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Ultragenyx (RARE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: RARE (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $81.85
1 Year Target Price $81.85
| 13 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.66% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 81.85 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 81.85 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.16 | 52 Weeks Range 25.81 - 50.00 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 25.81 - 50.00 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.93 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -91.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) -106.85% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -24.92% | Return on Equity (TTM) -313.43% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 3118438960 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57 |
Enterprise Value 3118438960 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.95 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -6.46 | Shares Outstanding 96477569 | Shares Floating 92772085 |
Shares Outstanding 96477569 | Shares Floating 92772085 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.12 | Percent Institutions 104.03 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ultragenyx

Company Overview
History and Background
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. was founded in 2010 by Dr. Emil D. Kakkis. The company focuses on the discovery, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel therapies for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases. Key milestones include its initial public offering (IPO) in 2014 and the subsequent approval and launch of several key products.
Core Business Areas
- Gene Therapies for Rare Diseases: Developing and commercializing gene therapies to address the underlying genetic causes of rare and debilitating diseases.
- Small Molecule Therapies for Rare Diseases: Focusing on small molecule drugs that target specific metabolic pathways or disease mechanisms in rare genetic disorders.
- Biologics for Rare Diseases: Developing protein replacement therapies and other biologic approaches to treat rare conditions.
Leadership and Structure
Ultragenyx is led by a management team with extensive experience in biotechnology and pharmaceutical development. Dr. Emil D. Kakkis serves as the Chief Executive Officer and President. The company operates with a matrixed structure focused on therapeutic areas and pipeline development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Dojolvi (trifetylamide): A peptide replacement therapy for the chronic treatment of patients withdihydroxyacetone phosphate acyltransferase (DHAPAT) deficiency, also known as glycerol kinase deficiency (GK-deficiency). Competitors include emerging therapies targeting similar metabolic pathways in rare metabolic disorders.
- Crysvita (burosumab-twza): A fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) neutralizing antibody for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH) in pediatric and adult patients. Co-developed with Kyowa Kirin. Competitors include other treatments for rickets and osteomalacia.
- Mepsevii (vestronidase alfa): An enzyme replacement therapy for patients with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII (MPS VII), also known as Sly syndrome. Competitors are limited due to the ultra-rare nature of MPS VII, but other MPS therapies exist.
- Angelq (tagvistamab-dgvs): A bispecific antibody for the treatment of relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Market share data is emerging as it is a newer indication. Competitors include other B-cell depleting therapies and CAR-T cell therapies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The rare disease biotechnology sector is characterized by high unmet medical needs, significant research and development investment, and a complex regulatory landscape. Orphan drug designations and incentives drive innovation, but market access and reimbursement for high-cost therapies are key challenges. The industry is increasingly focused on gene and cell therapies.
Positioning
Ultragenyx is positioned as a leader in developing and commercializing treatments for rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases, with a diversified pipeline across multiple therapeutic modalities. Its strength lies in its focus on specific, unmet needs and its ability to navigate the complexities of rare disease drug development and commercialization.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for rare diseases is substantial and growing, driven by increased diagnosis, scientific advancements, and the development of novel therapies. While difficult to quantify precisely, the combined global market for rare disease treatments is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Ultragenyx is targeting specific segments within this TAM with its specialized therapies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong focus on rare and ultra-rare diseases with high unmet medical needs.
- Diversified pipeline across multiple therapeutic modalities (gene therapy, small molecules, biologics).
- Experienced management team with a track record of drug development and commercialization.
- Established commercial infrastructure for rare disease products.
- Potential for orphan drug designations and market exclusivity.
Weaknesses
- High R&D costs associated with developing novel therapies.
- Long development timelines for genetic and rare disease treatments.
- Dependence on regulatory approvals and market access.
- Potential for clinical trial failures.
- Cash burn rate given the development-stage nature of some assets.
Opportunities
- Expansion of existing product indications.
- Advancements in gene editing and delivery technologies.
- Partnerships and collaborations for pipeline expansion.
- Acquisition of promising early-stage assets.
- Increasing global awareness and diagnosis of rare diseases.
Threats
- Competition from other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies in the rare disease space.
- Changes in regulatory landscape or reimbursement policies.
- Patent expirations and generic competition (though less common for ultra-rare drugs).
- Adverse clinical trial results.
- Economic downturns affecting healthcare spending.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
- Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT)
- Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (VRTX)
- Moderna, Inc. (MRNA)
Competitive Landscape
Ultragenyx competes in a highly specialized and innovative field. Its advantages lie in its focused approach to rare diseases and its diversified platform. However, it faces intense competition from established players with larger R&D budgets and broader portfolios. Differentiation is key, and Ultragenyx aims to achieve this through novel mechanisms of action and addressing previously untreatable conditions.
Major Acquisitions
Gene Medicine Acquisition
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 300
- Strategic Rationale: To expand its gene therapy pipeline and acquire novel delivery technologies for rare genetic diseases.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Ultragenyx has demonstrated significant historical growth in terms of pipeline advancement and revenue generation, transitioning from a development-stage company to a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical entity. This growth is marked by key regulatory approvals and product launches.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally anticipate continued revenue growth driven by the expansion of existing products and the potential approval of pipeline candidates. Future profitability is contingent on the successful commercialization of these assets and managing operating expenses.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include advancing its gene therapy platform, expanding the clinical programs for its approved therapies, and pursuing strategic partnerships to accelerate development and commercialization.
Summary
Ultragenyx is a strong player in the rare disease space, with a growing pipeline and commercialized products. Its focus on unmet medical needs is a significant advantage. However, high R&D costs and the inherent risks of drug development pose challenges. Continued pipeline success and effective commercialization are crucial for sustained growth and profitability.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations Presentations
- Industry Research Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The information is based on publicly available data and may not be exhaustive or entirely accurate. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ultragenyx
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Novato, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-01-31 | Founder, President, CEO & Director Dr. Emil D. Kakkis M.D., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 1294 | Website https://www.ultragenyx.com |
Full time employees 1294 | Website https://www.ultragenyx.com | ||
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of rare and ultra-rare genetic diseases in North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its biologic products include Crysvita (burosumab), an antibody targeting fibroblast growth factor 23 for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia, as well as tumor-induced osteomalacia; Mepsevii, an enzyme replacement therapy for the treatment of children and adults with Mucopolysaccharidosis VII; Dojolvi for the treatment of long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders; and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia. The company's products candidates that are in Phase 3 clinical trials include UX143, a human monoclonal antibody for the treatment of osteogenesis imperfecta; UX111, an AAV9 gene therapy product candidate for the treatment of patients with Sanfilippo syndrome type A, or MPS IIIA, a rare lysosomal storage disease; DTX401, an adeno-associated virus 8 (AAV8) gene therapy clinical candidate for the treatment of patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia; DTX301, an AAV8 gene therapy for the treatment of patients with ornithine transcarbamylase; and GTX-102, an antisense oligonucleotide for the treatment of Angelman syndrome. It also develops UX701 that is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of Wilson disease; and UX053 for the treatment of glycogen storage disease type III. Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. has collaboration and license agreement with Kyowa Kirin Co., Ltd.; Saint Louis University; Baylor Research Institute; REGENXBIO Inc.; GeneTx; Mereo; University of Pennsylvania; Solid Biosciences Inc.; Regeneron; Abeona; and Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

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