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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: PGY (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $23.12
1 Year Target Price $23.12
7 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
1 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -50.99% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 23.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 23.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 5.96 | 52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 22.10 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 22.10 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.23 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -34.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.44% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.02% | Return on Equity (TTM) -62.58% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 9.62 | Enterprise Value 2091664391 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.5 |
Enterprise Value 2091664391 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.5 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.97 | Shares Outstanding 63055300 | Shares Floating 45708459 |
Shares Outstanding 63055300 | Shares Floating 45708459 | ||
Percent Insiders 14.91 | Percent Institutions 58.89 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 23.12 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 7 |
Buy 2 | Strong Buy 7 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
Company Overview
History and Background
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was founded in 2016. It is a global technology company that uses artificial intelligence to reshape asset management and financial services. Its initial focus was on expanding access to credit for more people.
Core Business Areas
- Network Partners: Pagaya partners with banks, credit unions, fintechs and other lenders to provide them with access to its AI-driven credit decisioning technology.
- Consumer Credit: Pagaya's technology helps its partners to originate more loans to more customers, including those who may have been previously declined.
- Auto Loan: Pagaya offers technology that enables auto loan originations, expanding its reach within the consumer finance sector.
- Credit Card: Pagaya offers technology that helps banks and credit card issuers to originate more credit cards to more consumers.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Gal Krubiner (Co-Founder & CEO), Avital Pardo (Co-Founder & CTO), and Yahav Yulzari (Co-Founder).
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- AI-Powered Credit Decisioning Platform: This is Pagaya's core offering. It uses machine learning algorithms to assess credit risk and approve loans. Market share data for this specific type of platform is not readily available. Competitors include Upstart, Zest AI, and numerous in-house developed solutions at large lenders. Revenue from this product is significant and growing, contributing the bulk of Pagaya's revenue.
- Bond Trading Technology: Pagaya uses AI to find bonds with strong risk/return. Market share data for this specific type of platform is not readily available. Competitors include Tradeweb Markets and Bloomberg.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fintech lending industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for online lending solutions and advancements in AI and machine learning. Increased regulation in the fintech industry is also happening.
Positioning
Pagaya positions itself as a technology provider enabling banks and lenders to originate more loans by leveraging AI. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary AI algorithms and its ability to access a wider range of borrowers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for AI-powered lending platforms is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Pagaya is positioned to capture a portion of this market by partnering with established lenders and expanding its product offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary AI technology
- Strong partnerships with banks and lenders
- Scalable business model
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on partnerships for loan origination
- Relatively short operating history
- Limited brand recognition compared to established lenders
Opportunities
- Expansion into new lending verticals (e.g., mortgages, small business loans)
- Increased adoption of AI in lending
- International expansion
- Further refinement of AI credit model
Threats
- Increased competition from other fintech companies and traditional lenders
- Changes in regulations affecting the lending industry
- Economic downturn impacting loan performance
- Data breaches or security vulnerabilities
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UPST
- LC
- SOFI
Competitive Landscape
Pagaya's AI-powered technology and partnership model differentiate it from traditional lenders and some fintech competitors. Its reliance on partnerships also creates a different risk profile.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Pagaya has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by increasing demand for its AI-powered lending platform.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth for Pagaya, although projections vary widely. Refer to analyst reports for specific forecasts.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its partner network, developing new lending products, and investing in AI research and development.
Summary
Pagaya is a growing fintech company leveraging AI for credit decisioning. Its strong technology and partnerships are working well, but it needs to manage competition and economic risks. Its ability to scale its AI model is vital for long-term success. Regulation is becoming more important and it also needs to look out for data breaches or security vulnerabilities. Overall, the company has innovative tech, but must control risks to succeed.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary depending on the source.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-06-23 | CEO, Co-Founder & Director Mr. Gal Krubiner | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 527 | Website https://pagaya.com |
Full time employees 527 | Website https://pagaya.com |
Pagaya Technologies Ltd., a product-focused technology company, deploys data science and proprietary artificial intelligence-powered technology for financial services and other service providers, their customers, and asset investors in the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The company develops and implements proprietary artificial intelligence technology and related software solutions to assist partners to originate loans and other assets. Its partners include financial technology companies, incumbent banks and financial institutions, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service providers. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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