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Progressive Corp (PGR)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: PGR (3-star) is a REGULAR-BUY. BUY since 17 days. Simulated Profits (-1.29%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $251.53
1 Year Target Price $251.53
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 54.04% | Avg. Invested days 49 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 126.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.81 | 1Y Target Price 251.53 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.81 | 1Y Target Price 251.53 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 0.34 | 52 Weeks Range 187.96 - 275.18 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 187.96 - 275.18 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.30% | Basic EPS (TTM) 18.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.58% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.08% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.81 | Forward PE 13.32 | Enterprise Value 131671530000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.48 |
Enterprise Value 131671530000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.48 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.55 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.85 | Shares Outstanding 586200000 | Shares Floating 584245158 |
Shares Outstanding 586200000 | Shares Floating 584245158 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.24 | Percent Institutions 88.2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Progressive Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 by Joseph M. and Jack Green. It began as a small auto insurance company with a focus on serving overlooked markets. A significant milestone was the introduction of the 'Name Your Own Price' tool in 1994, which revolutionized how consumers shopped for insurance. Progressive has evolved into one of the largest auto insurers in the United States, expanding its product offerings and adopting innovative technology to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
Core Business Areas
- Personal Lines Insurance: This segment provides auto insurance for individual consumers. Key products include liability, collision, comprehensive, and uninsured/underinsured motorist coverage. They also offer options for RVs, boats, motorcycles, and recreational vehicles.
- Commercial Lines Insurance: This segment offers business auto insurance for small to medium-sized businesses. Products cover vehicles used for commercial purposes, providing tailored solutions for various industries.
- Property and Other Businesses: This segment includes homeowners insurance, renters insurance, and other related property coverage. It also encompasses specialized insurance products and services.
Leadership and Structure
Progressive is led by a seasoned executive team, including its CEO, and operates with a matrixed structure that emphasizes collaboration and innovation across its various business units and departments. The company's structure is designed to support its customer-centric approach and its commitment to technological advancement in the insurance industry.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Personal Auto Insurance: Progressive's flagship product. It offers comprehensive coverage options for personal vehicles. In 2023, Progressive held approximately 15-20% of the US personal auto insurance market share, with competitors including State Farm, Geico, and Allstate. Revenue from this segment is the largest contributor to the company's overall revenue.
- Homeowners Insurance: Progressive offers homeowners insurance policies, often bundled with auto policies for convenience and cost savings. While a smaller portion of their business compared to auto, it's a growing segment. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate, and independent insurance agents.
- Commercial Auto Insurance: This segment serves small to medium-sized businesses, providing insurance for their fleet vehicles. Progressive is a significant player in this niche. Competitors include Hartford, Nationwide, and other specialized commercial insurers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The US insurance industry, particularly auto insurance, is highly competitive and mature. It is characterized by significant market share concentration among a few large players, ongoing technological disruption (InsurTech), evolving regulatory landscapes, and sensitivity to economic conditions, inflation, and natural disaster frequency. The industry is increasingly focused on data analytics, AI, and customer experience to gain an edge.
Positioning
Progressive is positioned as a leading innovator in the insurance industry, particularly known for its technological advancements and customer-centric approach. Its competitive advantages include its strong brand recognition, diverse product portfolio, sophisticated data analytics capabilities, and a multi-channel distribution strategy. The company is adept at serving a broad range of customer segments, including those with less-than-perfect driving records.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for auto insurance in the US is estimated to be over $300 billion annually. Progressive, with its significant market share, is well-positioned to capture a substantial portion of this TAM. The company's strategy focuses on organic growth, expanding into adjacent insurance lines, and leveraging technology to enhance its reach and efficiency within this vast market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for innovation.
- Leading market share in personal auto insurance.
- Advanced technological capabilities and data analytics.
- Diversified product offerings beyond auto insurance.
- Effective multi-channel distribution strategy.
Weaknesses
- Higher reliance on auto insurance compared to some diversified competitors.
- Potential vulnerability to catastrophic weather events impacting property insurance.
- Dependence on broker relationships for certain distribution channels.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new insurance product lines and geographic markets.
- Leveraging InsurTech advancements for enhanced customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Growth in commercial lines of business.
- Partnerships and strategic alliances to broaden reach.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from traditional insurers and InsurTech startups.
- Increasing frequency and severity of auto accidents and natural disasters.
- Changes in regulatory environment and compliance costs.
- Economic downturns and inflationary pressures impacting consumer spending on insurance.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- State Farm (Private)
- Geico (Berkshire Hathaway Inc.)
- Allstate Corporation (ALL)
- United Services Automobile Association (USAA) (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Progressive's advantages lie in its technological leadership, brand recognition, and ability to serve diverse customer segments, including those with higher risk profiles. Its disadvantages compared to some competitors, like State Farm or USAA, might include a less extensive agent network or limitations in serving specific customer demographics. The competitive landscape is dynamic, with all major players investing heavily in technology and customer experience.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Progressive has exhibited strong historical growth, driven by its market leadership in auto insurance, expansion into property insurance, and its innovative approach to product development and customer acquisition. The company has consistently grown its premiums written and revenue over the past decade.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued solid growth for Progressive, with expectations for mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth annually. This growth is anticipated to be fueled by further market share gains in auto insurance, expansion of its property and commercial lines, and continued investment in technology and digital channels.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in AI and machine learning for claims processing and underwriting, expansion of its digital self-service tools for customers, and strategic partnerships to offer bundled insurance solutions. The company is also focusing on enhancing its competitive position in the competitive landscape through targeted marketing and product innovation.
Summary
Progressive Corp is a financially strong and innovative leader in the US insurance market, particularly in personal auto insurance. Its technological prowess, diversified offerings, and customer-centric approach drive consistent growth. The company needs to remain vigilant against intense competition and the evolving regulatory and economic environment, while continuing to leverage its strengths in digital transformation and data analytics.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Progressive Corporation Official Investor Relations Website
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data presented is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change. Market share percentages are estimates and can vary depending on the source and methodology. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Progressive Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Mayfield, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1986-07-09 | CEO - | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 66308 | Website https://www.progressive.com |
Full time employees 66308 | Website https://www.progressive.com | ||
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. It also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, the company offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provide related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio.

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