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Papa John\'s International Inc (PZZA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/08/2025: PZZA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $47.8
1 Year Target Price $47.8
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 9 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -36.35% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.35B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 36.1 | 1Y Target Price 47.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 36.1 | 1Y Target Price 47.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 1.15 | 52 Weeks Range 29.20 - 55.12 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 29.20 - 55.12 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.47% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.83% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.68% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 36.1 | Forward PE 20.12 | Enterprise Value 2260471468 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 |
Enterprise Value 2260471468 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.06 | Shares Outstanding 32789416 | Shares Floating 32472670 |
Shares Outstanding 32789416 | Shares Floating 32472670 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.23 | Percent Institutions 112.37 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Papa John's International Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Papa John's International, Inc. was founded by John Schnatter in 1984 in Jeffersonville, Indiana. He famously started by selling pizzas out of a broom closet in his father's tavern. The company grew rapidly, becoming a national chain and eventually going public in 1993. Key milestones include rapid expansion in the late 1990s and early 2000s, the introduction of new menu items, and significant investments in technology and delivery systems. In recent years, the company has undergone leadership changes and strategic shifts aimed at revitalizing its brand and operational performance.
Core Business Areas
- Pizza and Food Delivery: Papa John's primary business is the sale and delivery of pizzas and other complementary food items, such as sides, desserts, and beverages, through a network of franchised and company-owned restaurants.
- Franchising Operations: A significant portion of Papa John's revenue comes from franchise fees, royalties, and other charges from its franchisees, who operate restaurants under the Papa John's brand.
Leadership and Structure
Papa John's International, Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a management team. Rob Lynch currently serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer. The company operates through a franchise model, with the majority of its restaurants owned and operated by independent franchisees.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Pizza: Papa John's is best known for its pizzas, which feature a signature garlic-infused crust and a variety of toppings. Competitors include Domino's Pizza, Pizza Hut, and numerous local pizzerias. Specific market share data for individual products is not publicly disclosed.
- Sides and Desserts: The company also offers a range of side dishes (e.g., garlic knots, breadsticks) and desserts (e.g., cookies, brownies). These are complementary to the core pizza offering and compete with similar items from other QSR chains.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, particularly the pizza delivery segment, is highly competitive and mature. Key trends include the increasing demand for delivery and convenience, evolving consumer preferences for healthier options, and the impact of technology on ordering and delivery platforms. The industry is also sensitive to economic conditions and labor costs.
Positioning
Papa John's positions itself as a premium pizza provider, emphasizing quality ingredients and a strong focus on customer experience. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, a well-established supply chain, and a large franchise network. However, it faces intense competition from larger players with more extensive delivery infrastructure and marketing budgets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global pizza market is substantial, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The US market alone represents a significant portion of this. Papa John's, as a major player in the US and international pizza delivery space, aims to capture a meaningful share of this TAM through its franchise and corporate operations. The company's positioning is within the 'pizza delivery' segment of the broader QSR market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and established reputation
- Large and growing international presence
- Commitment to quality ingredients ('Better Ingredients. Better Pizza.')
- Robust franchise system with experienced operators
- Investments in technology for online ordering and delivery
Weaknesses
- Intense competition from larger pizza chains and other QSRs
- Past controversies impacting brand perception
- Reliance on franchisees for operational execution
- Vulnerability to rising food and labor costs
- Need for continuous menu innovation and adaptation
Opportunities
- Expansion into new and emerging markets
- Leveraging technology for enhanced customer engagement and loyalty
- Developing healthier or specialized menu options to cater to diverse consumer needs
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations
- Improving operational efficiency and profitability for franchisees
Threats
- Aggressive pricing and promotional activities by competitors
- Changes in consumer preferences and dietary trends
- Economic downturns affecting discretionary spending
- Increasing regulatory scrutiny on food safety and labor practices
- Disruptions in supply chains or food ingredient availability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Domino's Pizza (DPZ)
- Yum! Brands (YUM) - owns Pizza Hut
- Little Caesars Pizza (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Papa John's faces a highly competitive landscape. Domino's is a dominant player with a strong focus on technology and delivery. Pizza Hut, while having a large legacy presence, has been working to revamp its operations. Little Caesars competes primarily on value. Papa John's advantages lie in its perceived quality ingredients, but it needs to continuously differentiate through product innovation, customer service, and effective marketing to maintain and grow its market share.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Papa John's has experienced periods of significant growth, particularly during its expansion phase. However, recent years have seen efforts to stabilize and re-accelerate growth following periods of operational challenges and leadership changes. Growth is driven by same-store sales, new store openings, and international expansion.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Papa John's future growth typically focus on same-store sales growth, unit expansion, and improvements in profitability. These projections are influenced by market trends, competitive pressures, and the company's strategic initiatives. (Specific projections are subject to change and are based on analyst consensus.)
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have likely focused on brand revitalization, menu innovation, operational improvements for franchisees, and leveraging technology to enhance the customer experience and delivery efficiency.
Summary
Papa John's International Inc. is a well-established pizza chain with a strong brand but faces fierce competition. Its core business in pizza and delivery, supported by a franchise model, remains its backbone. While it has opportunities in market expansion and technology, it must continuously innovate and address competitive pressures to drive sustainable growth. Recent strategic shifts and a focus on franchisee success are positive signs, but consistent execution and overcoming past challenges are crucial for its long-term strength.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Website
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Reputable Financial News Outlets
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and financial projections are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Papa John's International Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Louisville, KY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-06-08 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Todd Allan Penegor | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 11400 | Website https://www.papajohns.com |
Full time employees 11400 | Website https://www.papajohns.com | ||
Papa John's International, Inc. operates and franchises pizza delivery and carryout restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Domestic Company-Owned Restaurants, North America Franchising, North America Commissaries, and International. The company also operates dine-in and delivery restaurants under the Papa Johns trademark internationally. It offers pizza and other food and beverage products. In addition, the company supplies pizza sauce, dough, food products, paper products, smallware, and cleaning supplies to restaurants. Papa John's International, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

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