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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/17/2025: ORGN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
1 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $0.5
1 Year Target Price $0.5
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -5.79% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 95.94M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 0.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 0.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1 | Beta 0.86 | 52 Weeks Range 0.40 - 1.50 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.40 - 1.50 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.62 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -257.46% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) -25.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 14307546 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.35 |
Enterprise Value 14307546 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.5 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.44 | Shares Outstanding 149898813 | Shares Floating 138430096 |
Shares Outstanding 149898813 | Shares Floating 138430096 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.34 | Percent Institutions 12.24 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Origin Materials Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Origin Materials was founded in 2008. They've focused on developing technology to convert sustainable wood residues into chemicals and materials. They went public via SPAC merger in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Chemicals and Materials: Focuses on developing and producing bio-based chemicals and materials that can replace petroleum-based products. Includes intermediates and polymers.
- Technology Licensing: Outlines the licensing of their technology to other companies for producing sustainable materials and chemicals.
Leadership and Structure
John Bissell is Co-Founder and Co-CEO. The organizational structure is typical of a technology and manufacturing company, with departments for R&D, manufacturing, sales & marketing, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Chloromethylfurfural (CMF): A bio-based chemical intermediate used to produce a variety of downstream products, including polymers, resins, and plastics. Market share data is still evolving. Competitors include traditional petrochemical companies and other bio-based chemical producers. Revenue generation is still in early stages.
- Hydrothermic Carbon (HTC): A carbon-neutral material used in soil additives. Market share data is unavailable as this is a new market. Competitors are primarily traditional carbon black manufacturers. Revenue generation is still in early stages.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The industry is focused on sustainable materials and renewable chemicals, driven by consumer demand and regulatory pressures to reduce reliance on fossil fuels. The industry is growing, but adoption depends on cost-competitiveness and performance of bio-based alternatives.
Positioning
Origin Materials aims to be a leading supplier of bio-based chemical intermediates and materials. Their advantage lies in a proprietary technology platform for converting sustainable feedstocks into valuable chemicals and materials.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, encompassing the markets for plastics, polymers, and other chemicals. Origin Materials is positioned to capture a portion of this market by offering sustainable alternatives to petroleum-based products.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology platform
- Sustainable feedstock utilization
- Potential for cost competitiveness
- Partnerships with major companies
Weaknesses
- Reliance on successful scale-up of technology
- Dependence on securing sufficient feedstock supply
- Limited current revenue generation
- Negative earnings
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable materials
- Increasing regulatory pressure to reduce fossil fuel use
- Expansion into new markets and applications
- Potential for technology licensing
Threats
- Competition from established petrochemical companies
- Fluctuations in feedstock prices
- Technological obsolescence
- Economic downturn impacting demand for sustainable products
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADM
- Gevo (GEVO)
- Amyris (AMRS)
Competitive Landscape
Origin Materials competes with established petrochemical companies and other bio-based chemical producers. Its advantages include proprietary technology and sustainable feedstock utilization. Disadvantages include limited scale and financial resources compared to larger competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been characterized by technology development and securing partnerships. Revenue growth is recent and minimal.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be substantial as the company scales up production and commercializes its products. Analyst estimates vary widely.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include construction of commercial-scale production facilities and securing supply agreements for feedstock.
Summary
Origin Materials is an early-stage company with promising technology for producing sustainable chemicals and materials. The company is growing, but faces challenges in scaling up production and achieving cost competitiveness. Success depends on executing its growth strategy and navigating a competitive landscape. It requires focus to carefully manage its finances.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The information provided is based on publicly available data and analyst estimates, which are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Origin Materials Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com |
Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com | ||
Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. The company was formerly known as Micromidas, Inc. and changed its name to Origin Materials, Inc. in June 2021. Origin Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Sacramento, California.
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