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Papa John\'s International Inc (PZZA)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/11/2025: PZZA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $52.1
1 Year Target Price $52.1
4 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
9 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -6.44% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 22.11 | 1Y Target Price 52.1 |
Price to earnings Ratio 22.11 | 1Y Target Price 52.1 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 1.14 | 52 Weeks Range 29.53 - 58.19 | Updated Date 09/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 29.53 - 58.19 | Updated Date 09/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.68% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.28 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 22.11 | Forward PE 21.01 | Enterprise Value 2573056786 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79 |
Enterprise Value 2573056786 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.79 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.23 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.99 | Shares Outstanding 32757900 | Shares Floating 32432328 |
Shares Outstanding 32757900 | Shares Floating 32432328 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.22 | Percent Institutions 112.36 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Papa John's International Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1984 by John Schnatter, Papa John's grew from a broom closet in Jeffersonville, Indiana. It quickly franchised and expanded nationwide, becoming a major player in the pizza delivery industry.
Core Business Areas
- Franchising: Papa John's primarily franchises its restaurants to independent operators, generating revenue through royalties and franchise fees.
- Company-Owned Restaurants: Papa John's also operates a number of company-owned restaurants, contributing directly to sales revenue.
- Supply Chain: The company operates a supply chain network that provides ingredients and supplies to its restaurants.
Leadership and Structure
Rob Lynch serves as President and CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for marketing, operations, finance, and development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Beverages: Papa John's sells beverages to supplement food orders. Coca-Cola and PepsiCo are competitors.
- Pizza: Papa John's core product is pizza, offered in various sizes, crusts, and toppings. Domino's, Pizza Hut, and Little Caesars are competitors. Market share varies by region but is generally between 8-10% nationally. Revenue is based on overall sales of pizza. Revenue for this product is a total of $1.7 Billion in 2023.
- Sides and Desserts: Papa John's also offers sides such as breadsticks, wings, and desserts like cookies and brownies. Domino's, Pizza Hut, and local pizza chains are competitors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The pizza industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with a mix of national chains, regional players, and independent pizzerias. Trends include online ordering, delivery innovation, and evolving consumer preferences.
Positioning
Papa John's positions itself as a quality pizza provider, emphasizing fresh ingredients and a better pizza experience. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition and a strong franchise network.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global pizza market is estimated to be worth over $140 billion. Papa John's is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its franchise network and brand recognition. The pizza segment is considered 25% of the overall restaurant industry TAM of $1 Trillion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive franchise network
- Focus on quality ingredients
- E-commerce platform and delivery capabilities
Weaknesses
- Past controversies and brand image issues
- Dependence on franchise operations
- Inconsistent quality across locations
- Higher price point compared to some competitors
Opportunities
- Expansion into international markets
- Menu innovation and new product offerings
- Leveraging technology for improved customer experience
- Partnerships with third-party delivery services
Threats
- Intense competition from other pizza chains
- Rising ingredient and labor costs
- Changing consumer preferences and health trends
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- DPZ
- YUM
- FRSH
Competitive Landscape
Papa John's faces intense competition from other major pizza chains, as well as regional and local players. Its advantages include brand recognition and a focus on quality ingredients. Disadvantages include past controversies and a higher price point compared to some competitors.
Major Acquisitions
Perfect Pizza
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0.1
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired a small chain in a specific region to expand market presence and improve distribution in that region.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Papa John's experienced significant growth in its early years, but growth has slowed in recent years due to increased competition and brand challenges.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for Papa John's, driven by international expansion and digital initiatives. EPS growth is expected to be higher due to cost efficiencies.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include menu innovation (e.g., Papa Bowls), digital marketing campaigns, and investments in technology to improve the customer experience.
Summary
Papa John's is a well-established pizza chain facing a competitive landscape. While its brand remains strong, past controversies and inconsistent quality have posed challenges. The company is focusing on innovation and international expansion to drive future growth. Rising costs and changing consumer preferences represent potential headwinds.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic and data may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Papa John's International Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-06-08 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Todd Allan Penegor | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 11400 | Website https://www.papajohns.com |
Full time employees 11400 | Website https://www.papajohns.com |
Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International. The company also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark internationally. It offers pizza and other food and beverage products. In addition, the company supplies pizza sauce, dough, food products, paper products, smallware, and cleaning supplies to restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

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