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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: PGY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $40.8
1 Year Target Price $40.8
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -49.31% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.00B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 5.87 | 52 Weeks Range 8.27 - 44.99 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.27 - 44.99 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.76 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-10 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.66 | Actual 1.02 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -15.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) -36.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.69 | Enterprise Value 2499137290 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.6 |
Enterprise Value 2499137290 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.6 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.06 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.51 | Shares Outstanding 69107363 | Shares Floating 60754408 |
Shares Outstanding 69107363 | Shares Floating 60754408 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.4 | Percent Institutions 62.74 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

Company Overview
History and Background
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was founded in 2016 by Avihai Zilberberg, Gal Krubiner, and Ofir Shiloah. The company operates as a financial technology (fintech) company that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to help lenders make better decisions. Pagaya's core offering is its AI-powered platform that enables financial institutions to originate and service loans more efficiently and at a lower cost. A significant milestone was its business combination with Dominus Capital (NASDAQ: DNMR) which led to its public listing on the Nasdaq Stock Market in 2022.
Core Business Areas
- AI-Powered Lending Platform: Pagaya provides a proprietary AI-driven platform that partners with financial institutions to originate and service a range of consumer and small business loans. This platform leverages machine learning models to assess credit risk, optimize underwriting, and manage loan portfolios.
- Loan Origination and Servicing: Pagaya's technology facilitates the entire loan lifecycle, from initial application and underwriting to ongoing servicing and collections. Their AI helps identify potential borrowers who might be underserved by traditional credit scoring methods.
- Data Analytics and Insights: The company utilizes vast amounts of data to refine its AI models, providing lenders with deeper insights into consumer credit behavior and market trends.
Leadership and Structure
Pagaya is led by its co-founders, including Gal Krubiner as CEO. The company is structured as a technology platform provider, working in partnership with a network of financial institutions. Its corporate headquarters are in New York, with operations and R&D centers in Israel.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pagaya Lending Network: Pagaya's core product is its AI-powered lending network that enables partner lenders to offer loans across various categories, including unsecured personal loans, auto loans, and point-of-sale financing. The platform's success is measured by the volume of loans originated and serviced through its network. Specific revenue figures tied to individual product offerings are not publicly disclosed, but the overall growth of the network is a key indicator. Competitors in the broader fintech lending space include companies like Upstart (UPST), LendingClub (LC), and Affirm (AFRM), though Pagaya differentiates itself through its asset-light, technology-centric partnership model.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Pagaya operates within the rapidly evolving fintech sector, specifically focusing on AI-driven credit solutions. The industry is characterized by increasing demand for digital lending, a growing focus on data-driven decision-making, and a need for financial institutions to enhance efficiency and reduce risk in their lending operations. The personal loan and auto loan markets are substantial and continue to see innovation in how credit is accessed.
Positioning
Pagaya positions itself as a technology partner that empowers traditional financial institutions to leverage advanced AI for better lending outcomes. Its competitive advantage lies in its sophisticated AI and machine learning capabilities, its ability to integrate seamlessly with partner systems, and its focus on expanding access to credit for a broader range of consumers. By acting as a technology layer rather than a direct lender, it mitigates some of the regulatory and capital risks associated with traditional lending.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for Pagaya's services is significant, encompassing the global consumer and small business lending market, which is valued in the trillions of dollars. Pagaya is positioned to capture a growing share of this market by providing its AI-powered technology solutions to numerous financial partners, enabling them to originate and service more loans efficiently and effectively.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary AI and machine learning technology
- Strong network of financial institution partners
- Scalable, asset-light business model
- Focus on underserved credit segments
- Experienced leadership team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on partner institutions for loan origination
- Brand recognition may be lower than established lenders
- Susceptibility to economic downturns affecting loan performance
- Need for continuous model validation and improvement
Opportunities
- Expansion into new loan product categories (e.g., mortgages)
- International market expansion
- Acquisition of complementary technologies or businesses
- Increased adoption of AI in financial services
- Partnerships with credit unions and community banks
Threats
- Increased competition from other fintech lenders and incumbent institutions
- Changes in regulatory landscape for fintech and lending
- Economic recessions leading to higher default rates
- Data privacy and security breaches
- Talent acquisition and retention in a competitive tech market
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST)
- LendingClub Corporation (LC)
- Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)
Competitive Landscape
Pagaya competes in a dynamic fintech landscape. Its key advantage lies in its AI-centric, partnership-driven model, which allows financial institutions to enhance their lending capabilities without significant in-house technological overhauls. However, competitors like Upstart also heavily leverage AI and have established strong brand recognition. LendingClub operates a marketplace model, and Affirm focuses on buy-now-pay-later, indicating diverse competitive approaches within the broader credit market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Pagaya has experienced rapid growth in loan origination volume and revenue since its inception. This has been fueled by its successful expansion of its partner network and its AI-driven platform's effectiveness in improving lending outcomes for its partners.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by further penetration into existing loan markets, expansion into new product verticals, and an increase in the number of financial institution partners. Analyst estimates often reflect optimism about the company's ability to scale its AI technology across a larger financial ecosystem.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include continued development and enhancement of its AI models, strategic partnerships to broaden its reach, and potentially exploring new asset classes or geographic markets. The company continuously focuses on optimizing its technology to offer more value to its lending partners.
Summary
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a promising fintech company leveraging AI to transform lending. Its core strengths lie in its advanced technology and strong partner network, enabling scalable growth. The company benefits from a significant addressable market and a clear strategy for expansion. However, it faces intense competition and the inherent risks of economic downturns impacting loan performance. Continued innovation and effective risk management are crucial for its sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is an analytical overview based on publicly available information. It is not financial advice. Market share percentages are estimates and subject to change. Historical data does not guarantee future performance. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-06-23 | CEO, Co-Founder & Director Mr. Gal Krubiner | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 531 | Website https://pagaya.com |
Full time employees 531 | Website https://pagaya.com | ||
Pagaya Technologies Ltd., a product-focused technology company, deploys data science and proprietary artificial intelligence-powered technology for financial services and other service providers, their customers, and asset investors in the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The company develops and implements proprietary artificial intelligence technology and related software solutions to assist partners to originate loans and other assets. Its partners include financial technology companies, incumbent banks and financial institutions, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service providers. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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