Protagonist Therapeutics Inc logo

Protagonist Therapeutics Inc(PTGX)

Top Performer Top performer
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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$140.24
11/03/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for PTGX

11/03/2026: PTGX (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Protagonist Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing novel peptide-based drugs for hematology and inflammatory conditions. Its primary strength lies in a proprietary technology platform that has already yielded promising clinical results and validated strategic partnerships. The core investment story centers on the potential approval and commercialization of its lead candidate, rusfertide, which addresses significant unmet needs. However, the company faces substantial risks related to clinical trial outcomes, regulatory processes, and intense competition from larger pharmaceutical incumbents. The stock best suits growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are monitoring key clinical milestones and partnership-driven revenue developments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company offers high-growth potential driven by its clinical-stage drug pipeline.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit high volatility and momentum around clinical trial data announcements.
Value investorWeak fitAs a loss-making clinical-stage company, traditional value metrics do not apply.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and prioritizes capital reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe biotechnology sector, particularly clinical-stage firms, involves significant risk and price volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighClinical trial outcomes can cause massive swings in market valuation.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuations are highly sensitive to long-term commercial success projections.
Competition risk (Hematology/Immunology)HighLarger incumbents can dominate market access and pricing.
Business qualityMediumThe company relies on its ability to successfully navigate complex regulatory processes.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo cash flow is generated for distribution to shareholders.
Execution riskHighFailure at any late-stage clinical gate is a material risk to shareholder value.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 241.96%
Avg. Invested days 66
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/03/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
PTGX receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
PTGX has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, weak growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 121.9%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-147.3%), negative revenue growth (-89.4%), weak profitability (net margin -282.8%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
PTGX's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 79.4%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
PTGX's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being free-cash-flow growth at -69.3% FY2025 versus FY2024. By comparison, while revenue growth (-89.4%, negative) and earnings growth (-147.3%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 119.6% and approximately 81.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.71%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 15.93%
Farallon Capital Management, L.L.C. 9.81%
RTW INVESTMENTS, LLC 7.82%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.61%
Wellington Management Company LLP 5.28%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
PTGX generates approximately $973 of gross profit, $-3,436 of operating income, and $1,219 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins and weak cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.65% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
PTGX has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.02B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 135.31
1Y Target Price 178.57
Price to earnings Ratio 135.31
1Y Target Price 178.57
Volume (30-day avg) 734.3K shares
Beta 1.22
52 Weeks Range 75.55 - 160.81
Updated Date 11/03/2026
52 Weeks Range 75.55 - 160.81
Updated Date 11/03/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.03

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Drug Development PartnershipsUpfront payments, milestone payments, and potential royalties from collaborations with major pharmaceutical companies.Revenue is currently episodic and milestone-driven rather than from consistent product sales.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-05
When After Market
Estimate 2.58
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 29.4%
Operating Margin (TTM) 74.37%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.55%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.99%

Valuation

Trailing PE 135.31
Forward PE 36.9
Enterprise Value 8.60B
Price to Sales(TTM) 31.98
Enterprise Value 8.60B
Price to Sales(TTM) 31.98
Enterprise Value to Revenue 30.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 143.67
Shares Outstanding 64.71M
Shares Floating 52.89M
Shares Outstanding 64.71M
Shares Floating 52.89M
Percent Insiders 0.71
Percent Institutions 119.6

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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