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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Origin Materials Inc Warrant (ORGNW)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/16/2025: ORGNW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -64.47% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/16/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size ETF | Market Capitalization 0 USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 0.01 - 0.20 | Updated Date 05/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.01 - 0.20 | Updated Date 05/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -294.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) -26.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 131742978 |
Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 131742978 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Origin Materials Inc Warrant
Company Overview
History and Background
Origin Materials was founded in 2008 with the aim of replacing petroleum-based materials with sustainable alternatives. They went public via SPAC in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Chemical Manufacturing: Production of bio-based building block chemicals, primarily CMF (chloromethylfurfural) and HTC (hydrothermal carbon), from sustainable wood residues.
Leadership and Structure
John Bissell is the Co-Founder and CEO. The company has a standard corporate structure with a board of directors and various executive leadership roles.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- CMF (Chloromethylfurfural): A bio-based chemical intermediate used in the production of PET plastics, polymers, and other materials. Market share is emerging. Competitors: Traditional petroleum-based chemical manufacturers.
- HTC (Hydrothermal Carbon): A bio-based carbon material used in various applications, including agriculture and energy storage. Market share is also emerging. Competitors: Traditional carbon black and other carbon material manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The industry is moving towards sustainable alternatives to petroleum-based materials, driven by consumer demand and regulatory pressure.
Positioning
Origin Materials aims to be a leader in the bio-based chemicals market, offering drop-in replacements for existing materials with a lower carbon footprint.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for sustainable chemicals is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Origin Materials is positioned to capture a significant share of this market with its proprietary technology and growing production capacity.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology for producing bio-based chemicals
- Sustainable sourcing of raw materials
- Strong partnerships with major corporations
- Potential for significant cost advantages over petroleum-based alternatives
Weaknesses
- Reliance on successful scaling of production facilities
- Relatively small revenue base compared to established chemical companies
- Volatility in raw material prices
- Dependence on adoption of bio-based materials by end-users
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable materials
- Government incentives and regulations favoring bio-based products
- Expansion into new applications and markets
- Potential for strategic acquisitions and partnerships
Threats
- Competition from established chemical companies
- Technological advancements that could render Origin Materials' technology obsolete
- Economic downturns that could reduce demand for sustainable materials
- Fluctuations in raw material prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DANISCO (ICL)
- Amyris (AMRS)
- Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA)
Competitive Landscape
Origin Materials competes with both established chemical companies and other bio-based materials producers. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary technology and sustainable sourcing.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth depends on the underlying stock. Origin Materials has been focused on scaling up production and securing partnerships.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on the underlying stock. Analyst estimates suggest significant revenue growth as production ramps up.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the construction of new production facilities and partnerships with major corporations to develop and commercialize bio-based materials.
Summary
Origin Materials Inc Warrant's value is intrinsically tied to the performance of Origin Materials' common stock (ON). The company is in a high-growth sector, but its long-term success depends on the scaling of its production and adoption of its products. Investors should monitor the company's operational milestones and competitive dynamics. The warrants are a leveraged bet on Origin Materials' future success and therefore a higher-risk investment.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. The value of the warrants is highly volatile and depends on the performance of the underlying stock. Investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Origin Materials Inc Warrant
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com |
Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com | ||
Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. The company was formerly known as Micromidas, Inc. and changed its name to Origin Materials, Inc. in June 2021. Origin Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Sacramento, California.
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