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Performance Food Group Co(PFGC)
Today’s top pick 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PFGC
11/09/2026: PFGC (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 6 days. Simulated Profits (10.84%). Updated daily EoD!
Performance Food Group Co is a major player in the U.S. food distribution industry, operating through segments that serve restaurants, convenience stores, and specialized retail channels. The company has a leading position, built upon a strategy of aggressive acquisitions that have significantly scaled its national logistics footprint. Its primary growth opportunity lies in further consolidating a fragmented market and driving efficiencies through its existing network. However, investors must monitor risks related to its significant debt load, low operating margins, and sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts affecting dining-out trends. The stock may best suit growth-oriented investors looking for exposure to the U.S. food supply chain.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | PFGC has a history of aggressive expansion and market share gains that attract growth-oriented investors. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum suitability is conditional on the current technical uptrend in the stock price. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation is often tied to cyclical expectations in the restaurant sector, requiring careful entry points. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a cash dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's reliance on debt and the cyclical nature of the restaurant industry create volatility unsuitable for low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock price reacts strongly to restaurant industry data and changes in food inflation. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market expectations for growth must be met to justify current multiples. |
| Competition risk (Food distribution) | High | Intense competition from Sysco and US Foods puts constant pressure on margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | It is a reliable operator in a critical supply chain role but operates in a low-margin commodity business. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors receive no cash income from holding this stock. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success relies heavily on the ability to integrate large acquisitions like Core-Mark efficiently. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 68.75% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 42.83 | 1Y Target Price 128.17 |
Price to earnings Ratio 42.83 | 1Y Target Price 128.17 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 80.82 - 117.47 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 80.82 - 117.47 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.51 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Foodservice | Distribution of food and supplies to independent restaurants and chains. | This is the company's core business, serving the restaurant industry directly. |
| Vistar | Specialized food and snack distribution to vending and movie theaters. | Provides stable, niche revenue outside of traditional restaurant dining. |
| Convenience | Supplies for gas stations and convenience stores. | High-volume business that benefits from consumer spending on-the-go. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.26 | Actual 1.32 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.21% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 42.83 | Forward PE 18.18 | Enterprise Value 24.84B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.26 |
Enterprise Value 24.84B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.26 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.36 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14 | Shares Outstanding 157.78M | Shares Floating 154.47M |
Shares Outstanding 157.78M | Shares Floating 154.47M | ||
Percent Insiders 4.21 | Percent Institutions 101.92 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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