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PROG Holdings Inc (PRG)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: PRG (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $38.57
1 Year Target Price $38.57
4 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -30.45% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.42B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.1 | 1Y Target Price 38.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.1 | 1Y Target Price 38.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 1.74 | 52 Weeks Range 23.31 - 49.50 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 23.31 - 49.50 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.41% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.05 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.53% | Operating Margin (TTM) 17.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 17.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.1 | Forward PE 51.28 | Enterprise Value 1798604000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 |
Enterprise Value 1798604000 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 0.95 | Shares Outstanding 39543800 | Shares Floating 38377605 |
Shares Outstanding 39543800 | Shares Floating 38377605 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.91 | Percent Institutions 100.85 |
Upturn AI SWOT
PROG Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
PROG Holdings, Inc. (formerly Aaron's, Inc.) was founded in 1955 by R. Charles Loudermilk Sr. It evolved from a traditional retail model to a lease-to-own model, focusing on providing durable goods to credit-constrained consumers. Over time, it expanded its product offerings and geographical reach through acquisitions and organic growth, later rebranding to PROG Holdings to reflect its focus on fintech and progressive leasing solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Progressive Leasing: The largest segment, offering virtual lease-to-own (LTO) services through retail partners and directly to consumers. It provides a way for customers to acquire durable goods, electronics, furniture, and other merchandise through a lease agreement with the option to purchase.
- Vive Financial: A fintech company offering second-look financing options to consumers who may not qualify for traditional credit. This segment provides installment loans through a network of merchants.
Leadership and Structure
PROG Holdings is led by CEO Steve Michaels. The organizational structure includes various functional departments such as finance, operations, technology, and marketing, each led by senior executives. The company operates with a board of directors responsible for corporate governance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Progressive Leasing Virtual LTO: Virtual lease-to-own solutions enabling consumers to acquire goods from retailers. Market share data is challenging to pinpoint precisely, but Progressive Leasing is a leading player in the virtual LTO space. Competitors include Katapult and Affirm (though Affirm offers installment loans more frequently). Revenue is primarily derived from lease payments and purchase options. This is the primary source of revenue for PROG holdings.
- Vive Financial Installment Loans: Installment loan products offered through merchants. Market share information is limited and highly fragmented in the second-look finance market. Competitors include OppFi and Enova. Revenue is generated from interest and fees on the loans.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The lease-to-own and second-look finance industries cater to consumers with limited access to traditional credit. The industries are influenced by economic conditions, consumer spending habits, and regulatory changes. The increasing adoption of e-commerce and mobile payment solutions impacts the virtual LTO segment.
Positioning
PROG Holdings is positioned as a leading provider of virtual LTO solutions and second-look financing, differentiating itself through its technology platform, risk management capabilities, and partnerships with major retailers. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, data analytics, and merchant network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for lease-to-own and second-look financing is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually. PROG Holdings is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its established presence and growing partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established market position in virtual LTO
- Extensive retailer network
- Proprietary technology platform and data analytics capabilities
- Strong risk management processes
- Brand recognition
Weaknesses
- Dependence on retail partners
- Exposure to economic downturns
- Regulatory scrutiny of LTO and second-look financing
- High cost of acquiring customers
- Potential for credit losses
Opportunities
- Expansion into new product categories
- Growth in e-commerce and online LTO
- Partnerships with additional retailers
- Geographic expansion
- Development of new financing solutions
Threats
- Increased competition in the LTO and second-look finance markets
- Changes in consumer spending habits
- Economic recession
- Regulatory changes and compliance costs
- Technological disruption
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AFRM
- SNAP
- Synchrony Financial (SYF)
Competitive Landscape
PROG Holdings competes based on its technology platform, retailer network, and risk management capabilities. Advantages include its scale and established market position. Disadvantages include dependence on retail partners and exposure to regulatory scrutiny.
Major Acquisitions
Four Technologies
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 100
- Strategic Rationale: The strategic rational was to provide its retailers with additional financing options and broaden its customer base.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth can be assessed by examining the companyu2019s revenue, net income, and customer base over the past years. See SEC filings for historical growth data.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected based on analyst estimates, industry trends, and the companyu2019s strategic initiatives. Analysts' EPS estimates can be found on financial websites.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include new partnerships with retailers, expansion into new product categories, and investments in technology to enhance the customer experience.
Summary
PROG Holdings is a key player in the virtual lease-to-own market, leveraging its technology and retailer network for growth. While its dependence on retailers and economic volatility pose risks, the company's strategic initiatives, particularly expansion into new product categories, offer potential for increased profitability. Investors should monitor industry competition and regulatory changes, as well as economic cycles for future planning. With a good fundamental AI Rating, there is evidence that PROG Holdings is a strong company.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q), MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, Company Press Releases, Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on thorough research and consultation with a financial professional. Market share data are estimates based on available information and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About PROG Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Draper, UT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1984-09-07 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Steven A. Michaels | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Rental & Leasing Services | Full time employees 1403 | Website https://progholdings.com |
Full time employees 1403 | Website https://progholdings.com |
PROG Holdings, Inc., a financial technology holding company, provides payment options to consumers in the United States. It operates through two segments: Progressive Leasing and Vive. The company owns Progressive Leasing, an in-store, app-based, and e-commerce point-of-sale lease-to-own solutions provider; and Vive Financial, an omnichannel provider of second-look revolving credit products. It also provides buy now pay later payment options through four interest-free installments; and Build, a credit building financial management tool. The company was formerly known as Aaron's Holdings Company, Inc. and changed its name to PROG Holdings, Inc. in December 2020. PROG Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1955 and is based in Draper, Utah.

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