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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: UPS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $104.63
1 Year Target Price $104.63
14 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
12 | Hold |
2 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -52.58% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 75.05B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.18 | 1Y Target Price 104.63 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.18 | 1Y Target Price 104.63 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 32 | Beta 1.1 | 52 Weeks Range 84.28 - 138.94 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 84.28 - 138.94 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.72 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-29 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.57 | Actual 1.55 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.35% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.02% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.97% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.91% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.18 | Forward PE 13.7 | Enterprise Value 97675291798 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83 |
Enterprise Value 97675291798 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.27 | Shares Outstanding 736043008 | Shares Floating 735164956 |
Shares Outstanding 736043008 | Shares Floating 735164956 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.04 | Percent Institutions 71.26 |
Upturn AI SWOT
United Parcel Service Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1907 in Seattle, Washington, as the American Messenger Company, UPS initially focused on package delivery for local businesses. Over time, it expanded nationally and internationally, becoming a global leader in logistics and supply chain management. Significant milestones include the introduction of air delivery service in 1929 and going public in 1999.
Core Business Areas
- U.S. Domestic Package: Provides a broad range of U.S. domestic package delivery services, guaranteed overnight delivery, two-day service, and ground delivery for businesses and consumers.
- International Package: Offers package delivery services to more than 220 countries and territories worldwide, including express, deferred, and ground services. Focuses on cross-border trade and global supply chains.
- Supply Chain & Freight: Provides supply chain management solutions, including freight forwarding, customs brokerage, healthcare logistics, and specialized services. Caters to businesses seeking comprehensive logistics solutions.
Leadership and Structure
Carol Tomu00e9 serves as the Chief Executive Officer (CEO). The company operates with a hierarchical structure with regional and functional divisions reporting to the executive leadership team. The Board of Directors oversees the overall strategy and governance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Small Package Delivery (U.S. Domestic): Offers guaranteed delivery options ranging from next-day air to ground delivery. Market share is estimated to be around 38% in the U.S. Competitors include FedEx, USPS, and regional carriers.
- Small Package Delivery (International): Provides express and standard delivery services to destinations worldwide. Faces competition from DHL, FedEx, and local postal services in various regions. Market share is subject to regional variations.
- Supply Chain Solutions: Offers comprehensive logistics solutions including freight forwarding, warehousing, and distribution. Competitors include C.H. Robinson, Expeditors International, and other large logistics providers. Revenue is a portion of the $1 trillion+ global market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The logistics industry is characterized by increasing e-commerce volumes, rising customer expectations for faster delivery, and technological advancements such as automation and AI. It is competitive and increasingly global.
Positioning
UPS is a dominant player in the logistics industry with a strong brand reputation, extensive global network, and diverse service portfolio. Its competitive advantages include its vast infrastructure, operational expertise, and technology investments.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global logistics market is estimated to be several trillion dollars. UPS is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM due to its extensive network and service offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Global network
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive infrastructure
- Technological capabilities
- Diverse service portfolio
Weaknesses
- High operating costs
- Labor relations challenges
- Dependence on economic conditions
- Exposure to fuel price volatility
Opportunities
- E-commerce growth
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Adoption of automation and AI
- Increasing demand for specialized logistics solutions
- Supply chain resilience services
Threats
- Intense competition
- Economic downturns
- Regulatory changes
- Cybersecurity risks
- Geopolitical instability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FDX
- DHL.DE
- AMZN
Competitive Landscape
UPS and FedEx dominate the U.S. market, while DHL is a major player globally. Amazon is increasingly becoming a competitor with its own logistics network. UPS differentiates itself through its global reach, service portfolio, and reliability.
Major Acquisitions
Roadie
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 515
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded same-day delivery capabilities and enhanced its ability to serve e-commerce customers with urgent delivery needs.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: UPS has experienced steady growth in revenue and profitability over the long term, driven by e-commerce and global trade. However, more recent years saw more volatility.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for UPS, driven by e-commerce and expansion into emerging markets. Profitability is expected to improve with cost-cutting measures and operational efficiencies.
Recent Initiatives: UPS has been investing in automation, technology, and expanding its network to enhance efficiency and capacity. Also they are focusing on Healthcare and small business solutions.
Summary
UPS is a logistics giant with a strong global presence but faces cost and competitive pressures. They benefit from e-commerce growth and a wide range of services. Areas of concern include labor costs, volatile fuel prices, and increasing competition. UPS is adapting through technology and strategic acquisitions.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Materials
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Market Share Data from Third-Party Research
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About United Parcel Service Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-11-10 | CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees 490000 | Website https://www.ups.com |
Full time employees 490000 | Website https://www.ups.com |
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international shipping services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, custom brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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