Nike Inc logo

Nike Inc(NKE)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-1.35% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$38.59
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NKE

11/06/2026: NKE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Nike is a global leader in the design and marketing of athletic footwear, apparel, and equipment. The company maintains a strong position in the industry, supported by legendary brand equity and a dominant roster of athlete endorsements. Its primary investment story centers on the shift toward a direct-to-consumer model and digital engagement to expand margins. However, Nike faces ongoing risks, including stiff competition from niche lifestyle brands, sensitivity to consumer spending habits, and the complexity of managing global supply chains. The stock may suit investors seeking long-term growth and stable dividend returns, provided they monitor the efficacy of the company’s digital strategy and its ability to maintain market relevance.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitNike's historical ability to scale globally and innovate makes it a staple for growth-oriented portfolios.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often responds strongly to positive trend shifts and innovation-driven sales growth.
Value investorMixed fitValuation can fluctuate, sometimes making it expensive compared to slower-growth peers.
Dividend investorStrong fitConsistent dividend growth and financial stability make it attractive for income-seeking investors.
Low-risk investorStrong fitNike's global brand dominance provides a degree of stability compared to smaller, more volatile retail stocks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumThe stock is subject to broader market trends and shifts in consumer sentiment.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors should be wary of paying high multiples during periods of slowing revenue growth.
Competition risk (Athletic Apparel)Medium / highRising competition from specialized brands can squeeze market share in specific segments.
Business qualityStrongNike's high brand equity and operational scale are hallmarks of a quality franchise.
Dividend incomeLowYield is generally lower than traditional income stocks, focusing more on growth.
Execution riskMediumThe complexity of global operations and digital shifts requires precise management execution.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.61%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
NKE receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
NKE has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: slightly negative earnings growth (-3.4%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 4.7%), moderate revenue growth (+0.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
NKE's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $2.2B (4.7% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is NKE's strongest growth driver at +0.2% FY2026 versus FY2025 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-3.4%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-33.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 83.4% and approximately 97.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.95% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 5.51%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 5.27%
Capital World Investors 4.85%
State Street Corp 4.28%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.08%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
NKE generates approximately $429 of gross profit, $82 of operating income, and $47 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with soft cash conversion and solid capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 20.31%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
NKE has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 57.32B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.55
1Y Target Price 36.42
Price to earnings Ratio 18.55
1Y Target Price 36.42
Volume (30-day avg) 36.0M shares
Beta 1.03
52 Weeks Range 31.97 - 67.36
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 31.97 - 67.36
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.15%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.08

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
FootwearPerformance and lifestyle sneakers, including Air Jordan and Nike Running.The main driver of Nike's revenue, relying on consistent hits and brand power.
ApparelPerformance sportswear and lifestyle clothing items.Complements footwear sales and benefits from the 'athleisure' trend.
Geography: North AmericaThe primary revenue-generating region for the company.A mature market where growth depends on brand strength and digital channel success.
Geography: Greater ChinaA key growth and strategic manufacturing market.Important for long-term growth but subject to unique geopolitical and local competition risks.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.55
Forward PE 32.15
Enterprise Value 60.02B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25
Enterprise Value 60.02B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.17
Shares Outstanding 1.20B
Shares Floating 1.18B
Shares Outstanding 1.20B
Shares Floating 1.18B
Percent Insiders 1.95
Percent Institutions 83.37

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.