NSC official logo NSC
NSC 2-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) company logo

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) 2-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$293
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-0.36%
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/08/2025: NSC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 2 star rating for performance

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

4 star rating from financial analysts

27 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $311.32

1 Year Target Price $311.32

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$311.32 Target price
52w Low $198.48
Current$293
52w High $300.79

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 34.74%
Avg. Invested days 64
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/08/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 65.75B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.33
1Y Target Price 311.32
Price to earnings Ratio 22.33
1Y Target Price 311.32
Volume (30-day avg) 27
Beta 1.32
52 Weeks Range 198.48 - 300.79
Updated Date 12/8/2025
52 Weeks Range 198.48 - 300.79
Updated Date 12/8/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.84%
Basic EPS (TTM) 13.12

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 24.22%
Operating Margin (TTM) 36.58%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.11%
Return on Equity (TTM) 20.48%

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.33
Forward PE 21.41
Enterprise Value 81410278781
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.38
Enterprise Value 81410278781
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.38
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.68
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.6
Shares Outstanding 224386617
Shares Floating 223875016
Shares Outstanding 224386617
Shares Floating 223875016
Percent Insiders 0.07
Percent Institutions 78.46

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Norfolk Southern Corporation

Norfolk Southern Corporation(NSC) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NS) was formed in 1982 as a holding company for Norfolk and Western Railway Company and Southern Railway Company. It is one of North America's premier transportation companies. In 1990, NS acquired the major East Coast railroad, Conrail, significantly expanding its network and reach. NS operates over 19,000 route miles across 22 eastern states, the District of Columbia, and Ontario, Canada.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Intermodal: Transportation of freight in intermodal containers or trailers via multiple modes of transportation, primarily rail and truck. This segment is crucial for long-haul freight movement, offering efficiency and environmental benefits.
  • Merchandise: Transportation of bulk commodities such as coal, chemicals, agriculture products, metals, and manufactured goods. This is a diverse segment encompassing a wide range of industrial and consumer products.
  • Customer Sales and Service: Handles freight sales and customer relations across all commodity groups and transportation services. This segment focuses on understanding and meeting customer needs.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Norfolk Southern is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team. The CEO is Alan H. Shaw. The company is structured around its various business units and operating regions to manage its extensive rail network and diverse freight operations.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Description: Transporting coal for power generation and industrial use. Competitors include other Class I railroads like CSX, Union Pacific, and BNSF, as well as trucking and barge services.
  • Market Share Data: Data on specific market share for coal transportation is proprietary, but NS is a significant player in the eastern US.
  • Product Name 1: Coal Transportation
  • Revenue Contribution: Historically a major revenue driver, though its share has fluctuated with energy market dynamics.
  • Description: Transporting finished vehicles, parts, building materials, and heavy machinery. Competitors include other Class I railroads, trucking companies specializing in auto transport, and heavy haulers.
  • Market Share Data: Competitive market with multiple transport modes.
  • Product Name 2: Automotive & Construction
  • Revenue Contribution: A substantial contributor to NS's merchandise segment.
  • Description: Moving containers and trailers for trucking and shipping companies. Competitors include trucking companies (direct competition for shorter hauls), other Class I railroads with intermodal networks (CSX, UP, BNSF), and ports.
  • Market Share Data: Increasingly important segment, facing competition from trucking efficiency and ports.
  • Product Name 3: Intermodal Freight
  • Revenue Contribution: A growing and significant revenue stream for NS.
  • Description: Transporting a wide range of chemical products, from hazardous to non-hazardous. Competitors include other Class I railroads, specialized chemical trucking companies, and pipelines.
  • Market Share Data: Highly specialized and regulated sector with significant rail presence.
  • Product Name 4: Chemicals
  • Revenue Contribution: A stable and important segment within the merchandise business.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The North American freight rail industry is a mature but essential sector of the economy, dominated by a few large Class I railroads. It is characterized by high capital intensity, significant regulatory oversight, and cyclical demand tied to overall economic activity. Key trends include a shift towards intermodal transport, focus on efficiency, and increasing pressure to decarbonize operations.

