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Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/13/2025: ODFL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $159.82
1 Year Target Price $159.82
6 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
15 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -28.2% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 28.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.6 | 1Y Target Price 159.82 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.6 | 1Y Target Price 159.82 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 25 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 133.69 - 231.78 | Updated Date 10/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 133.69 - 231.78 | Updated Date 10/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.80% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.12 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.42% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 16.43% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.25% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.6 | Forward PE 25.32 | Enterprise Value 29695575062 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.08 |
Enterprise Value 29695575062 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.59 | Shares Outstanding 210168137 | Shares Floating 193121399 |
Shares Outstanding 210168137 | Shares Floating 193121399 | ||
Percent Insiders 10.18 | Percent Institutions 78.63 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. was founded in 1934 in Richmond, Virginia. It started as a small, family-owned trucking company and has grown to become one of the largest less-than-truckload (LTL) carriers in North America. Key milestones include expanding its service network, investing in technology, and consistently focusing on service quality.
Core Business Areas
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services: This is Old Dominion's primary business segment, providing transportation services for shipments that do not require a full truckload. It includes regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services.
- Expedited Services: Offers time-critical and guaranteed delivery services.
- Truckload Brokerage: Arranges for the transportation of full truckload shipments through a network of third-party carriers.
- Supply Chain Consulting: Provides supply chain analysis and optimization services to help customers improve their logistics operations.
Leadership and Structure
David Congdon is the Executive Chairman of the Board. Marty Freeman is the President and CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with various functional departments, including operations, sales, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- LTL Transportation: Core offering of transporting smaller freight loads. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc has 10-11% market share. Competitors include FedEx Freight, XPO Logistics, and TForce Freight.
- Expedited Delivery: Time-sensitive delivery services. This accounts for a smaller portion of revenue. Competitors include UPS and FedEx.
- Supply Chain Solutions: Services to improve the efficiency of supply chains for customers. Market share is smaller, competes with consulting firms like McKinsey or Accenture.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The LTL industry is highly competitive and influenced by economic conditions, fuel prices, and technological advancements. Demand is tied to overall economic activity and consumer spending.
Positioning
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc is positioned as a premium LTL carrier known for its on-time performance and low claims ratio. It focuses on providing high-quality service and investing in its network and technology.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US LTL market is estimated to be around $50 billion. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc is well-positioned to capture a larger share of this TAM through its service-focused strategy and network expansion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong service reputation
- Low claims ratio
- Modern and efficient fleet
- Extensive service network
- Financial Stability
Weaknesses
- Higher pricing compared to some competitors
- Reliance on economic conditions
- Vulnerability to fuel price fluctuations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased demand for e-commerce related freight
- Technological advancements in logistics
- Acquisition opportunities
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Increased competition
- Rising fuel costs
- Government regulations
- Labor shortages
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FDX
- UPS
- XPO
Competitive Landscape
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc differentiates itself through superior service quality, resulting in a lower claims ratio than its competitors. This allows them to command premium prices. However, competitors like FDX and UPS have larger networks and brand recognition.
Major Acquisitions
Carter & Sons Freightways
- Year: 2001
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 15
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded coverage in the Southeast
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Old Dominion Freight Line Inc has experienced significant growth in revenue and profitability over the past decade, driven by its focus on service quality and strategic investments.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth for Old Dominion Freight Line Inc, although at a potentially slower pace than in previous years due to increased competition and economic uncertainty. Projected revenue and EPS growth would require consulting analyst reports.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new equipment, expansion of service centers, and the implementation of new technologies to improve efficiency and customer service.
Summary
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc stands out as a high-quality LTL carrier with a strong service reputation and a modern fleet. Its focus on service leads to higher pricing but results in strong customer satisfaction and repeat business. Key areas to watch include economic headwinds, fuel costs, and competitive pressures within the evolving LTL landscape. By maintaining service quality and strategically expanding its network, ODFL is positioned for sustained growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (e.g., 10-K reports)
- Industry Reports (e.g., from trade associations)
- Financial News Providers (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Analyst Reports (e.g., from investment banks)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. It does not constitute financial advice. The information provided is for informational purposes only, and readers should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Thomasville, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1991-10-24 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Kevin M. Freeman | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 21719 | Website https://www.odfl.com |
Full time employees 21719 | Website https://www.odfl.com |
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates service and fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2024, it owned and operated 11,284 tractors, 31,451 linehaul trailers, and 15,263 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

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