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Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: PGY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $40.5
1 Year Target Price $40.5
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -49.31% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.95B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 40.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 5.88 | 52 Weeks Range 8.27 - 44.99 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 8.27 - 44.99 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.76 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -15.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) -36.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.6 | Enterprise Value 2535315463 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57 |
Enterprise Value 2535315463 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.04 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.41 | Shares Outstanding 69107363 | Shares Floating 60612107 |
Shares Outstanding 69107363 | Shares Floating 60612107 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.47 | Percent Institutions 62.79 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

Company Overview
History and Background
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. was founded in 2016 by Gal Krubiner, Avihai Zilberberg, and Toby Ruckert. It is a financial technology company that uses artificial intelligence to power a network of partners and offer a variety of financial services. Pagaya's mission is to make financial services more accessible and affordable through its AI-driven platform. The company has experienced rapid growth and has established partnerships with numerous financial institutions.
Core Business Areas
- AI-Powered Lending Network: Pagaya operates a network that connects consumers with lenders, utilizing its proprietary AI and machine learning technology to assess creditworthiness and automate loan origination. This segment focuses on personal loans, auto loans, and point-of-sale financing.
- Embedded Finance Solutions: Pagaya provides embedded finance solutions for businesses, allowing them to offer financing options directly at the point of sale or service. This includes offering consumer credit and payment solutions within a partner's platform.
- Data and Analytics: The company leverages its vast dataset and AI capabilities to provide insights and analytics to its partners, helping them to improve their lending strategies and risk management.
Leadership and Structure
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a publicly traded company with a management team comprised of experienced professionals in finance, technology, and data science. Key leadership roles include CEO, CTO, and heads of various business units. The company's structure is organized around its core technology platform and its partner network.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Personal Loans: Pagaya's AI platform facilitates the origination of personal loans for consumers. It partners with lenders to underwrite and service these loans. Competitors include Upstart (UPST), LendingClub (LC), and traditional banks and credit unions offering personal loan products. Market share data for this specific product within Pagaya's offering is not publicly disclosed, but the personal loan market is vast.
- Auto Loans: Pagaya offers AI-driven solutions for auto loan origination, connecting consumers with financing options for vehicle purchases. Competitors include established auto lenders, captive finance arms of car manufacturers, and other fintech lenders. Specific market share for Pagaya in this segment is not readily available.
- Point-of-Sale (POS) Financing: Pagaya enables businesses to offer instant financing to their customers at the point of purchase. This is often integrated into e-commerce platforms or physical retail checkouts. Competitors include Affirm (AFRM), Klarna, and Afterpay (now part of Block, Inc.).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Pagaya operates within the rapidly evolving fintech industry, specifically in the areas of AI-driven lending, embedded finance, and credit risk assessment. The industry is characterized by a growing demand for faster, more accessible, and personalized financial services. Key trends include the adoption of AI and machine learning, the rise of 'buy now, pay later' (BNPL) services, and the increasing integration of financial services into non-financial platforms.
Positioning
Pagaya positions itself as a leading AI-powered network for financial services. Its competitive advantage lies in its proprietary AI technology, which allows for more accurate credit assessment, efficient loan origination, and the ability to serve a broader range of consumers and businesses. The company's partner-centric model allows for scalability without bearing all the credit risk directly.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for consumer credit and embedded finance is in the trillions of dollars globally. Pagaya is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market by providing its technology and network to financial institutions and businesses, thereby enabling them to extend credit more effectively and to a wider customer base. Their TAM is essentially the portion of lending and financial services that can be enhanced by AI and embedded solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary AI and Machine Learning Technology
- Extensive Network of Financial Partners
- Scalable Business Model
- Diversified Product Offerings (Personal Loans, Auto Loans, POS)
- Experienced Leadership Team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Partner Performance
- Credit Risk Exposure (though mitigated by partners)
- Brand Recognition Compared to Traditional Institutions
- Regulatory Landscape in Fintech
- Profitability dependent on loan performance and volumes
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Loan Categories (e.g., small business loans)
- International Market Expansion
- Further Development and Application of AI Capabilities
- Increased Adoption of Embedded Finance by Businesses
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions
Threats
- Increased Competition from Fintech and Traditional Lenders
- Economic Downturns Affecting Loan Defaults
- Changes in Regulatory Environment
- Data Security and Privacy Concerns
- Interest Rate Volatility
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST)
- LendingClub Corporation (LC)
- Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)
Competitive Landscape
Pagaya's advantage lies in its advanced AI and its network model, which allows it to scale rapidly by partnering with existing financial institutions rather than building its own balance sheet. Competitors like Upstart also leverage AI for lending, while Affirm and Klarna are leaders in the BNPL space. Pagaya's ability to offer a broader suite of AI-driven lending solutions, including auto and potentially other forms, differentiates it. However, it faces intense competition from both established players and other agile fintech innovators.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Pagaya has exhibited a strong historical growth trajectory, marked by significant increases in loan origination volume and partner acquisitions. This growth has been fueled by its ability to leverage AI for more efficient and effective lending.
Future Projections: Future projections for Pagaya are generally positive, driven by the continued demand for AI-powered financial solutions and the expansion of embedded finance. Analysts typically project continued revenue growth, with a focus on achieving profitability as the company scales and its technology matures.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on expanding its partner network, enhancing its AI capabilities, and potentially exploring new product verticals or geographic markets. Strategic partnerships and the development of new embedded finance solutions are key areas of ongoing focus.
Summary
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a strong contender in the AI-driven fintech space, leveraging its proprietary technology to power a vast network of financial partners. Its scalable model and diversified offerings are key strengths, driving significant revenue growth. However, it faces challenges from intense competition and the inherent risks of the lending market. Continued investment in its AI and expansion of its partner network are crucial for its sustained success, while careful management of credit risk and regulatory compliance remains paramount.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Financial news outlets
- Industry analysis reports
- Market data providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered investment advice. Financial data and market share are estimates and subject to change. Users should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-06-23 | CEO, Co-Founder & Director Mr. Gal Krubiner | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 531 | Website https://pagaya.com |
Full time employees 531 | Website https://pagaya.com | ||
Pagaya Technologies Ltd., a product-focused technology company, deploys data science and proprietary artificial intelligence-powered technology for financial services and other service providers, their customers, and asset investors in the United States, Israel, and the Cayman Islands. The company develops and implements proprietary artificial intelligence technology and related software solutions to assist partners to originate loans and other assets. Its partners include financial technology companies, incumbent banks and financial institutions, auto finance providers, and residential real estate service providers. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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