Positioning

Norfolk Southern is a dominant player in the eastern United States, benefiting from its extensive network that serves key industrial centers, ports, and population hubs. Its competitive advantages include economies of scale, established customer relationships, and a critical role in the supply chains for major industries. The company's strategic location and dense network provide a natural moat against new entrants.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for freight transportation in North America is vast, encompassing trucking, rail, air, and waterborne transport. While specific TAM figures for rail are difficult to isolate, the overall freight market is valued in hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Norfolk Southern's TAM is primarily within its operational footprint, serving the eastern half of the US. The company is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this market due to its infrastructure and service offerings, though it competes directly with trucking for many freight segments.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Extensive and well-positioned rail network in the eastern US.
  • Strong market share in key commodity transportation (e.g., coal, chemicals).
  • Economies of scale providing cost efficiencies.
  • Long-term customer relationships and established supply chain integration.
  • High barriers to entry for new rail infrastructure.

Weaknesses

  • Vulnerability to economic downturns affecting freight volumes.
  • Dependence on certain commodity prices (e.g., coal).
  • Operational disruptions can lead to significant financial impact (e.g., derailments).
  • Aging infrastructure requiring continuous reinvestment.
  • Perception issues related to safety and environmental concerns.

Opportunities

  • Growth in intermodal transportation due to e-commerce and supply chain shifts.
  • Increased demand for sustainable logistics solutions.
  • Potential for efficiency gains through technological advancements (e.g., automation, AI).
  • Expansion of services to emerging industrial sectors.
  • Partnerships to optimize last-mile delivery.

Threats

  • Competition from trucking and other transportation modes.
  • Stricter environmental regulations and carbon pricing.
  • Economic recessions impacting freight volumes.
  • Labor disputes and potential union strikes.
  • Geopolitical events affecting global supply chains and commodity prices.
  • Cybersecurity threats to operational systems.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • CSX Corporation (CSX)
  • Union Pacific Corporation (UP)
  • BNSF Railway (a Berkshire Hathaway company, not publicly traded)

Competitive Landscape

Norfolk Southern competes primarily with other Class I railroads in North America. Its advantage lies in its dense eastern network, serving major population centers and industrial hubs. However, it faces intense competition from CSX within its eastern territory and from Union Pacific and BNSF for transcontinental and western US traffic. Trucking remains a significant competitor for shorter-haul and time-sensitive freight.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Norfolk Southern has historically grown through network expansion, acquisitions (like Conrail), and organic growth driven by economic expansion. Its revenue has shown steady growth over the past decade, albeit with cyclical fluctuations tied to industrial output.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Norfolk Southern, driven by intermodal expansion, recovery in certain commodity markets, and efficiency improvements. Projections typically range from 3-5% annual revenue growth, with EPS growth expected to be slightly higher due to share buybacks and operational leverage. (Specific analyst consensus data would be required for precise figures).

Recent Initiatives: Key initiatives include a focus on Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) to improve operational efficiency and service reliability, investments in new technologies for safety and asset utilization, and efforts to enhance sustainability through emissions reduction strategies. The company is also focused on diversifying its freight mix and capturing growth in consumer product logistics.

Summary

Norfolk Southern Corporation is a robust Class I railroad with a strong operational footprint in the eastern US. Its diversified merchandise and growing intermodal segments, combined with significant infrastructure, form key strengths. The company is navigating a challenging market sensitive to economic cycles and faces ongoing competition and regulatory scrutiny, particularly concerning safety and environmental impact. Continued focus on efficiency and technological advancement will be crucial for sustained growth and mitigating threats.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Norfolk Southern Corporation Official Investor Relations Website
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial News and Analysis Websites (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Bloomberg)
  • Industry Research Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is an estimation and may vary depending on the reporting methodology. Future projections are subject to inherent uncertainties.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Norfolk Southern Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1982-06-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark R. George
Sector Industrials
Industry Railroads
Full time employees 19600
Full time employees 19600

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, beverages, and canned goods; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products comprising crude oil, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, sand, and natural gas liquids; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and operates an intermodal network. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.