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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: PGY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $40.5
1 Year Target Price $40.5
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -49.31% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 5.89 | 52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 44.99 | Updated Date 11/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 44.99 | Updated Date 11/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.96 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -24.36% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.3% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) -50.7% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.55 | Enterprise Value 2939432795 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.79 |
Enterprise Value 2939432795 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.79 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.61 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.22 | Shares Outstanding 65319849 | Shares Floating 50962223 |
Shares Outstanding 65319849 | Shares Floating 50962223 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.85 | Percent Institutions 66.66 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

Company Overview
History and Background
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was founded in 2016. It leverages artificial intelligence to reshape asset management by offering advanced technology to address the challenges of the financial ecosystem. Pagaya went public via SPAC merger in 2022.
Core Business Areas
- AI Network: Pagaya's AI network connects to a diverse range of financial products, enabling lenders to expand access to more customers while managing risk effectively.
- Asset Management: Pagaya offers asset management services, utilizing its AI to improve investment performance and risk mitigation.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is composed of seasoned professionals with expertise in technology, finance, and data science. The company is structured around its core business areas, fostering collaboration between technology and finance teams.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- AI Credit Risk Assessment: Pagaya's core product is its AI-powered credit risk assessment platform. This platform analyzes vast datasets to provide lenders with more accurate risk assessments, enabling them to approve more loans while minimizing default rates. Market share data is difficult to obtain precisely but Pagaya is positioned as a significant player in the fintech lending space. Competitors include Upstart, Affirm, and Blend.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fintech lending industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for personalized and accessible financial services. AI and machine learning are playing a central role in transforming lending processes, enabling more efficient risk assessment and improved customer experiences.
Positioning
Pagaya is positioned as a technology innovator in the fintech lending space. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary AI technology, which allows lenders to make more informed lending decisions. Its focus on AI-driven risk assessment differentiates it from traditional lenders and some other fintech companies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fintech market is estimated to reach trillions of dollars. Pagaya is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market by providing its AI-powered solutions to lenders worldwide.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary AI Technology
- Strong Partnerships with Lenders
- Scalable Business Model
- Experienced Leadership Team
Weaknesses
- Relatively Short Operating History as Public Company
- Dependence on AI Technology's Accuracy
- High marketing and sales expense
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Lending Markets
- Development of New AI-Powered Solutions
- Increased Adoption of Fintech Lending
- Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships
Threats
- Increased Competition in Fintech Lending
- Regulatory Changes in the Financial Industry
- Economic Downturn and Increased Loan Defaults
- Data Security and Privacy Concerns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UPST
- SOFI
- LC
Competitive Landscape
Pagaya's AI driven approach offers a potentially significant advantage, but it is still unproven against competitors with longer histories, although Pagaya is gaining market share.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been strong, driven by increasing adoption of AI-powered lending solutions.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be robust, but depends on market adoption and technological advancements. Analyst estimates vary, but generally project continued revenue growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding partnerships with lenders and investing in the development of new AI-powered solutions.
Summary
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a fintech company leveraging AI to improve lending decisions. It has shown rapid growth in revenue, but needs to become profitable. The company is in a competitive industry, so they will need to continue to innovate in order to retain market share. The success of Pagaya is dependent on the effectiveness and adoption of its AI platform, as well as economic conditions.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Earnings Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Industry Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-06-23 | CEO, Co-Founder & Director Mr. Gal Krubiner | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 524 | Website https://pagaya.com |
Full time employees 524 | Website https://pagaya.com | ||
Pagaya Technologies Ltd., a product-focused technology company, deploys data science and proprietary artificial intelligence-powered technology for financial services and other service providers, their customers, and asset investors in the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The company develops and implements proprietary artificial intelligence technology and related software solutions to assist partners to originate loans and other assets. Its partners include financial technology companies, incumbent banks and financial institutions, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service providers. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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