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Upturn AI Summary - About
Oxford Industries Inc(OXM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for OXM
10/19/2026: OXM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Oxford Industries is a lifestyle apparel company managing a portfolio of premium brands, including Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, and Johnny Was. The company's main strength lies in its high-margin, direct-to-consumer model that cultivates strong brand loyalty. Its primary growth opportunity involves omnichannel expansion and scaling its diverse portfolio of lifestyle labels. However, the business faces risks from consumer discretionary spending volatility and intense competition within the retail apparel space. Oxford Industries may suit value-oriented or income-focused investors who value consistent dividends, provided they monitor the company's ability to maintain brand relevance and adapt to changing retail trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Oxford is more of a mature, steady compounder than a high-growth tech-style stock. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock tends to trade based on retail cycles rather than explosive short-term momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at moderate valuation multiples relative to its brand strength. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Consistent dividend history makes it attractive for income-oriented retail investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the retail industry is inherently volatile and exposed to economic downturns. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Apparel retail stocks often swing based on consumer sentiment and quarterly earnings misses. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must monitor if retail multiples expand beyond historical norms. |
| Competition risk (retail fashion) | High | The sector is crowded with shifting consumer trends and intense pricing pressure. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company manages high-quality, recognizable brands with strong customer loyalty. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are generally stable, but always subject to board approval and cash flow health. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully integrating acquisitions and maintaining brand relevance is critical. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -31.64% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/19/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 395.73M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 34 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 34 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 613.1K shares | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 23.59 - 47.51 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 23.59 - 47.51 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.23% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.5 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) | Revenue from company-owned retail stores and e-commerce websites for Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, and Johnny Was. | Most revenue comes from selling directly to you, providing higher margins than wholesale. |
| Wholesale | Selling branded apparel to department stores and other retail partners. | This segment provides broad reach but operates on tighter margins than direct retail. |
| Geography | Primary operations are focused on the US market, with some limited international exposure. | You are primarily investing in the health of the US consumer economy. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.85 | Enterprise Value 909.59M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 |
Enterprise Value 909.59M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.17 | Shares Outstanding 14.98M | Shares Floating 14.30M |
Shares Outstanding 14.98M | Shares Floating 14.30M | ||
Percent Insiders 6.75 | Percent Institutions 109.37 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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