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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Papa John\'s International Inc (PZZA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$50.05
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY3.07%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 11 days
  • BUY Advisory
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/11/2025: PZZA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

14 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $52.1

1 Year Target Price $52.1

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$52.1 Target price
52w Low $29.53
Current$50.05
52w High $58.19

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -6.44%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/11/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.65B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.11
1Y Target Price 52.1
Price to earnings Ratio 22.11
1Y Target Price 52.1
Volume (30-day avg) 14
Beta 1.14
52 Weeks Range 29.53 - 58.19
Updated Date 09/12/2025
52 Weeks Range 29.53 - 58.19
Updated Date 09/12/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.68%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.28

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 3.61%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.67%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 12.36%
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.11
Forward PE 21.01
Enterprise Value 2573056786
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value 2573056786
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.23
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.99
Shares Outstanding 32757900
Shares Floating 32432328
Shares Outstanding 32757900
Shares Floating 32432328
Percent Insiders 1.22
Percent Institutions 112.36

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Papa John's International Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Founded in 1984 by John Schnatter, Papa John's grew from a broom closet in Jeffersonville, Indiana. It quickly franchised and expanded nationwide, becoming a major player in the pizza delivery industry.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Franchising: Papa John's primarily franchises its restaurants to independent operators, generating revenue through royalties and franchise fees.
  • Company-Owned Restaurants: Papa John's also operates a number of company-owned restaurants, contributing directly to sales revenue.
  • Supply Chain: The company operates a supply chain network that provides ingredients and supplies to its restaurants.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Rob Lynch serves as President and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for marketing, operations, finance, and development.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Beverages: Papa John's sells beverages to supplement food orders. Coca-Cola and PepsiCo are competitors.
  • Pizza: Papa John's core product is pizza, offered in various sizes, crusts, and toppings. Domino's, Pizza Hut, and Little Caesars are competitors. Market share varies by region but is generally between 8-10% nationally. Revenue is based on overall sales of pizza. Revenue for this product is a total of $1.7 Billion in 2023.
  • Sides and Desserts: Papa John's also offers sides such as breadsticks, wings, and desserts like cookies and brownies. Domino's, Pizza Hut, and local pizza chains are competitors.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The pizza industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with a mix of national chains, regional players, and independent pizzerias. Trends include online ordering, delivery innovation, and evolving consumer preferences.

Positioning

Papa John's positions itself as a quality pizza provider, emphasizing fresh ingredients and a better pizza experience. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition and a strong franchise network.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global pizza market is estimated to be worth over $140 billion. Papa John's is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its franchise network and brand recognition. The pizza segment is considered 25% of the overall restaurant industry TAM of $1 Trillion.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive franchise network
  • Focus on quality ingredients
  • E-commerce platform and delivery capabilities

Weaknesses

  • Past controversies and brand image issues
  • Dependence on franchise operations
  • Inconsistent quality across locations
  • Higher price point compared to some competitors

Opportunities

  • Expansion into international markets
  • Menu innovation and new product offerings
  • Leveraging technology for improved customer experience
  • Partnerships with third-party delivery services

Threats

  • Intense competition from other pizza chains
  • Rising ingredient and labor costs
  • Changing consumer preferences and health trends
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DPZ
  • YUM
  • FRSH

Competitive Landscape

Papa John's faces intense competition from other major pizza chains, as well as regional and local players. Its advantages include brand recognition and a focus on quality ingredients. Disadvantages include past controversies and a higher price point compared to some competitors.

Major Acquisitions

Perfect Pizza

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0.1
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquired a small chain in a specific region to expand market presence and improve distribution in that region.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Papa John's experienced significant growth in its early years, but growth has slowed in recent years due to increased competition and brand challenges.

Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for Papa John's, driven by international expansion and digital initiatives. EPS growth is expected to be higher due to cost efficiencies.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include menu innovation (e.g., Papa Bowls), digital marketing campaigns, and investments in technology to improve the customer experience.

Summary

Papa John's is a well-established pizza chain facing a competitive landscape. While its brand remains strong, past controversies and inconsistent quality have posed challenges. The company is focusing on innovation and international expansion to drive future growth. Rising costs and changing consumer preferences represent potential headwinds.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic and data may be subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Papa John's International Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States
IPO Launch date 1993-06-08
President, CEO & Director Mr. Todd Allan Penegor
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 11400
Full time employees 11400

Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International. The company also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark internationally. It offers pizza and other food and beverage products. In addition, the company supplies pizza sauce, dough, food products, paper products, smallware, and cleaning supplies to restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.