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Upturn stock rating
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Progressive Corp (PGR)

Upturn stock rating
$220.59
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/23/2025: PGR (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $262.65

1 Year Target Price $262.65

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$262.65 Target price
52w Low $217.2
Current$220.59
52w High $292.65

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 56.06%
Avg. Invested days 54
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/23/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 129.35B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.11
1Y Target Price 262.65
Price to earnings Ratio 12.11
1Y Target Price 262.65
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 0.32
52 Weeks Range 217.20 - 292.65
Updated Date 10/23/2025
52 Weeks Range 217.20 - 292.65
Updated Date 10/23/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.20%
Basic EPS (TTM) 18.21

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-15
When Before Market
Estimate 4.62
Actual 4.0511

Profitability

Profit Margin 12.58%
Operating Margin (TTM) 15.08%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) 34.22%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.11
Forward PE 15.22
Enterprise Value 149558400000
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.52
Enterprise Value 149558400000
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.52
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.85
Shares Outstanding 586400000
Shares Floating 584183408
Shares Outstanding 586400000
Shares Floating 584183408
Percent Insiders 0.26
Percent Institutions 87.74

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Progressive Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 by Joseph M. Lewis and Jack Green in Cleveland, Ohio. Initially named Progressive Mutual Insurance Company, it focused on providing affordable auto insurance. Over time, it expanded its offerings and became known for its innovative insurance products and services.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Personal Lines: Provides auto, motorcycle, boat, and recreational vehicle insurance to individuals. This is Progressive's largest segment.
  • Commercial Auto: Offers commercial auto insurance for businesses, including trucking and for-hire transportation.
  • Property: Provides homeowners, renters, and condo insurance.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Tricia Griffith serves as the CEO. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with various departments and divisions reporting to executive leadership.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Auto Insurance: Progressive's primary product is auto insurance, covering vehicles, drivers, and liabilities. They are a leading auto insurer in the US. Competitors include GEICO, State Farm, Allstate. Market share is estimated to be ~13%.
  • Home Insurance: Home insurance protects your property from damage, theft, and liability claims. It is often bundled with auto insurance. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate, Liberty Mutual.
  • Commercial Auto Insurance: Offers insurance coverage for businesses using vehicles. Market share in this segment is significant. Competitors include Travelers, Liberty Mutual, Nationwide.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The insurance industry is highly competitive and regulated, influenced by economic conditions, weather patterns, and evolving consumer preferences. Technological advancements and digital transformation are reshaping the industry landscape.

Positioning

Progressive is positioned as an innovative and tech-savvy insurer, known for its usage-based insurance programs and competitive pricing. Their direct-to-consumer model and strong brand recognition are key competitive advantages.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for insurance is substantial, estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Progressive is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its diverse product offerings and strategic initiatives.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Innovative technology
  • Competitive pricing
  • Efficient claims processing
  • Direct-to-consumer model

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to catastrophic events
  • Reliance on pricing models
  • Customer service perceptions
  • High expense ratio compared to peers

Opportunities

  • Expanding into new markets
  • Developing new insurance products
  • Leveraging data analytics
  • Partnerships with technology companies
  • Increasing adoption of usage-based insurance

Threats

  • Intense competition
  • Regulatory changes
  • Economic downturns
  • Increased claims costs
  • Cybersecurity risks

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BRK.B
  • ALL
  • STATE FARM
  • GEICO

Competitive Landscape

Progressive's advantages include its innovative technology, competitive pricing, and direct-to-consumer model. Disadvantages include exposure to catastrophic events and intense competition.

Major Acquisitions

American Strategic Insurance (ASI)

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 875
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Progressive's presence in the homeowners insurance market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Progressive has experienced steady growth driven by its competitive pricing, innovative products, and efficient operations.

Future Projections: Analysts predict continued growth for Progressive, driven by increasing insurance demand and the company's strategic initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its product offerings, enhancing its technology platform, and focusing on customer experience.

Summary

Progressive is a strong insurance company with a competitive advantage stemming from its technology and pricing strategies. However, it faces threats from catastrophic events and competitors. Its direct-to-consumer model and innovative products drive growth. The company should focus on mitigating risk and enhancing customer service.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Website
  • SEC Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data is based on available information and may be subject to change. Market share data is an estimate.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Progressive Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Mayfield, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 1986-07-09
President, CEO & Director Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Full time employees 66308
Full time employees 66308

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. It also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, the company offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provide related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio.