was formed on March 13, 2018, as a limited liability company under the laws of the State of Delaware and was converted into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019 prior to the commencement of operations. The Company is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company that has elected to be regulated as a business development company ("BDC") under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended (the "1940 Act"). The Company's investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns primarily through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies, which the Company defines as companies with approximately $10.0 million to $100.0 million of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"). The Company will focus on privately originated debt to performing U.S. middle market companies, with a portfolio expected to comprise primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (other than last-out positions in unitranche loans) (collectively "Senior Loans"). The Company will also opportunistically invest in junior capital opportunities (second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out positions in unitranche loans and equity-related securities) (collectively "Junior Capital Investments").

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