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Origin Materials Inc Warrant (ORGNW)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/20/2025: ORGNW (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -64.47% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size ETF | Market Capitalization 0 USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 0.81 | 52 Weeks Range 0.01 - 0.20 | Updated Date 05/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.01 - 0.20 | Updated Date 05/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) - |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -294.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) -26.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value - | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue - | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 131742978 |
Shares Outstanding - | Shares Floating 131742978 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Origin Materials Inc Warrant
Company Overview
History and Background
Origin Materials was founded in 2008, focusing on developing technology to produce chemicals and materials from sustainable wood residues rather than petroleum. It went public via SPAC merger in 2021. The warrant (ORGNW) gives the holder the right to purchase shares of Origin Materials (ORGN) stock at a specified price.
Core Business Areas
- Sustainable Chemicals and Materials: Origin Materials focuses on producing bio-based PET plastic, HTC (hydrothermal carbon), and other chemical building blocks from wood residues, offering sustainable alternatives to petroleum-based products.
Leadership and Structure
John Bissell serves as co-founder and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with a board of directors and executive management team overseeing various departments, including R&D, operations, and sales.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Bio-based PET: Origin's primary product is bio-based PET (polyethylene terephthalate), a plastic used in beverage bottles, packaging, and textiles. Market share is currently small but growing as sustainability demands increase. Competitors include traditional PET manufacturers like Indorama Ventures and Alpek, as well as other bio-based plastic developers like Avantium.
- HTC (Hydrothermal Carbon): Hydrothermal carbon, a versatile material used in various applications, including carbon black replacement, soil amendment, and energy storage. Market share is emerging. Competitors include traditional carbon black producers and alternative carbon material developers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The chemical and materials industry is undergoing a shift towards sustainable alternatives due to environmental concerns and consumer demand. Bio-based materials are gaining traction.
Positioning
Origin Materials positions itself as a leader in producing sustainable chemical building blocks from wood residues, offering a lower carbon footprint alternative to traditional petroleum-based products. Competitive advantages include its patented technology and partnerships with major consumer brands.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for bio-based chemicals and materials is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Origin Materials is positioned to capture a portion of this market by providing sustainable alternatives to existing products, particularly in the PET and HTC markets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology for converting wood residues into chemicals
- Partnerships with major consumer brands (e.g., Danone, Nestlu00e9)
- Focus on sustainability and environmental benefits
- Scalable production platform
Weaknesses
- Relatively new company with limited operational history
- Reliance on technology working as expected and scaling up
- High capital expenditure requirements
- Limited revenue to date
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable materials
- Potential for government incentives and regulations supporting bio-based products
- Expansion into new applications and markets
- Further partnerships with leading brands
Threats
- Competition from established chemical companies
- Fluctuations in raw material prices (wood residues)
- Technological advancements by competitors
- Economic downturns impacting demand for consumer products
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- IVZ
- PKX
- DWDP
- LYB
Competitive Landscape
Origin Materials has a unique technology and strong sustainability proposition. Its disadvantages stem from being a new company versus large established players.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is minimal due to the company being in a pre-revenue stage.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on the successful scaling of its production facility and adoption of its products by major brands. Analyst estimates vary widely.
Recent Initiatives: Focusing on the construction of its first commercial-scale production facility, Origin 1, and securing partnerships with leading consumer brands.
Summary
Origin Materials Inc Warrant represents a speculative investment in the future of sustainable chemicals. The company has promising technology and partnerships, but faces execution risk. Success depends on scaling production, achieving cost competitiveness, and navigating competitive pressures. The warrants represent the right to buy shares at a given strike price and have significant risk/reward characteristics.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company website, SEC filings, Analyst reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual research and consultation with a financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Origin Materials Inc Warrant
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com |
Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com |
Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. The company was formerly known as Micromidas, Inc. and changed its name to Origin Materials, Inc. in June 2021. Origin Materials, Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in West Sacramento, California.

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