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Progressive Corp (PGR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$245.65
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/15/2025: PGR (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $283.89

1 Year Target Price $283.89

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$283.89 Target price
52w Low $228.37
Current$245.65
52w High $292.77

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 56.05%
Avg. Invested days 54
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 145.59B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 13.99
1Y Target Price 283.89
Price to earnings Ratio 13.99
1Y Target Price 283.89
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 0.33
52 Weeks Range 228.37 - 292.77
Updated Date 09/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 228.37 - 292.77
Updated Date 09/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.97%
Basic EPS (TTM) 17.56

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 12.66%
Operating Margin (TTM) 18.42%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.86%
Return on Equity (TTM) 37.29%

Valuation

Trailing PE 13.99
Forward PE 15.72
Enterprise Value 152361392000
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.77
Enterprise Value 152361392000
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.77
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.85
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.85
Shares Outstanding 586400000
Shares Floating 583951584
Shares Outstanding 586400000
Shares Floating 583951584
Percent Insiders 0.26
Percent Institutions 88.03

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Progressive Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 by Joseph M. Lewis and Jack Green as Progressive Mutual Insurance Company. Initially focusing on providing affordable auto insurance, it has grown to become one of the largest auto insurers in the United States, known for its innovative pricing and claims handling.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Personal Auto: Provides auto insurance to individuals through independent agents and direct channels.
  • Commercial Auto: Offers insurance solutions for businesses operating commercial vehicles.
  • Property: Provides homeowners, condo, renters, and umbrella insurance.
  • Other: Includes other insurance-related services

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Tricia Griffith serves as the CEO. The company has a hierarchical organizational structure with various departments overseeing different aspects of the insurance business.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Personal Auto Insurance: Progressive's core product, providing coverage for personal vehicles. It holds a significant market share, estimated to be around 13.5% in 2023. Competitors include GEICO (BRK.A), State Farm (Private), and Allstate (ALL).
  • Commercial Auto Insurance: Insurance coverage for businesses with commercial vehicles. Progressive is a leading provider in this segment. Competitors include Travelers (TRV), Liberty Mutual (Private), and Zurich (ZURN.SW).
  • Home Insurance: Offerings for property insurance, bundling with auto to gain a wider customer base. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate (ALL).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The auto insurance industry is highly competitive and heavily regulated. It is influenced by factors such as vehicle safety, driving habits, and economic conditions. The property insurance industry faces risks associated with catastrophic weather events.

Positioning

Progressive is known for its use of technology and data analytics to personalize insurance pricing and improve claims processing. It has a strong brand recognition and a large customer base.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for auto insurance in the US is estimated to be around $300 billion. Progressive Corp is positioned to capture further market share through its competitive pricing and innovative offerings.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Innovative technology and data analytics
  • Competitive pricing
  • Efficient claims processing
  • Direct sales channel

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on auto insurance market
  • Exposure to catastrophic events in property insurance
  • Customer service reputation (can be inconsistent)
  • Sensitivity to macroeconomic factors

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of new insurance products and services
  • Leveraging technology to improve customer experience
  • Partnerships and acquisitions to expand market reach
  • Increase in number of insured drivers.

Threats

  • Increased competition from other insurers
  • Changes in regulatory environment
  • Economic downturns
  • Rising claims costs
  • Autonomous vehicle adoption impacting insurance needs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BRK.A
  • ALL
  • GWO.TO
  • PGR

Competitive Landscape

Progressive has advantages in direct sales and data analytics, but faces strong competition from established players with wider product offerings.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Progressive has experienced consistent growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade.

Future Projections: Analysts expect Progressive to continue its growth trajectory, driven by its competitive advantages and strategic initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology, expansion of product offerings, and strategic partnerships.

Summary

Progressive is a financially stable company with strong brand recognition and a focus on innovation. Its competitive pricing and efficient claims processing provide a significant advantage. However, it faces competition from other major insurers and needs to diversify its product offerings to reduce reliance on auto insurance. Future success depends on adapting to changing market conditions and leveraging technology to enhance customer experience.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst estimates

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary based on source and methodology.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Progressive Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Mayfield, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 1986-07-09
President, CEO & Director Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Full time employees 66308
Full time employees 66308

The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. It also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, the company offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provide related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio.