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Nomad Foods Ltd(NOMD)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NOMD
10/09/2026: NOMD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Nomad Foods is a major European frozen food company that operates established brands such as Birds Eye and Iglo. The stock is best suited for investors seeking defensive, stable consumer goods exposure with a track record of operational efficiency and consistent margins. The company's primary opportunity lies in its ability to leverage its scale to drive product innovation, such as in plant-based categories, and execute disciplined M&A in fragmented markets. However, investors must monitor risks related to intense competition from private labels and exposure to fluctuating commodity costs. The stock maintains a stable business profile, making it a potentially strong fit for value-oriented investors focused on long-term, cash-generative returns.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers steady organic growth potential but is more of a mature consumer staple. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often lacks the high-volatility price trends favored by momentum investors. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at valuations that may appear attractive relative to its steady cash generation. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While dividends are present, the company is not a high-yield utility-like income stock. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Consumer staples generally provide defensive characteristics, though international exposure adds moderate risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock price is subject to general market fluctuations and specific sector headwinds. |
| Valuation risk | Low | Current trading levels are generally considered reasonable given the company's cash flow stability. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | Private label expansion puts significant pressure on branded pricing power. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company holds strong, iconic brand franchises across Europe. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are a growing component of returns but not the primary driver for all investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully managing large-scale European operations and supply chains requires continuous operational discipline. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -12.41% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.55B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.76 | 1Y Target Price 13.76 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.76 | 1Y Target Price 13.76 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.73 | 52 Weeks Range 8.86 - 12.66 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.86 - 12.66 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.14% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.03 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Frozen Food Sales | Sales of frozen fish, meals, vegetables, and snacks across Europe. | The company primarily makes money by selling essential, convenience-focused food products through major European retailers. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.76 | Forward PE 11.14 | Enterprise Value 3.84B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value 3.84B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.45 | Shares Outstanding 139.79M | Shares Floating 113.62M |
Shares Outstanding 139.79M | Shares Floating 113.62M | ||
Percent Insiders 19.27 | Percent Institutions 67.06 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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