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PGY logo PGY
Upturn stock rating
PGY logo

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)

Upturn stock rating
$26.89
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/31/2025: PGY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

10 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $40.5

1 Year Target Price $40.5

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$40.5 Target price
52w Low $8.2
Current$26.89
52w High $44.99

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -49.31%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/31/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.06B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 40.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 40.5
Volume (30-day avg) 10
Beta 5.89
52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 44.99
Updated Date 11/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.20 - 44.99
Updated Date 11/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.96

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -24.36%
Operating Margin (TTM) 17.3%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.12%
Return on Equity (TTM) -50.7%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 10.55
Enterprise Value 2939432795
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.79
Enterprise Value 2939432795
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.22
Shares Outstanding 65319849
Shares Floating 50962223
Shares Outstanding 65319849
Shares Floating 50962223
Percent Insiders 12.85
Percent Institutions 66.66

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was founded in 2016. It leverages artificial intelligence to reshape asset management by offering advanced technology to address the challenges of the financial ecosystem. Pagaya went public via SPAC merger in 2022.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • AI Network: Pagaya's AI network connects to a diverse range of financial products, enabling lenders to expand access to more customers while managing risk effectively.
  • Asset Management: Pagaya offers asset management services, utilizing its AI to improve investment performance and risk mitigation.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team is composed of seasoned professionals with expertise in technology, finance, and data science. The company is structured around its core business areas, fostering collaboration between technology and finance teams.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • AI Credit Risk Assessment: Pagaya's core product is its AI-powered credit risk assessment platform. This platform analyzes vast datasets to provide lenders with more accurate risk assessments, enabling them to approve more loans while minimizing default rates. Market share data is difficult to obtain precisely but Pagaya is positioned as a significant player in the fintech lending space. Competitors include Upstart, Affirm, and Blend.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The fintech lending industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing demand for personalized and accessible financial services. AI and machine learning are playing a central role in transforming lending processes, enabling more efficient risk assessment and improved customer experiences.

Positioning

Pagaya is positioned as a technology innovator in the fintech lending space. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary AI technology, which allows lenders to make more informed lending decisions. Its focus on AI-driven risk assessment differentiates it from traditional lenders and some other fintech companies.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global fintech market is estimated to reach trillions of dollars. Pagaya is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market by providing its AI-powered solutions to lenders worldwide.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary AI Technology
  • Strong Partnerships with Lenders
  • Scalable Business Model
  • Experienced Leadership Team

Weaknesses

  • Relatively Short Operating History as Public Company
  • Dependence on AI Technology's Accuracy
  • High marketing and sales expense

Opportunities

  • Expansion into New Lending Markets
  • Development of New AI-Powered Solutions
  • Increased Adoption of Fintech Lending
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships

Threats

  • Increased Competition in Fintech Lending
  • Regulatory Changes in the Financial Industry
  • Economic Downturn and Increased Loan Defaults
  • Data Security and Privacy Concerns

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • UPST
  • SOFI
  • LC

Competitive Landscape

Pagaya's AI driven approach offers a potentially significant advantage, but it is still unproven against competitors with longer histories, although Pagaya is gaining market share.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been strong, driven by increasing adoption of AI-powered lending solutions.

Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be robust, but depends on market adoption and technological advancements. Analyst estimates vary, but generally project continued revenue growth.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding partnerships with lenders and investing in the development of new AI-powered solutions.

Summary

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a fintech company leveraging AI to improve lending decisions. It has shown rapid growth in revenue, but needs to become profitable. The company is in a competitive industry, so they will need to continue to innovate in order to retain market share. The success of Pagaya is dependent on the effectiveness and adoption of its AI platform, as well as economic conditions.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Earnings Reports
  • Analyst Estimates
  • Industry Reports

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2022-06-23
CEO, Co-Founder & Director Mr. Gal Krubiner
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Full time employees 524
Full time employees 524

Pagaya Technologies Ltd., a product-focused technology company, deploys data science and proprietary artificial intelligence-powered technology for financial services and other service providers, their customers, and asset investors in the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The company develops and implements proprietary artificial intelligence technology and related software solutions to assist partners to originate loans and other assets. Its partners include financial technology companies, incumbent banks and financial institutions, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service providers. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, New York.