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Ocugen Inc(OCGN)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$0.97
11/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for OCGN

11/09/2026: OCGN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Ocugen Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology firm dedicated to developing gene and cell therapies for severe ocular conditions. Its primary strength lies in its modifier gene therapy platform, which aims to address multiple rare retinal diseases. The main investment story centers on the success of its lead candidates, OCU400 and OCU410, in ongoing clinical trials. Risks are significant, as the company is pre-revenue, faces high cash-burn, and remains vulnerable to clinical failure and the need for further dilution. This stock is generally suited for risk-tolerant investors looking for biotech exposure, and observers should monitor upcoming clinical trial readouts for signs of progress.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers high-risk growth potential but lacks established revenue streams.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveHigh volatility and sensitivity to clinical data readouts make it attractive during periods of positive news flow.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks positive earnings, cash flow, or dividends to support a traditional value analysis.
Dividend investorWeak fitAs a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech, the company does not provide income.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high probability of clinical trial failure and price volatility presents too much risk for conservative investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to binary clinical trial results.
Valuation riskHighCurrent valuations are based on future potential rather than present earnings.
Competition risk (Gene Therapy)Medium / highWell-funded competitors are developing rival therapies for similar ocular indications.
Business qualityMediumThe reliance on a narrow pipeline makes the business model fragile until a product reaches the market.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect any income returns from this stock.
Execution riskHighClinical and regulatory execution are the sole determinants of long-term viability.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.01%
Avg. Invested days 21
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
OCGN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
OCGN has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-25.5%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -1295.0%), moderate revenue growth (+8.8%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
OCGN's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being soft liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 3.0%). Overall financial-health metrics support a 2-star score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is OCGN's strongest growth driver at +8.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-25.5%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-25.5%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 43.5% and approximately 98.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.40% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.96%
State Street Corp 6.33%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.24%
Millennium Management LLC 4.11%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.62%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
OCGN generates approximately $459 of gross profit, $-14,257 of operating income, and $-12,950 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.00%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
OCGN has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 313.86M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12.17
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12.17
Volume (30-day avg) 6.9M shares
Beta 1.98
52 Weeks Range 0.69 - 2.73
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 0.69 - 2.73
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.2

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Ocular Gene TherapyResearch and development of modifier gene therapy candidates like OCU400.The company is currently spending money to invent future products, not selling commercial goods.

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 13.07
Enterprise Value 316.53M
Price to Sales(TTM) 65.66
Enterprise Value 316.53M
Price to Sales(TTM) 65.66
Enterprise Value to Revenue 66.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.95
Shares Outstanding 339.31M
Shares Floating 334.50M
Shares Outstanding 339.31M
Shares Floating 334.50M
Percent Insiders 1.4
Percent Institutions 43.51

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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