Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
ORGN
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Origin Materials Inc (ORGN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$0.84
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY40%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 26 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: ORGN (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 26 days. Profits (40.00%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

1 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $0.5

1 Year Target Price $0.5

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$0.5 Target price
52w Low $0.4
Current$0.84
52w High $1.9

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 53.99%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 125.76M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 0.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 0.5
Volume (30-day avg) 1
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 0.40 - 1.90
Updated Date 08/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.40 - 1.90
Updated Date 08/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.66

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-14
When -
Estimate -0.09
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -294.9%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -10.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) -26.63%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 50274681
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.21
Enterprise Value 50274681
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.44
Shares Outstanding 149944992
Shares Floating 131742978
Shares Outstanding 149944992
Shares Floating 131742978
Percent Insiders 6.61
Percent Institutions 13.26

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Origin Materials Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Origin Materials was founded in 2008 and went public via SPAC in 2021. It focuses on developing technology to convert sustainable wood residues into chemicals and materials.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • CXT: Production and sale of chloromethyl furfural (CMF), hydrothermal carbon (HTC), and other bio-based materials. Origin Materials aims to displace petroleum-based materials with sustainable alternatives.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

John Bissell is the Co-Founder and Co-Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, focusing on research and development, production, and commercialization.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • CMF (Chloromethyl Furfural): CMF is a platform chemical derived from biomass. It is a precursor to a range of downstream products, including polymers, plastics, and resins. Origin Materials is currently in the process of building out its production capabilities. Market share data is not yet publicly available due to its early stage of production. Competitors in this space include companies developing alternative bio-based chemicals.
  • HTC (Hydrothermal Carbon): HTC is produced as a byproduct of CMF production and can be used as a sustainable alternative to fossil-based carbon black. Origin Materials plans to sell HTC as a sustainable additive for various applications. Market share data is not yet publicly available. Competitors include traditional carbon black producers and other companies developing alternative carbon materials.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The industry focuses on developing sustainable alternatives to petroleum-based materials. There's growing demand for bio-based chemicals and materials driven by environmental concerns and regulatory pressures.

Positioning

Origin Materials aims to be a leading provider of CMF and HTC by leveraging its patented technology. Its competitive advantage lies in its cost-effective and sustainable production process.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for chemicals and materials derived from petroleum is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. Origin Materials is targeting a small percentage of this market with its bio-based alternatives.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary Technology
  • Sustainable Feedstock
  • Strategic Partnerships
  • First-Mover Advantage

Weaknesses

  • Limited Production Capacity
  • Early Stage of Commercialization
  • Dependence on Funding
  • Lack of Established Market Presence

Opportunities

  • Increasing Demand for Sustainable Materials
  • Expansion into New Markets
  • Development of New Products
  • Government Incentives and Regulations

Threats

  • Competition from Established Chemical Companies
  • Fluctuations in Raw Material Prices
  • Technological Advancements by Competitors
  • Economic Downturn

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Amyris (AMRS)
  • Gevo (GEVO)
  • Danimer Scientific (DNMR)

Competitive Landscape

Origin Materials competes with other companies developing bio-based chemicals and materials. Its advantage lies in its proprietary technology. Its disadvantage is its limited production capacity and early stage of commercialization. Note: Market shares are currently minimal for all players as the industry is nascent.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historically, growth has been primarily in research and development activities.

Future Projections: Future growth is dependent on the successful commercialization of CMF and HTC. Analyst estimates vary widely due to the uncertainty surrounding the company's ability to execute its business plan.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the construction of Origin 1, a commercial-scale production facility, and the expansion of partnerships with major companies.

Summary

Origin Materials is a high-risk, high-reward company in the bio-based chemicals and materials industry. Its proprietary technology and strategic partnerships are promising, but its limited production capacity and early stage of commercialization pose significant challenges. Investors should closely monitor its progress towards commercialization and its ability to secure funding. The company needs to manage its cash burn effectively and demonstrate its ability to produce CMF and HTC at a competitive cost.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Press Releases

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The data provided is based on publicly available information and may not be completely accurate or up-to-date. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in early stage companies involves a high degree of risk.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Origin Materials Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
Full time employees 109
Full time employees 109

Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. The company was formerly known as Micromidas, Inc. and changed its name to Origin Materials, Inc. in June 2021. Origin Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Sacramento, California.