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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: UPS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Year Target Price $114.39
Year Target Price $114.39
14 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
12 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
3 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -45.09% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 85.68B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.77 | 1Y Target Price 114.39 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.77 | 1Y Target Price 114.39 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 32 | Beta 1.19 | 52 Weeks Range 89.08 - 140.16 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 89.08 - 140.16 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.48% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.85 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.32% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.34% | Return on Equity (TTM) 35.91% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.77 | Forward PE 14.16 | Enterprise Value 106208002010 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.94 |
Enterprise Value 106208002010 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.94 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.17 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.89 | Shares Outstanding 733726976 | Shares Floating 732878097 |
Shares Outstanding 733726976 | Shares Floating 732878097 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.03 | Percent Institutions 70.26 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 114.39 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 14 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 14 | ||
Hold 12 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
United Parcel Service Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1907 as American Messenger Company, UPS focused on package delivery. Evolved over the 20th century into a global logistics leader, expanding services and geographic reach. Publicly listed in 1999.
Core Business Areas
- U.S. Domestic Package: Provides time-definite delivery services throughout the United States, utilizing ground and air transportation.
- International Package: Offers delivery services to more than 220 countries and territories worldwide.
- Supply Chain & Freight: Provides supply chain solutions, including freight forwarding, contract logistics, and customs brokerage services.
Leadership and Structure
CEO: Carol Tomu00e9. Operates with a functional organizational structure, with regional and operational divisions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Small Package Delivery: Core service, delivering documents and packages globally. Competitors include FedEx (FDX) and DHL. Market share in US package delivery is significant but varies based on specific segments.
- Supply Chain Solutions: Offers logistics, transportation, and distribution services for businesses. Competitors include C.H. Robinson (CHRW) and XPO Logistics (XPO). Revenue from this segment is substantial and contributes significantly to overall revenue.
- Freight Services: Provides air and ground freight forwarding services. Competitors include Expeditors International (EXPD). This includes UPS Freight which was sold in 2021.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The logistics industry is characterized by increasing demand due to e-commerce growth, but faces challenges such as rising fuel costs, labor shortages, and regulatory changes.
Positioning
UPS is a major player in the logistics industry with a strong brand reputation and extensive global network. Competitive advantages include scale, technology, and service offerings.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global logistics market is estimated to be several trillion dollars. UPS is positioned to capture a portion through its established network and growing e-commerce support.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Global Network
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Advanced Technology
- Extensive Service Portfolio
- Large-scale operations
Weaknesses
- High Operating Costs
- Dependence on Fuel Prices
- Labor Relations
- Capital-intensive business
- Sensitivity to economic cycles
Opportunities
- E-commerce Growth
- Emerging Markets Expansion
- Technological Innovation (Drones, Automation)
- Supply Chain Optimization Services
- Sustainability Initiatives
Threats
- Economic Downturns
- Increased Competition
- Regulatory Changes
- Cybersecurity Risks
- Geopolitical Instability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FedEx (FDX)
- DHL (DPW.DE)
- United States Postal Service
Competitive Landscape
UPS has a strong global presence and diverse service portfolio. However, faces stiff competition from FedEx and DHL who continuously strive to implement technological advances to lower costs.
Major Acquisitions
Bomi Group
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Strengthens UPS Healthcare's capabilities in Europe and Latin America.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: UPS has experienced growth driven by e-commerce, international expansion, and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for UPS, driven by e-commerce and expansion into new markets.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in automation, technology, and sustainability.
Summary
UPS is a strong global logistics leader benefiting from the e-commerce boom. Its global network and diverse services are advantages. However, it faces competition, economic uncertainties, and high operating costs and needs to look out for those factors to remain successful.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- UPS Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Data accuracy is not guaranteed.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About United Parcel Service Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1999-11-10 | CEO & Director Ms. Carol B. Tome | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees 490000 | Website https://www.ups.com |
Full time employees 490000 | Website https://www.ups.com |
United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services in the United States. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international shipping services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, custom brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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