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Progressive Corp (PGR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: PGR (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $282.63
1 Year Target Price $282.63
5 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 56.05% | Avg. Invested days 54 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 144.88B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.93 | 1Y Target Price 282.63 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.93 | 1Y Target Price 282.63 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 0.33 | 52 Weeks Range 228.37 - 292.77 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 228.37 - 292.77 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.99% | Basic EPS (TTM) 17.74 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.66% | Operating Margin (TTM) 18.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) 37.29% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.93 | Forward PE 15.11 | Enterprise Value 151088904000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.76 |
Enterprise Value 151088904000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.76 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.85 | Shares Outstanding 586400000 | Shares Floating 583916412 |
Shares Outstanding 586400000 | Shares Floating 583916412 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 88.01 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Progressive Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Progressive Corp was founded in 1937 by Joseph M. Lewis and Jack Green as Progressive Mutual Insurance Company. Initially focusing on providing affordable auto insurance, it pioneered the use of risk-based pricing. It went public in 1971. Progressive has grown through innovation and acquisitions, becoming one of the largest auto insurers in the U.S.
Core Business Areas
- Personal Lines: Provides auto insurance and other related products to individuals and families, including private passenger vehicles, motorcycles, RVs, and boats.
- Commercial Auto: Offers insurance for commercial vehicles, including trucks, vans, and other business-related vehicles.
- Property: Provides property insurance policies.
- Other: Includes special lines of business and other insurance related products.
Leadership and Structure
Tricia Griffith is the current CEO. The company operates with a hierarchical organizational structure, with various departments overseeing different aspects of the business. The board of directors provides overall governance and strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Auto Insurance: Progressive's primary product is auto insurance, covering liability, collision, and comprehensive damages. They hold a significant market share, around 14% nationally, competing with State Farm, GEICO, and Allstate. The industry has a large total revenue, with the top 3 companies grossing over $100 Billion dollars annually.
- Home Insurance: Progressive offers home insurance, often bundled with auto insurance. Competitors include State Farm and Allstate. Progressive relies on third-party partners for most of its property insurance offerings.
- Commercial Auto Insurance: Provides coverage for businesses that utilize commercial vehicles. Market share data is approximately 10%. Competitors include Liberty Mutual and Travelers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is highly competitive and heavily regulated. Growth is driven by factors such as population growth, vehicle sales, and increasing insurance coverage requirements. Digital transformation and data analytics are becoming increasingly important.
Positioning
Progressive positions itself as a technology-driven insurance company, leveraging data analytics and innovation to improve pricing and customer service. Their direct-to-consumer model and focus on online sales provide a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US Property and Casualty Insurance market is estimated to be over $800 billion. Progressive's market share of around 14% positions it well to capture additional market share in this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Advanced data analytics capabilities
- Competitive pricing
- Direct-to-consumer model
- Innovative products and services
Weaknesses
- Reliance on auto insurance market
- Exposure to catastrophic events
- Customer service perceptions (mixed reviews)
- Pricing accuracy highly dependent on data models
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new insurance products (e.g., usage-based insurance)
- Strategic acquisitions
- Partnerships with technology companies
- Increased demand for online insurance solutions
Threats
- Increased competition
- Regulatory changes
- Economic downturns
- Technological disruptions (e.g., autonomous vehicles)
- Increased frequency and severity of natural disasters
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- State Farm (N/A - Private)
- GEICO (BRK.A)
- Allstate (ALL)
Competitive Landscape
Progressive has a competitive advantage in data analytics and pricing. However, State Farm and GEICO have larger market shares and brand recognition.
Major Acquisitions
ARX Holding Corp
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 875
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Progressive's independent agency channel and broadened product offerings in the property insurance market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Progressive has experienced consistent growth over the past decade, driven by its strong brand, competitive pricing, and data analytics capabilities.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Progressive, driven by expansion into new markets and the development of new insurance products. However, growth rates depend on market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology, expansion of product offerings, and strategic acquisitions.
Summary
Progressive is a well-established and competitive player in the insurance industry, known for its data analytics and direct-to-consumer approach. Its financial performance reflects consistent growth, yet it faces challenges from larger competitors and the evolving market landscape. Diversification and innovative technologies are key to future success, while regulatory changes and economic conditions remain potential hurdles. The company holds a strong market position due to competitive pricing, which is both a strength and a factor that needs continuous monitoring.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Market Share Data from Third-Party Research Firms
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change. Consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Progressive Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Mayfield, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1986-07-09 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty | Full time employees 66308 | Website https://www.progressive.com |
Full time employees 66308 | Website https://www.progressive.com |
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. The company writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters. It also writes auto-related liability and physical damage insurance for comprising dump trucks, log trucks, garbage trucks, tractors, trailers, straight trucks, tow trucks and wreckers, vans, pick-up trucks, and autos; business-related general liability and commercial property insurance for small businesses; and workers' compensation insurance for the transportation industry. In addition, the company offers other specialty property-casualty insurance and provide related services; personal property reinsurance products; and involved in investment activities. It sells its products through independent insurance agencies, as well as online and over the phone. The Progressive Corporation was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio.

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