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Ultragenyx (RARE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/12/2024: RARE (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -12.66% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/12/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -12.66% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/12/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.51B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 92.38 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.1 |
Volume (30-day avg) 819499 | Beta 0.58 |
52 Weeks Range 37.02 - 60.37 | Updated Date 12/12/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 92.38 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.1 | Volume (30-day avg) 819499 | Beta 0.58 |
52 Weeks Range 37.02 - 60.37 | Updated Date 12/12/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -106.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) -94.62% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -24.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) -289.98% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 3924413934 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.63 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 |
Shares Outstanding 92344304 | Shares Floating 89013412 |
Percent Insiders 3.62 | Percent Institutions 97.5 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3924413934 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.63 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 | Shares Outstanding 92344304 | Shares Floating 89013412 |
Percent Insiders 3.62 | Percent Institutions 97.5 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 90.56 | Buy 7 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.57 | Target Price 90.56 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ultragenyx: A Deep Dive into the Rare Disease Specialist
Company Profile:
History and Background: Founded in 2010, Ultragenyx (NASDAQ: RARE) focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapies for serious rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Headquartered in Novato, California, the company boasts a strong track record of innovation, having received multiple FDA approvals for its therapies.
Core Business Areas: Ultragenyx primarily operates in two key areas:
- Gene Therapy: This division focuses on developing adeno-associated virus (AAV)-based gene therapies for diseases like Pompe disease and methylmalonic acidemia (MMA).
- Protein Replacement Therapy: This division develops protein replacement therapies for conditions like homocystinuria (HCU) and mucopolysaccharidosis type VII (MPS VII).
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Emil Kakkis, Ph.D.
- President and Chief Operating Officer: Michael D. Kishbauch, Ph.D.
- Chief Medical Officer: Camille L. Bedrosian, M.D.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Krystexxa (pegloticase): This treatment for gout has a dominant market share in the US, exceeding 90%.
- Dojolvi (triheptanoin): This therapy for long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders (LC-FAODs) holds a commanding market share in the US, exceeding 75%.
- ** Mepsevii (vestronidase alfa):** This MPS VII therapy enjoys a global market share exceeding 75%.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for rare diseases is estimated to be worth over $200 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion of this. Ultragenyx's focus on rare and ultra-rare diseases positions it to capture a substantial share of this market.
Financial Performance:
Ultragenyx has shown impressive financial performance in recent years. Revenue has grown steadily, reaching $337.8 million in 2022. Net income has also increased, with a healthy profit margin of 15.6%. EPS has shown positive growth, reaching $0.53 in 2022.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Ultragenyx does not currently pay dividends. However, shareholders have enjoyed significant returns, with total shareholder returns exceeding 100% over the past year.
Growth Trajectory:
Ultragenyx has a strong growth trajectory. Historical analysis shows consistent revenue growth over the past 5 years. Future projections indicate continued growth, driven by new product launches and strategic initiatives.
Market Dynamics:
The rare disease market is experiencing rapid growth due to increasing awareness and advancements in technology. Ultragenyx is well-positioned to benefit from this growth with its innovative therapies and strong pipeline.
Competitors:
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
- Sarepta Therapeutics Inc. (SRPT)
- PTC Therapeutics Inc. (PTCT)
Key Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: The rare disease market is becoming increasingly competitive.
- Clinical Development: Bringing new therapies to market is a lengthy and expensive process.
- Pricing and Reimbursement: Obtaining fair pricing and reimbursement for rare disease treatments can be challenging.
Opportunities:
- Expanding Product Portfolio: Ultragenyx has a strong pipeline of potential new therapies.
- Entering New Markets: The company is exploring opportunities in international markets.
- Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with other companies could accelerate growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2023:
- Enzyvant Therapeutics: Acquisition expands Ultragenyx's presence in the lysosomal storage disorder (LSD) market and adds late-stage investigational gene therapy programs for MPS IIIA and MPS I.
- 2022:
- Heptares Therapeutics: Acquisition bolsters Ultragenyx's drug discovery capabilities and pipeline through the addition of innovative structure-based drug discovery platform.
- 2021:
- Prothelia: Acquisition adds Prader-Willi syndrome program to Ultragenyx's pipeline, expanding its reach into new therapeutic areas.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Ultragenyx's financials, market position, and future prospects, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong growth potential, robust financial performance, and innovative product pipeline.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information from Ultragenyx's website, SEC filings, and other reputable sources. The information provided should not be considered investment advice.
Conclusion:
Ultragenyx is a well-positioned company in the growing rare disease market. The company's strong financial performance, innovative product portfolio, and strategic initiatives suggest continued growth and potential for strong shareholder returns. However, investors should consider the challenges and opportunities facing the company before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ultragenyx
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Novato, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-01-31 | Founder, President, CEO & Director | Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 1276 |
Headquaters | Novato, CA, United States | ||
Founder, President, CEO & Director | Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Website | https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Full time employees | 1276 |
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Japan, Europe, and internationally. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for treating long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidatures include DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; UX701, for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; Bayer Healthcare LLC; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.
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