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Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: ODFL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $161.82
1 Year Target Price $161.82
6 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
15 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -28.2% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 31.76B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 29.52 | 1Y Target Price 161.82 |
Price to earnings Ratio 29.52 | 1Y Target Price 161.82 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 25 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 140.91 - 232.21 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 140.91 - 232.21 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.71% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.12 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.29 | Actual 1.27 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.42% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.25% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 29.52 | Forward PE 31.06 | Enterprise Value 31904442182 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.63 |
Enterprise Value 31904442182 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.63 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.83 | Shares Outstanding 210168000 | Shares Floating 193110891 |
Shares Outstanding 210168000 | Shares Floating 193110891 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.18 | Percent Institutions 77.78 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. was founded in 1934 in Richmond, Virginia. Starting with a single truck route, it has grown into a leading less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier, expanding through organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Core Business Areas
- LTL Services: Provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, primarily focused on shipments between 150 and 20,000 pounds.
- ODFL Expedited: Offers expedited transportation services for time-sensitive shipments.
- ODFL Logistics: Provides supply chain management solutions including warehousing, transportation management, and related services.
- ODFL Technology: Technology is used in various forms throughout the company to streamline processes and increase productivity
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by Greg C. Gantt (Chairman and CEO). The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional and operational management teams reporting to corporate leadership.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- LTL Transportation: Core service offering transportation of shipments within the 150 to 20,000 pound range. They are the leading provider in LTL. Key competitors include XPO, Saia, ArcBest. Revenue associated with this is almost their full revenue. Market Share (2023) estimated to be around 11% of the LTL market.
- Expedited Services: Time-critical freight delivery solutions. Market share is smaller than LTL. Competitors include FedEx Freight, UPS Freight and many other companies that ship internationally and domestically.
- Supply Chain Solutions: Includes warehousing, distribution, and other logistics services. The supply chain market is vast with competitors such as XPO, Saia, JB Hunt, and other logistics focused companies. Market share varies significantly based on specific service within the overall solutions umbrella.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The LTL industry is cyclical and sensitive to economic conditions. It's characterized by high barriers to entry due to infrastructure requirements and established networks.
Positioning
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc is positioned as a premium LTL carrier known for its on-time performance and low claim ratios, enabling a strong brand and pricing power.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global LTL market size is expected to reach $79.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $99.6 billion by 2029. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc holds a significant portion of this market and is positioned for growth.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Superior Service Quality
- Extensive Network Coverage
- Strong Financial Performance
- Low Claim Ratio
- Industry-Leading Technology
Weaknesses
- Premium Pricing May Limit Market Share
- Exposure to Economic Cycles
- Higher Operating Costs Compared to Some Competitors
Opportunities
- Expanding Service Offerings (e.g., supply chain solutions)
- Capitalizing on E-commerce Growth
- Strategic Acquisitions
- Increasing Market Share in Underserved Regions
Threats
- Economic Downturns
- Increased Fuel Costs
- Driver Shortages
- Intense Competition
- Regulatory Changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- XPO (XPO)
- Saia (SAIA)
- ArcBest (ARCB)
Competitive Landscape
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc's advantages include its superior service quality and low claim ratio. Disadvantages include its premium pricing and exposure to economic cycles.
Major Acquisitions
Pitt Ohio Group
- Year: 2014
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 100
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded ODFL service offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Old Dominion has experienced strong growth historically, driven by its superior service and strategic expansion.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on factors like economic growth, industry trends, and company-specific initiatives. Analyst estimates typically provide revenue and earnings growth forecasts.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include network expansion, technology investments, and new service offerings.
Summary
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. is a strong LTL carrier with a reputation for high-quality service and consistent financial performance. It benefits from a well-established network and industry-leading technology. However, its premium pricing and sensitivity to economic cycles require close monitoring. Management needs to continue focusing on effeciencies for improved profits.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Thomasville, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1991-10-24 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Kevin M. Freeman | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 21719 | Website https://www.odfl.com |
Full time employees 21719 | Website https://www.odfl.com |
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates service and fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2024, it owned and operated 11,284 tractors, 31,451 linehaul trailers, and 15,263 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

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