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Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: SMPL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $29.7
1 Year Target Price $29.7
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -27.86% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.56 | 1Y Target Price 29.7 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.56 | 1Y Target Price 29.7 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 0.37 | 52 Weeks Range 18.47 - 40.31 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 18.47 - 40.31 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.02 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.14% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.23% | Return on Equity (TTM) 5.86% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.56 | Forward PE 10.27 | Enterprise Value 2102259590 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.31 |
Enterprise Value 2102259590 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.22 | Shares Outstanding 99857851 | Shares Floating 91399891 |
Shares Outstanding 99857851 | Shares Floating 91399891 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.63 | Percent Institutions 95.99 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Simply Good Foods Co
Company Overview
History and Background
Simply Good Foods Co. was formed in 2017 as a holding company when the private equity firm Roark Capital acquired the Atkins Nutritionals business. In 2018, the company officially rebranded to The Simply Good Foods USA, Inc. and subsequently went public via a SPAC merger in 2019. The company's primary focus is on healthy snacking products, with a strong emphasis on low-carb and keto-friendly options. Its evolution has been marked by the integration and growth of its core brands, particularly Atkins and Simply Protein.
Core Business Areas
- Nutritional Snacks and Foods: The company operates primarily in the nutritional snacking and food segment, offering a range of products designed to support healthy lifestyles, including low-carbohydrate, low-sugar, and protein-rich options. This segment encompasses their well-known brands like Atkins and Simply Protein.
Leadership and Structure
The Simply Good Foods Co. is led by a seasoned management team. Key executives include Joseph Scala (President & Chief Executive Officer) and David Nesbit (Chief Financial Officer). The company is structured around its brand portfolio, with teams dedicated to product development, marketing, sales, and operations for its core brands.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Atkins Diet Products: This line includes a wide variety of meal replacements, protein bars, shakes, and snacks specifically formulated for individuals following low-carbohydrate diets. The Atkins brand has a long-standing presence in the market. Competitors include Quest Nutrition, ONE Bar, KIND Snacks, and other general protein bar and snack brands.
- Simply Protein Bars and Snacks: These offerings focus on plant-based protein and are often gluten-free and low in sugar. They cater to consumers seeking healthier, plant-forward snack options. Competitors include brands like Clif Bar, RXBAR, and other plant-based protein bar manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Simply Good Foods Co. operates within the rapidly growing health and wellness food industry, specifically the nutritional snacking and meal replacement sectors. This market is characterized by increasing consumer demand for convenient, healthy, and functional food options, driven by trends like low-carb, keto, plant-based diets, and a general focus on well-being. The industry experiences strong competition from both established players and emerging brands.
Positioning
The company is positioned as a leader in the low-carb and keto-friendly snack market, leveraging the established brand equity of Atkins. Its competitive advantages include strong brand recognition, a broad product portfolio tailored to specific dietary needs, and established distribution channels. The focus on science-backed nutrition and product innovation further strengthens its market position.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global healthy snacks market is valued in the tens of billions of dollars and is projected to continue growing. Simply Good Foods Co. is positioned to capture a significant share of the low-carb, keto, and protein-enhanced snack segments within this broader TAM. Their current market penetration is focused on North America, with opportunities for further expansion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition for Atkins in the low-carb segment.
- Diversified product portfolio catering to various dietary needs.
- Established distribution networks across major retail channels.
- Focus on science-backed nutrition and product innovation.
- Experienced management team with expertise in the food industry.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on a few key brands for revenue.
- Competition from a wide array of established and emerging snack brands.
- Potential for consumer dietary trends to shift away from low-carb.
- Limited international market presence compared to some competitors.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets.
- Development of new product lines and flavors.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to broaden offerings.
- Leveraging e-commerce and direct-to-consumer channels for growth.
- Increased consumer demand for functional and health-focused foods.
Threats
- Intense competition and price pressure.
- Changes in consumer preferences and dietary fads.
- Rising costs of raw materials and supply chain disruptions.
- Regulatory changes affecting food labeling and marketing.
- Economic downturns affecting consumer discretionary spending on premium snacks.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Mondelez International (MDLZ)
- Hershey Company (HSY)
- General Mills (GIS)
- Kellogg Company (K)
- Nestlu00e9 S.A. (NSRGY - ADR)
Competitive Landscape
Simply Good Foods Co. operates in a highly competitive landscape dominated by larger, more diversified food conglomerates. Its advantage lies in its specialized focus on nutritional and low-carb snacks, where it holds a significant position. However, it faces challenges in competing with the vast resources, brand portfolios, and marketing power of its larger rivals. Its agility and targeted product development are key differentiators.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The company has experienced consistent historical growth, particularly in revenue and profitability, fueled by strong demand for its nutritional snack products. This growth has been supported by effective marketing campaigns and expansion of its product offerings.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued revenue and earnings growth for Simply Good Foods Co. in the coming years. The company is expected to benefit from ongoing trends in health and wellness consumption, with potential for expansion into new markets and product categories.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include new product launches, expanded distribution agreements, and marketing efforts focused on key consumer segments. The company may also be exploring strategic partnerships or acquisitions to enhance its product portfolio and market reach.
Summary
Simply Good Foods Co. is a well-positioned player in the growing nutritional snacking market, particularly in the low-carb and keto segments, with strong brand recognition from Atkins. The company demonstrates consistent revenue and profit growth, supported by healthy financial metrics and a clear strategy. However, it faces intense competition from larger food companies and must remain adaptable to evolving consumer trends and potential supply chain challenges to sustain its positive trajectory.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (SEC)
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Market research reports on the health and wellness food industry
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive. Financial data is subject to change and market fluctuations. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and this information should not be considered investment advice. Market share figures are estimates and can vary depending on the source and methodology.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Simply Good Foods Co
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-07-15 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Geoff E. Tanner | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Packaged Foods | Full time employees 328 | |
Full time employees 328 | |||
The Simply Good Foods Company, a consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally. The company offers protein bars, ready-to-drink beverages and shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, protein powders, and recipes under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brand names. It also provides confectionery products, such as peanut butter cups, brownies, caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and caramel candy bars. In addition, the company licenses certain products that contain its brands and logos; and distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug stores, club and convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com, amazon.com and others. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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